Danish SuperligaEnergi Viborg Arena, Viborg14°0,3 mm26 km/h

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    ViborgViborgCounter-attacks & crosses
    vs
    FC KøbenhavnFC KøbenhavnBalanced & physical
    The model's lean: 2 · FC København (45%)
    Limited dataThe model has thin or uncertain data for this match — the forecast may be unreliable and the match is excluded from our value lists.

    ViborgFC København · Danish Superliga

    1 · Viborg 30%X 25%45% FC København · 2

    Analysis: ViborgFC København

    Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work

    Six straight wins. That's the current streak FC Copenhagen are riding into this clash against Viborg, and it's the kind of momentum that makes a statement. They've been finding the back of the net with the reliability of a Swiss watch, scoring in 18 consecutive league matches. This form is palpable, and it offers a formidable challenge to any opponent standing in their way. Viborg, despite their counter-attacking flair, will need to dig deep to unsettle the Copenhagen juggernaut.

    Viborg's style, characterized by counter-attacks and crosses, suggests that they'll be looking to exploit any lapses in Copenhagen's physical and balanced setup. However, the underlying numbers hint at a more complex picture. While on the surface, FC Copenhagen holds the edge in points (9 to Viborg’s 7), Viborg's expected points (xPoints) tell a different story, favoring them at 6.3 to 3.7. This suggests that Viborg might not be as outmatched as the league table implies.

    The head-to-head record is a small sample of four matches since 2022, with Viborg slightly edging it with one win, two draws, and one loss. This data weighs less than current form and expected goals, yet it underscores Viborg's potential to surprise. In terms of xG, Viborg holds a slender advantage with 1.4 per match compared to Copenhagen's 1.3, indicating that chances might come for the hosts if they can withstand the initial pressure.

    The sharpest bet in this encounter lies with the over 2.5 goals, priced attractively by Betway at 57%. Given the attacking capabilities and vulnerabilities at the back for both sides, this market offers value for those looking to profit from an open contest. As for the scoreline, a 1-2 victory for FC Copenhagen seems the most plausible, keeping their winning streak alive while Viborg finds the net.

    ViborgViborg
    Form LWLDW
    League ranking xG #5xGA #7xT #8xP/match #3Points #5
    Key players
    • Oliver BundgaardLWBxG 0.08 · xT 0.12
    • Charly NouckLWxG 0.38 · xT 0.04
    • Thomas JorgensenFxG 0.17 · xT 0.12
    FC KøbenhavnFC København
    Form WWWWW
    League ranking xG #7xGA #9xT #9xP/match #9Points #2
    Key players
    • Mohamed ElyounoussiRWxG 0.45 · xT 0.15
    • Robert SilvaLWxG 0.16 · xT 0.04
    • Marcos LopezLBxG 0.02 · xT 0.28

    Match prediction: ViborgFC København

    Predicted score matrix

    FC København
    Viborg
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–05.5%
    0–17.9%
    0–26.6%
    0–33.5%
    0–4+2.0%
    1
    1–06.7%
    1–111.6%
    1–29.0%
    1–34.8%
    1–4+2.8%
    2
    2–04.8%
    2–17.7%
    2–26.2%
    2–33.3%
    2–4+1.9%
    3
    3–02.2%
    3–13.5%
    3–22.8%
    3–31.5%
    3–4+0.9%
    4+
    4+–01.0%
    4+–11.6%
    4+–21.3%
    4+–30.7%
    4+–4+0.4%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-112%
    2. 2.1-29%
    3. 3.0-18%
    4. 4.2-18%
    5. 5.1-07%
    Expected goals
    1,371,60
    Both teams to score
    60%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,0
    Under 2,543%
    Over 2,557%

    Ready-made bet suggestions

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • FC København to win45%
    • Over 1.5 goals80%

    Combined probability

    35%

    Fair odds

    2.88

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • FC København to win45%
    • Over 2.5 goals57%
    • Andreas Evald Cornelius to score23%

    Combined probability

    Fair odds

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score60%
    • Over 2.5 goals57%
    • Dorian Junior Hanza Meha to score26%
    • Jeppe Nørregaard Grønning to be booked20%

    Combined probability

    Fair odds

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    4 matches
    Viborg 1Draw 2FC København 1
    Goals: 66 (⌀ 3)

    Head-to-head based on Danish Superliga data since 2022.

