Croatian HNL22°4,5 mm14 km/h

    Läs på svenska
    Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
    vs
    VaraždinVaraždin
    The model's lean: 1 · Dinamo Zagreb (74%)

    Dinamo Zagreb – Varaždin · Croatian HNL

    1 · Dinamo Zagreb 74%X 16%10% Varaždin · 2

    Match prediction: Dinamo Zagreb – Varaždin

    Predicted score matrix

    Varaždin →
    Dinamo Zagreb →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–05.1%
    0–13.2%
    0–21.2%
    0–30.3%
    0–4+0.1%
    1
    1–011.1%
    1–18.2%
    1–22.8%
    1–30.6%
    1–4+0.1%
    2
    2–013.2%
    2–19.2%
    2–23.2%
    2–30.7%
    2–4+0.2%
    3
    3–010.2%
    3–17.1%
    3–22.5%
    3–30.6%
    3–4+0.1%
    4+
    4+–010.2%
    4+–17.1%
    4+–22.5%
    4+–30.6%
    4+–4+0.1%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.2-013%
    2. 2.1-011%
    3. 3.3-010%
    4. 4.2-19%
    5. 5.1-18%
    Expected goals
    2,32–0,70
    Both teams to score
    46%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,0
    Under 2,542%
    @2.35
    Over 2,558%
    @1.52

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Dinamo Zagreb to win74%
    • Over 1.5 goals81%

    Combined probability

    62%

    Fair odds

    1.60

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Dinamo Zagreb to win74%
    • Over 2.5 goals58%

    Combined probability

    49%

    Fair odds

    2.03

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score46%
    • Over 2.5 goals58%

    Combined probability

    37%

    Fair odds

    2.68

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    Bookmaker1 · Dinamo ZagrebX2 · Varaždin
    Betsafe1.285.158.40
    Betsson1.285.158.40
    Nordicbet1.285.158.40

    Odds updated 17 Aug, 18:36

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Dinamo Zagreb vs Varaždin according to our model?

    The model gives Dinamo Zagreb a 74% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Dinamo Zagreb 74%, draw 16%, Varaždin 10%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 13% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 46% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.