01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Slovan Liberec to win56%
- Over 1.5 goals78%
Czech First League15°0,6 mm13 km/h
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Artis BrnoPossession controlvs
Slovan LiberecLow block & directThe model's lean: 2 · Slovan Liberec (56%)
Artis Brno – Slovan Liberec · Czech First League
1 · Artis Brno 19%X 25%56% Slovan Liberec · 2
19%
25%
56%
Analysis: Artis Brno – Slovan Liberec
Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work
TEXT: A decisive number jumps out from this matchup: Slovan Liberec's 56% win probability. This reflects their superior form and recent three-match winning streak. Brno's possession-based approach seems unlikely to significantly disrupt Liberec's low-block and direct style. The hosts' xGA of 1.9 suggests vulnerability, particularly against a Liberec side generating 1.6 xG per match.
The expected goals lean heavily towards Liberec, who are anticipated to score nearly twice as many as Brno (1.95 vs. 0.90). Most likely scorelines, 0-1 or 0-2, support this view. A narrow or more comfortable away victory seems equally plausible. Brno's struggle to convert possession into points (only 4 points gathered) underlines the challenge they face against a more clinical opponent. The host's defensive frailties, evident in their xGA, are unlikely to be patched overnight.
For those hunting value, the model's 54% probability on over 2.5 goals may appeal. While the goals may not flow freely, Liberec's offensive edge combined with Brno's defensive gaps could see this total breached. Ultimately, the straightforward play here is backing Slovan Liberec to assert their dominance.
Artis BrnoForm LLLWL
League ranking xG #14xGA #15xT #7xP/match #15Points #13
Key players
- Dominik PreislerLWBxG 0.06 · xT 0.18
- Hélio Alberto Delgado SilvaLWxG 0.17 · xT 0.20
- Quadri Adebayo AdediranCAMxG 0.30 · xT 0.16
Slovan LiberecForm WDWWW
League ranking xG #4xGA #7xT #6xP/match #2Points #2
Key players
- Raimonds KrollisFxG 0.45 · xT -0.08
- Patrik DulayRWxG 0.34 · xT 0.10
- Milan LexaFxG 0.08 · xT 0.30
Match prediction: Artis Brno – Slovan Liberec
Predicted score matrix
Slovan Liberec →
Artis Brno →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.1%
0–110.9%
0–210.9%
0–37.1%
0–4+5.4%
1
1–04.9%
1–110.5%
1–29.9%
1–36.4%
1–4+4.9%
2
2–02.4%
2–14.6%
2–24.5%
2–32.9%
2–4+2.2%
3
3–00.7%
3–11.4%
3–21.4%
3–30.9%
3–4+0.7%
4+
4+–00.2%
4+–10.4%
4+–20.4%
4+–30.2%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.0-211%
- 2.0-111%
- 3.1-110%
- 4.1-210%
- 5.0-37%
Expected goals
0,90–1,95
Both teams to score
51%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,90
116%
224%
322%
416%
5+16%
Under 2,546%
–
Over 2,554%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Slovan Liberec to win56%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Lukáš Mašek to score22%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score51%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Lukáš Mašek to score22%
- Adam Erik Carlén to be booked24%
Odds & value
No odds available yet.
Statistics
Key facts
- FC Slovan Liberec come into this round on 3 straight wins.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Artis Brno
Slovan Liberec
Artis Brno (6–16)
Slovan Liberec (10–4)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Artis Brno
Slovan Liberec
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Artis Brno
Slovan Liberec
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Artis Brno | Slovan Liberec |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 4 | 16 |
| xPoints | 6.3 | 12 |
| xG per match | 0.89 | 1.6 |
| xGA per match | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| Playing style | Artis Brno | Slovan Liberec |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| Field tilt | 0.31 | 0.48 |
| xT per match | 0.98 | 0.99 |
| xTA per match | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 21 | 25 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.26 | 0.3 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| Entries into the box per match | 10 | 18 |
| Entries into the box against | 13 | 10 |
| Pass completion % | 0.7 | 0.68 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| Passes per match | 249 | 255 |
| Passes against per match | 364 | 333 |
| Switches of play per match | 32.3 | 21.7 |
| Long balls per match | 38 | 34 |
| Set pieces | Artis Brno | Slovan Liberec |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| Corners per match | 3 | 5.7 |
| Corners against per match | 4.6 | 3.6 |
| xG per corner | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.33 | 0.55 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.5 | 0.64 |
| Other | Artis Brno | Slovan Liberec |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| The goalkeepers | Tadeáš Stoppen (Artis Brno) | Tomas Koubek (Slovan Liberec) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 30 | 18 |
| Save % | 70% | 82% |
| xG prevented | 45% | 61% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Artis Brno vs Slovan Liberec according to our model?
The model gives Slovan Liberec a 56% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Artis Brno 19%, draw 25%, Slovan Liberec 56%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 0-2 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 51% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.