01 · 2 legs
Safe
- FC København to win45%
- Over 1.5 goals80%
Danish SuperligaEnergi Viborg Arena, Viborg14°0,3 mm26 km/h
Läs på svenskaOscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work
Six straight wins. That's the current streak FC Copenhagen are riding into this clash against Viborg, and it's the kind of momentum that makes a statement. They've been finding the back of the net with the reliability of a Swiss watch, scoring in 18 consecutive league matches. This form is palpable, and it offers a formidable challenge to any opponent standing in their way. Viborg, despite their counter-attacking flair, will need to dig deep to unsettle the Copenhagen juggernaut.
Viborg's style, characterized by counter-attacks and crosses, suggests that they'll be looking to exploit any lapses in Copenhagen's physical and balanced setup. However, the underlying numbers hint at a more complex picture. While on the surface, FC Copenhagen holds the edge in points (9 to Viborg’s 7), Viborg's expected points (xPoints) tell a different story, favoring them at 6.3 to 3.7. This suggests that Viborg might not be as outmatched as the league table implies.
The head-to-head record is a small sample of four matches since 2022, with Viborg slightly edging it with one win, two draws, and one loss. This data weighs less than current form and expected goals, yet it underscores Viborg's potential to surprise. In terms of xG, Viborg holds a slender advantage with 1.4 per match compared to Copenhagen's 1.3, indicating that chances might come for the hosts if they can withstand the initial pressure.
The sharpest bet in this encounter lies with the over 2.5 goals, priced attractively by Betway at 57%. Given the attacking capabilities and vulnerabilities at the back for both sides, this market offers value for those looking to profit from an open contest. As for the scoreline, a 1-2 victory for FC Copenhagen seems the most plausible, keeping their winning streak alive while Viborg finds the net.
01 · 2 legs
02 · 3 legs
03 · 4 legs
No odds available yet.
Head-to-head based on Danish Superliga data since 2022.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
| Performance | Viborg | FC København |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 7 | 9 |
| xPoints | 6.3 | 3.7 |
| xG per match | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| xGA per match | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.34 | 0.16 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.31 | 0.56 |
| Playing style | Viborg | FC København |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| Field tilt | 0.4 | 0.51 |
| xT per match | 0.89 | 0.84 |
| xTA per match | 1.1 | 1 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 26 | 24 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| Entries into the box per match | 13 | 11 |
| Entries into the box against | 13 | 13 |
| Pass completion % | 0.77 | 0.79 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| Passes per match | 353 | 424 |
| Passes against per match | 403 | 376 |
| Switches of play per match | 25.9 | 33.9 |
| Long balls per match | 32 | 33 |
| Set pieces | Viborg | FC København |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Corners per match | 5.1 | 4.3 |
| Corners against per match | 7.9 | 6 |
| xG per corner | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.3 | 0.46 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.68 | 0.39 |
| Other | Viborg | FC København |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| The goalkeepers | Kasper Hartly Kiilerich (Viborg) | Dominik Kotarski (FC København) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 18 | 6 |
| Save % | 90% | 67% |
| xG prevented | 93% | 61% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
The model gives FC København a 45% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Viborg 30%, draw 25%, FC København 45%.
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 57% and under at 43%.
The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.