Austrian Bundesliga17°19,9 mm20 km/h

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    RiedRied
    vs
    Grazer AKGrazer AK
    The model's lean: 1 · Ried (43%)

    RiedGrazer AK · Austrian Bundesliga

    1 · Ried 43%X 30%27% Grazer AK · 2

    Match prediction: RiedGrazer AK

    Predicted score matrix

    Grazer AK
    Ried
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–08.1%
    0–18.8%
    0–25.4%
    0–32.1%
    0–4+0.8%
    1
    1–010.3%
    1–113.0%
    1–27.4%
    1–32.9%
    1–4+1.1%
    2
    2–07.4%
    2–18.7%
    2–25.1%
    2–32.0%
    2–4+0.8%
    3
    3–03.4%
    3–14.0%
    3–22.4%
    3–30.9%
    3–4+0.4%
    4+
    4+–01.6%
    4+–11.9%
    4+–21.1%
    4+–30.4%
    4+–4+0.2%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-113%
    2. 2.1-010%
    3. 3.0-19%
    4. 4.2-19%
    5. 5.0-08%
    Expected goals
    1,381,18
    Both teams to score
    52%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,6
    Under 2,553%
    Over 2,547%

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance Ried or draw (1X)68%
    • Under 3.5 goals74%

    Combined probability

    51%

    Fair odds

    1.97

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance Ried or draw (1X)68%
    • Under 2.5 goals53%

    Combined probability

    39%

    Fair odds

    2.58

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score52%
    • Over 2.5 goals47%

    Combined probability

    39%

    Fair odds

    2.55

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Ried vs Grazer AK according to our model?

    The model gives Ried a 43% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Ried 43%, draw 30%, Grazer AK 27%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 47% and under at 53%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 52% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.