Brøndby vs Silkeborg: Prediction & Odds (24 Aug 2026)

Danish Superliga24 August 2026 19:00 CESTBrøndby Stadion, Brøndby15°0,6 mm13 km/h

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BrøndbyCounter-attacks & crosses

SilkeborgBalanced & physical

The model's lean: 1 · Brøndby (61%)Best value by the model: 2 · Silkeborg @ 6.90 (+25 %)

1 · Brøndby 61%X 21%18% Silkeborg · 2

61%

21%

18%

Analysis: Brøndby – Silkeborg

Oscar Nilsson · 16 August 2026 · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work

61% probability gives Brondby IF a commanding edge over Silkeborg in their upcoming duel. The numbers suggest a compelling clash, but one that weighs heavily in favor of the home side. Historically, Brondby IF has enjoyed the upper hand, unbeaten in their last four encounters with Silkeborg since 2022, with two wins and two draws. Yet, Silkeborg's slightly superior expected points (4.8 compared to Brondby’s 3.4) and lower expected goals against per match (0.99 versus 1.4) hint at an underlying resilience that could spring a surprise.

Brondby IF's style of play, characterized by counter-attacks and crosses, is poised to exploit any lapses in Silkeborg's balanced but physical approach. With an expected goals figure of 2.22, Brondby IF is likely to create more high-quality chances, which aligns with the most likely scorelines of 2-1 and 2-0. Silkeborg, despite their resilience, seems vulnerable with an expected goals of just 1.12.

The model suggests a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals. Given Brondby's offensive potential and Silkeborg's physicality, this seems a realistic bet, though not without risk due to the latter's defensive strength. Rain and strong wind might normally suppress scoring, but these conditions are already factored into the model's forecast.

Brondby IF should capitalize on their home advantage and superior attacking metrics, likely edging a 2-1 victory. With both teams scoring in 60% of projections, punters might lean towards goal-scoring markets. The best value emerges with Bet365 offering 2.10 odds on over 2.5 goals. While far from a certainty, it aligns with the game's statistical narrative, marrying Brondby's attacking prowess with Silkeborg's penchant for a fight.

Brøndby

Form WLDWW

League ranking xG #6xGA #8xT #4xP/match #10Points #1

Key players

Marcus YounisRWxG 0.22 · xT 0.03
Max EjdumLWxG 0.10 · xT 0.10
Filip BundgaardLWxG 0.23 · xT 0.29

Silkeborg

Form LLDLW

League ranking xG #9xGA #4xT #10xP/match #3Points #7

Key players

Callum MccowattFxG 0.15 · xT 0.20
Mads LarsenCDMxG 0.00 · xT 0.02
Oliver RossLWxG 0.36 · xT 0.21

Match prediction: Brøndby – Silkeborg

Predicted score matrix

Silkeborg →

Brøndby →

0–03.8%

0–13.7%

0–22.2%

0–30.8%

0–4+0.3%

1–07.6%

1–19.1%

1–25.0%

1–31.9%

1–4+0.7%

2–08.7%

2–19.8%

2–25.5%

2–32.1%

2–4+0.7%

3–06.4%

3–17.2%

3–24.0%

3–31.5%

3–4+0.5%

4+–06.0%

4+–16.7%

4+–23.8%

4+–31.4%

4+–4+0.5%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.2-110%
2.1-19%
3.2-09%
4.1-08%
5.3-17%

Expected goals

2,22–1,12

Both teams to score

60%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,3

111%

220%

322%

418%

5+24%

Under 2,535%

@2.52

Over 2,565%

@1.50

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Brøndby to win61%
Over 1.5 goals85%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Brøndby to win61%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Max Isaac Ejdum to score27%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score60%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Max Isaac Ejdum to score27%
William Kirk to be booked22%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Silkeborg18% probability@6.90BetssonEV+25%reference odds
2 · Silkeborg18% probability@6.90NordicbetEV+25%reference odds
2 · Silkeborg18% probability@6.80BetsafeEV+23%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Brøndby	X	2 · Silkeborg
Betsafe	1.46	4.30	EV+ 23% 6.80
Betsson	1.47	4.35	EV+ 25% 6.90
Nordicbet	1.47	4.35	EV+ 25% 6.90

Odds updated 18 Aug, 06:36

Odds movement

1-2 %

67 %62 %

1.50 → 1.47

X-5 %

24 %19 %

4.60 → 4.35

2+16 %

17 %12 %

5.95 → 6.90

Over 2,5+1 %

65 %60 %

1.49 → 1.50

Betsson · 17 recorded price levels · 16/08/2026 → 18/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

Head-to-head

4 matches

Brøndby 2Draw 2Silkeborg 0

Goals: 10–5 (⌀ 3,8)

Head-to-head based on Danish Superliga data since 2022.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Brøndby

Silkeborg

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Brøndby (4–1)

Silkeborg (3–4)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Brøndby

Silkeborg

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Brøndby

Silkeborg

The teams in numbers

Performance	Brøndby	Silkeborg
Points	7	4
xPoints	3.4	4.8
xG per match	1.1	0.99
xGA per match	1.4	0.99
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.2	0.3
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.25	0.1

Playing style	Brøndby	Silkeborg
Build-up efficiency	0.31	0.32
Field tilt	0.55	0.42
xT per match	1.1	0.62
xTA per match	0.79	1.2
Won balls, offensive half	25	18
Pressing intensity	0.22	0.24
Pressing efficiency	0.34	0.24
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.3	0.19
Entries into the box per match	16	14
Entries into the box against	15	13
Pass completion %	0.76	0.81
Pass completion % under pressure	0.69	0.78
Passes per match	354	473
Passes against per match	357	477
Switches of play per match	20.2	15.8
Long balls per match	26	20

Set pieces	Brøndby	Silkeborg
xG from free kicks	0.13	0.04
Corners per match	6.8	6.7
Corners against per match	5.4	4
xG per corner	0.03	0.02
xGA per corner against	0.04	0.01
First touch, offensive corners %	0.35	0.6
First touch, defensive corners %	0.56	0.58

Other	Brøndby	Silkeborg
Throw-in control	0.71	0.74

The goalkeepers	Patrick Pentz (Brøndby)	Aske Andresen (Silkeborg)
Saves	6	7
Save %	100%	64%
xG prevented	100%	44%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Brøndby vs Silkeborg according to our model?

The model gives Brøndby a 61% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Brøndby 61%, draw 21%, Silkeborg 18%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 2-1 at 10% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 65% and under at 35%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.