01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Sturm Graz to win65%
- Over 1.5 goals76%
Austrian Bundesliga24°10 km/h
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Sturm Graz1–0
Rheindorf AltachThe model's lean: 1 · Sturm Graz (65%)
Sturm Graz – Rheindorf Altach · Austrian Bundesliga
1 · Sturm Graz 65%X 21%14% Rheindorf Altach · 2
65%
21%
14%
Final score
1 – 0
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Sturm Graz 65% · Draw 21% · Rheindorf Altach 14%
Match prediction: Sturm Graz – Rheindorf Altach
Predicted score matrix
Rheindorf Altach →
Sturm Graz →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–07.0%
0–15.2%
0–22.2%
0–30.6%
0–4+0.1%
1
1–012.3%
1–110.6%
1–24.2%
1–31.1%
1–4+0.3%
2
2–011.9%
2–19.7%
2–24.0%
2–31.1%
2–4+0.3%
3
3–07.5%
3–16.1%
3–22.5%
3–30.7%
3–4+0.2%
4+
4+–05.5%
4+–14.5%
4+–21.8%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.1%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-012%
- 2.2-012%
- 3.1-111%
- 4.2-110%
- 5.3-08%
Expected goals
1,89–0,82
Both teams to score
48%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,70
117%
225%
322%
415%
5+14%
Under 2,549%
@1.99
Over 2,551%
@1.88
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Sturm Graz to win65%
- Over 2.5 goals51%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score48%
- Over 2.5 goals51%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · Sturm Graz65% probability@1.90Paddy PowerEV+24%
- 1 · Sturm Graz65% probability@1.65PinnacleEV+8%
| Bookmaker | 1 · Sturm Graz | X | 2 · Rheindorf Altach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | EV+ 24% 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Pinnacle | EV+ 8% 1.65 | 3.96 | 5.50 |
Odds updated 15 Aug, 10:15
Odds movement
1-3 %
61 %51 %
1.69 → 1.65
X+3 %
30 %20 %
3.84 → 3.96
2+13 %
24 %14 %
4.87 → 5.50
Over 2,50 %
56 %46 %
1.89 → 1.88
Pinnacle · 9 recorded price levels · 09/08/2026 → 15/08/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Sturm Graz vs Rheindorf Altach according to our model?
The model gives Sturm Graz a 65% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Sturm Graz 65%, draw 21%, Rheindorf Altach 14%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-0 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and under at 49%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 48% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.