01 · 2 legs
Safe
- LASK to win70%
- Over 1.5 goals76%
Austrian Bundesliga21°0,5 mm16 km/h
Läs på svenska
LASKPossession & high press3–0
Rheindorf AltachBalanced & physicalThe model's lean: 1 · LASK (70%)
LASK vs Rheindorf Altach · Austrian Bundesliga
1 · LASK 70%X 19%11% Rheindorf Altach · 2
70%
19%
Analysis: LASK – Rheindorf Altach
Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work
LASK holds an impressive 70% chance of victory against Rheindorf Altach, underscoring the hosts' current dominant form. Seven consecutive wins and a 12-match scoring streak in the league suggest that this LASK side is a force to be reckoned with. Their playing style, centered on possession and high pressing, could prove too dynamic for Altach's balanced yet physical approach. However, only 58% of their home matches have ended in wins, which slightly tempers their robust form.
The head-to-head record, with LASK leading 3 wins to 2 losses and 1 draw in six encounters since 2022, offers a limited sample that doesn't overshadow the current form or xG metrics. LASK's expected goals per match (2.6) dwarf SCR Altach's (1.5), and their defense appears nearly impenetrable with an xGA of just 0.45. On paper, every metric favors the hosts, suggesting a likely scoreline around 1-0 or 2-0.
Despite a 52% probability for over 2.5 goals, the model's lean towards under 2.5 goals is intriguing, especially given the forecasted rain of 8.9 mm, which often suppresses scoring. This condition aligns with the most likely low-scoring outcomes and is accounted for in the model's conservative projections.
Betsafe, Betsson, and Nordicbet offer an enticing 2.28 odds for under 2.5 goals, presenting a clear value opportunity. With the model rating this outcome at 48%, there's a notable 10% edge to be capitalized on. This match might see LASK extend their winning streak but likely in a tight, low-scoring affair, where the under 2.5 bet could hold the most value.
LASKForm WWWWW
League ranking xG #3xGA #1xT #5xP/match #1Points #2
Key players
- Moses UsorFxG 1.28 · xT 0.43
- Andres AndradeCBxG 0.29 · xT 0.28
- Kasper Poul Mølgaard JørgensenRWxG 0.14 · xT 0.07
Rheindorf AltachForm WLWLL
League ranking xG #6xGA #4xT #3xP/match #6Points #8
Key players
- Mike Steven BahreCMxG 0.03 · xT 0.09
- Patrick GreilCAMxG 0.61 · xT 0.15
- Yann Massombo LitawumbaRWxG 0.13 · xT 0.10
Final score
3 – 0
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: LASK 70% · Draw 19% · Rheindorf Altach 11%
How the bookmaker bet builders went
The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.
Matchresultat - LASKBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 4,21fair 6,21-32 %
MissMatchresultat - AltachBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
odds 20,53fair 36,68-44 %
MissMatch prediction: LASK – Rheindorf Altach
Predicted score matrix
Rheindorf Altach →
LASK →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.7%
0–14.8%
0–22.0%
0–30.5%
0–4+0.1%
1
1–012.2%
1–110.2%
1–24.0%
1–31.1%
1–4+0.2%
2
2–012.2%
2–19.7%
2–23.9%
2–31.0%
2–4+0.2%
3
3–07.9%
3–16.3%
3–22.5%
3–30.7%
3–4+0.2%
4+
4+–06.1%
4+–14.8%
4+–21.9%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.1%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-012%
- 2.2-012%
- 3.1-110%
- 4.2-110%
- 5.3-08%
Expected goals
1,95–0,80
Both teams to score
47%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,70
117%
224%
322%
415%
5+14%
Under 2,548%
@2.28EV+10%
Over 2,552%
@1.65
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- LASK to win70%
- Over 2.5 goals52%
- Samuel Oluwabukunmi Adeniran to score45%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score47%
- Over 2.5 goals52%
- Samuel Oluwabukunmi Adeniran to score45%
- Mike-Steven Bähre to be booked22%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · LASK70% probability@1.60Paddy PowerEV+12%reference odds
- Under 2.548% probability@2.28BetsafeEV+10%reference odds
- Under 2.548% probability@2.28BetssonEV+10%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · LASK | X | 2 · Rheindorf Altach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | EV+ 4% 1.48 | 4.30 | 6.30 |
| Betsson | EV+ 4% 1.48 | 4.30 | 6.30 |
| Nordicbet | EV+ 4% 1.48 | 4.30 | 6.30 |
| Paddy Power | EV+ 12% 1.60 | 3.80 | 4.50 |
| Pinnacle | EV+ 1% 1.44 | 4.91 | 6.93 |
Odds updated 29 Aug, 11:36
Odds movement
1+2 %
70 %65 %
1.41 → 1.44
X+3 %
22 %17 %
4.78 → 4.91
2-2 %
16 %11 %
7.05 → 6.93
Pinnacle · 7 recorded price levels · 23/08/2026 → 29/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
6 matchesLASK 3Draw 1Rheindorf Altach 2
Goals: 6–4 (⌀ 1,7)
Head-to-head based on Austrian Bundesliga data since 2022.
Key facts
- LASK come into this round on 7 straight wins.
- LASK have scored in 12 consecutive league matches.
- LASK win 58% of their home matches all-time (36 played).
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
LASK
Rheindorf Altach
LASK (9–1)
Rheindorf Altach (4–5)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
LASK
Rheindorf Altach
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
LASK
Rheindorf Altach
The teams in numbers
| Performance | LASK | Rheindorf Altach |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 9 | 3 |
| xPoints | 7.3 | 5.9 |
| xG per match | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| xGA per match | 0.45 | 1.3 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.71 | 0.15 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.18 | 0.33 |
| Playing style | LASK | Rheindorf Altach |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| Field tilt | 0.76 | 0.49 |
| xT per match | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| xTA per match | 0.58 | 1.1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 32 | 28 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| Entries into the box per match | 15 | 16 |
| Entries into the box against | 4 | 13 |
| Pass completion % | 0.8 | 0.77 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.73 | 0.69 |
| Passes per match | 410 | 375 |
| Passes against per match | 302 | 358 |
| Switches of play per match | 49.8 | 29.9 |
| Long balls per match | 54 | 41 |
| Set pieces | LASK | Rheindorf Altach |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| Corners per match | 7.7 | 6.7 |
| Corners against per match | 1 | 6.4 |
| xG per corner | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.7 | 0.38 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 1 | 0.56 |
| Other | LASK | Rheindorf Altach |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| The goalkeepers | Lukas Jungwirth (LASK) | Dejan Stojanovic (Rheindorf Altach) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 3 | 8 |
| Save % | 75% | 62% |
| xG prevented | 41% | 36% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins LASK vs Rheindorf Altach according to our model?
The model gives LASK a 70% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: LASK 70%, draw 19%, Rheindorf Altach 11%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-0 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and under at 48%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 47% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.