Austrian Bundesliga22°0,1 mm21 km/h

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    WSG TirolWSG Tirol
    03
    Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
    The model's lean: 2 · Red Bull Salzburg (57%)Best value by the model: X · Draw @ 4.76 (+20 %)

    WSG TirolRed Bull Salzburg · Austrian Bundesliga

    1 · WSG Tirol 18%X 25%57% Red Bull Salzburg · 2
    Final score
    03
    The model called the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: WSG Tirol 18% · Draw 25% · Red Bull Salzburg 57%

    Match prediction: WSG TirolRed Bull Salzburg

    Predicted score matrix

    Red Bull Salzburg
    WSG Tirol
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–05.0%
    0–19.4%
    0–29.9%
    0–36.7%
    0–4+5.5%
    1
    1–04.5%
    1–110.0%
    1–210.0%
    1–36.8%
    1–4+5.5%
    2
    2–02.4%
    2–14.9%
    2–25.0%
    2–33.4%
    2–4+2.8%
    3
    3–00.8%
    3–11.6%
    3–21.7%
    3–31.1%
    3–4+0.9%
    4+
    4+–00.3%
    4+–10.5%
    4+–20.5%
    4+–30.4%
    4+–4+0.3%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-110%
    2. 2.1-210%
    3. 3.0-210%
    4. 4.0-19%
    5. 5.1-37%
    Expected goals
    1,012,04
    Both teams to score
    55%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,0
    Under 2,541%
    @2.20
    Over 2,559%
    @1.65

    Ready-made bet suggestions

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Red Bull Salzburg to win57%
    • Over 1.5 goals81%

    Combined probability

    51%

    Fair odds

    1.94

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Red Bull Salzburg to win57%
    • Over 2.5 goals59%

    Combined probability

    42%

    Fair odds

    2.40

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score55%
    • Over 2.5 goals59%

    Combined probability

    45%

    Fair odds

    2.20

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • X · Draw25% probability@4.76PinnacleEV+20%
    • 1 · WSG Tirol18% probability@6.50PinnacleEV+16%
    Bookmaker1 · WSG TirolX2 · Red Bull Salzburg
    Bet3654.333.801.70
    Pinnacle
    EV+ 16%
    6.50
    EV+ 20%
    4.76
    1.46

    Odds updated 15 Aug, 18:13

    Odds movement

    1+3 %
    17 %12 %

    6.326.50

    X+3 %
    23 %18 %

    4.604.76

    20 %
    67 %62 %

    1.461.46

    Pinnacle · 11 recorded price levels · 10/08/2026 → 15/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins WSG Tirol vs Red Bull Salzburg according to our model?

    The model gives Red Bull Salzburg a 57% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: WSG Tirol 18%, draw 25%, Red Bull Salzburg 57%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and under at 41%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 55% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.