01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Austria Wien to win49%
- Under 3.5 goals77%
Austrian Bundesliga23°0,8 mm21 km/h
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Hartberg0–2
Austria WienThe model's lean: 2 · Austria Wien (49%)
Hartberg – Austria Wien · Austrian Bundesliga
1 · Hartberg 24%X 27%49% Austria Wien · 2
24%
27%
49%
Final score
0 – 2
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Hartberg 24% · Draw 27% · Austria Wien 49%
Match prediction: Hartberg – Austria Wien
Predicted score matrix
Austria Wien →
Hartberg →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–09.1%
0–112.1%
0–28.9%
0–34.2%
0–4+2.0%
1
1–08.6%
1–113.0%
1–29.0%
1–34.2%
1–4+2.1%
2
2–04.5%
2–16.4%
2–24.5%
2–32.1%
2–4+1.0%
3
3–01.5%
3–12.2%
3–21.5%
3–30.7%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–00.5%
4+–10.7%
4+–20.5%
4+–30.2%
4+–4+0.1%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.0-112%
- 3.0-09%
- 4.1-29%
- 5.0-29%
Expected goals
1,01–1,42
Both teams to score
49%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,409%
121%
226%
321%
413%
5+10%
Under 2,556%
@1.84EV+1%
Over 2,544%
@2.02
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Austria Wien to win49%
- Under 2.5 goals56%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score49%
- Over 2.5 goals44%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · Austria Wien49% probability@2.48PinnacleEV+22%
- Under 1.530% probability@3.60Paddy PowerEV+7%
- Under 2.556% probability@1.84PinnacleEV+3%
| Bookmaker | 1 · Hartberg | X | 2 · Austria Wien |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 3.30 | EV+ 3% 2.10 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.92 | 3.37 | EV+ 22% 2.48 |
Odds updated 15 Aug, 15:57
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards a Hartberg win since 10 August — the odds have shortened from 3.40 to 2.92 (−14%).
1-14 %
36 %26 %
3.40 → 2.92
X+3 %
34 %24 %
3.26 → 3.37
2+12 %
46 %36 %
2.21 → 2.48
Over 2,50 %
52 %42 %
2.03 → 2.02
Pinnacle · 10 recorded price levels · 10/08/2026 → 15/08/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Hartberg vs Austria Wien according to our model?
The model gives Austria Wien a 49% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Hartberg 24%, draw 27%, Austria Wien 49%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 44% and under at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 49% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.