Czech First League23°0,4 mm18 km/h

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    Bohemians PrahaBohemians Praha
    vs
    JablonecJablonec
    The model's lean: 2 · Jablonec (36%)

    Bohemians PrahaJablonec · Czech First League

    1 · Bohemians Praha 35%X 29%36% Jablonec · 2

    Match prediction: Bohemians PrahaJablonec

    Predicted score matrix

    Jablonec
    Bohemians Praha
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–08.0%
    0–19.5%
    0–26.4%
    0–32.8%
    0–4+1.2%
    1
    1–09.4%
    1–113.0%
    1–28.2%
    1–33.5%
    1–4+1.5%
    2
    2–06.2%
    2–18.1%
    2–25.2%
    2–32.3%
    2–4+1.0%
    3
    3–02.7%
    3–13.4%
    3–22.2%
    3–31.0%
    3–4+0.4%
    4+
    4+–01.1%
    4+–11.5%
    4+–20.9%
    4+–30.4%
    4+–4+0.2%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-113%
    2. 2.0-110%
    3. 3.1-09%
    4. 4.1-28%
    5. 5.2-18%
    Expected goals
    1,281,29
    Both teams to score
    53%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,6
    Under 2,553%
    @1.72
    Over 2,547%
    @1.98

    Ready-made bet suggestions

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance Jablonec or draw (X2)64%
    • Under 3.5 goals74%

    Combined probability

    48%

    Fair odds

    2.09

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance Jablonec or draw (X2)64%
    • Under 2.5 goals53%

    Combined probability

    37%

    Fair odds

    2.71

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score53%
    • Over 2.5 goals47%

    Combined probability

    40%

    Fair odds

    2.52

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    Bookmaker1 · Bohemians PrahaX2 · Jablonec
    Betsafe2.523.152.65
    Betsson2.523.152.65
    Nordicbet2.523.152.65

    Odds updated 14 Aug, 13:35

    Odds movement

    1+3 %
    39 %34 %

    2.452.52

    X-2 %
    31 %26 %

    3.203.15

    2-3 %
    37 %32 %

    2.722.65

    Over 2,50 %
    49 %44 %

    1.981.98

    Betsson · 5 recorded price levels · 12/08/2026 → 14/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Bohemians Praha vs Jablonec according to our model?

    The model gives Jablonec a 36% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Bohemians Praha 35%, draw 29%, Jablonec 36%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 47% and under at 53%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 53% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

    More matches in the league

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.