Czech First League19°0,3 mm18 km/h

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    Mladá BoleslavMladá Boleslav
    vs
    SlováckoSlovácko
    The model's lean: 1 · Mladá Boleslav (51%)Best value by the model: Over 2,5 @ 1.65 (+2 %)

    Mladá BoleslavSlovácko · Czech First League

    1 · Mladá Boleslav 51%X 24%25% Slovácko · 2

    Match prediction: Mladá BoleslavSlovácko

    Predicted score matrix

    Slovácko
    Mladá Boleslav
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–04.5%
    0–15.1%
    0–23.5%
    0–31.5%
    0–4+0.7%
    1
    1–07.5%
    1–110.5%
    1–26.6%
    1–32.9%
    1–4+1.2%
    2
    2–07.3%
    2–19.6%
    2–26.2%
    2–32.7%
    2–4+1.2%
    3
    3–04.6%
    3–16.0%
    3–23.9%
    3–31.7%
    3–4+0.7%
    4+
    4+–03.3%
    4+–14.3%
    4+–22.8%
    4+–31.2%
    4+–4+0.5%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-110%
    2. 2.2-110%
    3. 3.1-08%
    4. 4.2-07%
    5. 5.1-27%
    Expected goals
    1,881,30
    Both teams to score
    62%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,2
    Under 2,538%
    @2.08
    Over 2,562%
    @1.65EV+2%

    Ready-made bet suggestions

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Mladá Boleslav to win51%
    • Over 1.5 goals83%

    Combined probability

    43%

    Fair odds

    2.32

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Mladá Boleslav to win51%
    • Over 2.5 goals62%

    Combined probability

    36%

    Fair odds

    2.80

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score62%
    • Over 2.5 goals62%

    Combined probability

    51%

    Fair odds

    1.94

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • Over 2.562% probability@1.65BetsafeEV+2%
    • Over 2.562% probability@1.65BetssonEV+2%
    • Over 2.562% probability@1.65NordicbetEV+2%
    Bookmaker1 · Mladá BoleslavX2 · Slovácko
    Betsafe1.853.40
    EV+ 1%
    3.95
    Betsson1.853.40
    EV+ 1%
    3.95
    Nordicbet1.853.40
    EV+ 1%
    3.95

    Odds updated 17 Aug, 15:35

    Odds movement

    1+4 %
    53 %48 %

    1.781.85

    X-7 %
    29 %24 %

    3.653.40

    2+1 %
    25 %20 %

    3.903.95

    Betsson · 6 recorded price levels · 15/08/2026 → 17/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Mladá Boleslav vs Slovácko according to our model?

    The model gives Mladá Boleslav a 51% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Mladá Boleslav 51%, draw 24%, Slovácko 25%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 62% and under at 38%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 62% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.