01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Wolfsberg or draw (X2)65%
- Under 3.5 goals72%
Austrian Bundesliga25°14 km/h
Läs på svenska
Austria Lustenau2–1
WolfsbergThe model's lean: 2 · Wolfsberg (36%)Best value by the model: X · Draw @ 3.43 (+13 %)
Austria Lustenau – Wolfsberg · Austrian Bundesliga
1 · Austria Lustenau 31%X 33%36% Wolfsberg · 2
31%
33%
36%
Final score
2 – 1
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Austria Lustenau 31% · Draw 33% · Wolfsberg 36%
Match prediction: Austria Lustenau – Wolfsberg
Predicted score matrix
Wolfsberg →
Austria Lustenau →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–07.2%
0–19.1%
0–26.5%
0–32.9%
0–4+1.4%
1
1–08.7%
1–112.7%
1–28.4%
1–33.8%
1–4+1.8%
2
2–05.9%
2–18.0%
2–25.5%
2–32.5%
2–4+1.2%
3
3–02.6%
3–13.5%
3–22.4%
3–31.1%
3–4+0.5%
4+
4+–01.1%
4+–11.5%
4+–21.0%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.0-19%
- 3.1-09%
- 4.1-28%
- 5.2-18%
Expected goals
1,31–1,37
Both teams to score
55%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,707%
118%
225%
322%
415%
5+13%
Under 2,550%
@1.90
Over 2,550%
@1.98
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Wolfsberg or draw (X2)65%
- Under 2.5 goals50%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score55%
- Over 2.5 goals50%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- X · Draw33% probability@3.43PinnacleEV+13%
- 1 · Austria Lustenau31% probability@3.48PinnacleEV+8%
- X · Draw33% probability@3.25Bet365EV+7%
| Bookmaker | 1 · Austria Lustenau | X | 2 · Wolfsberg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | EV+ 2% 3.30 | EV+ 7% 3.25 | 1.95 |
| Pinnacle | EV+ 8% 3.48 | EV+ 13% 3.43 | 2.18 |
Odds updated 15 Aug, 10:15
Odds movement
1-6 %
29 %24 %
3.70 → 3.48
X-1 %
30 %25 %
3.46 → 3.43
2+8 %
49 %44 %
2.02 → 2.18
Over 2,5+1 %
51 %46 %
1.97 → 1.98
Pinnacle · 10 recorded price levels · 10/08/2026 → 15/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Austria Lustenau vs Wolfsberg according to our model?
The model gives Wolfsberg a 36% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Austria Lustenau 31%, draw 33%, Wolfsberg 36%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 50% and under at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 55% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.