    Key facts

    • FC Copenhagen come into this round on 6 straight wins.
    • FC Copenhagen have scored in 18 consecutive league matches.
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Viborg
    FC København
    When goals are scored and conceded 2026
    Viborg (32)
    FC København (103)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Viborg
    Zan Zaletel: 265 passningar, xT 0.45ZaletelLukas Emil Kirkegaard: 253 passningar, xT 0.62KirkegaardJeppe Gronning: 129 passningar, xT 0.17GronningKasper Hartly Kiilerich: 123 passningar, xT 0.13KiilerichSrdjan Kuzmic: 121 passningar, xT 0.21KuzmicOliver Bundgaard: 119 passningar, xT 0.41BundgaardThomas Jorgensen: 75 passningar, xT 0.06JorgensenSami Jalal: 70 passningar, xT 0.41JalalAsker Beck: 58 passningar, xT -0.11BeckCharly Nouck: 43 passningar, xT 0.05NouckBilal Brahimi: 34 passningar, xT 0.03Brahimi
    FC København
    Felix Olof Allan Nelson Beijmo: 220 passningar, xT 0.23BeijmoGabriel Pereira: 168 passningar, xT 0.11PereiraMarcos Lopez: 135 passningar, xT 0.54LopezJunnosuke Suzuki: 89 passningar, xT 0.05SuzukiWilliam Clem: 83 passningar, xT -0.07ClemMohamed Elyounoussi: 81 passningar, xT 0.32ElyounoussiDominik Kotarski: 76 passningar, xT 0.09KotarskiBirger Meling: 76 passningar, xT 0.26MelingThomas Delaney: 71 passningar, xT 0.14DelaneyRobert Silva: 60 passningar, xT 0.03SilvaMads Emil Madsen: 53 passningar, xT 0.26Madsen
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Viborg
    Zan Zaletel: 265 passningar, xT 0.45ZaletelLukas Emil Kirkegaard: 253 passningar, xT 0.62KirkegaardJeppe Gronning: 129 passningar, xT 0.17GronningKasper Hartly Kiilerich: 123 passningar, xT 0.13KiilerichSrdjan Kuzmic: 121 passningar, xT 0.21KuzmicOliver Bundgaard: 119 passningar, xT 0.41BundgaardThomas Jorgensen: 75 passningar, xT 0.06JorgensenSami Jalal: 70 passningar, xT 0.41JalalAsker Beck: 58 passningar, xT -0.11BeckCharly Nouck: 43 passningar, xT 0.05NouckBilal Brahimi: 34 passningar, xT 0.03Brahimi
    FC København
    Felix Olof Allan Nelson Beijmo: 220 passningar, xT 0.23BeijmoGabriel Pereira: 168 passningar, xT 0.11PereiraMarcos Lopez: 135 passningar, xT 0.54LopezJunnosuke Suzuki: 89 passningar, xT 0.05SuzukiWilliam Clem: 83 passningar, xT -0.07ClemMohamed Elyounoussi: 81 passningar, xT 0.32ElyounoussiDominik Kotarski: 76 passningar, xT 0.09KotarskiBirger Meling: 76 passningar, xT 0.26MelingThomas Delaney: 71 passningar, xT 0.14DelaneyRobert Silva: 60 passningar, xT 0.03SilvaMads Emil Madsen: 53 passningar, xT 0.26Madsen

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceViborgFC København
    Points79
    xPoints6.33.7
    xG per match1.41.3
    xGA per match1.41.5
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.340.16
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.310.56
    Playing styleViborgFC København
    Build-up efficiency0.310.32
    Field tilt0.40.51
    xT per match0.890.84
    xTA per match1.11
    Won balls, offensive half2624
    Pressing intensity0.240.24
    Pressing efficiency0.280.27
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.240.27
    Entries into the box per match1311
    Entries into the box against1313
    Pass completion %0.770.79
    Pass completion % under pressure0.710.72
    Passes per match353424
    Passes against per match403376
    Switches of play per match25.933.9
    Long balls per match3233
    Set piecesViborgFC København
    xG from free kicks0.020.01
    Corners per match5.14.3
    Corners against per match7.96
    xG per corner0.020.03
    xGA per corner against0.020.03
    First touch, offensive corners %0.30.46
    First touch, defensive corners %0.680.39
    OtherViborgFC København
    Throw-in control0.640.73
    The goalkeepersKasper Hartly Kiilerich (Viborg)Dominik Kotarski (FC København)
    Saves186
    Save %90%67%
    xG prevented93%61%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Viborg vs FC København according to our model?

    The model gives FC København a 45% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Viborg 30%, draw 25%, FC København 45%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 57% and under at 43%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.