Eintracht Braunschweig vs Dynamo Dresden: Prediction & Odds (12 Sept 2026)

2. Bundesliga12 September 2026Eintracht-Stadion, Braunschweig17°13 km/h

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Eintracht BraunschweigPossession & high press

Dynamo DresdenPossession control

The model's lean: 2 · Dynamo Dresden (37%)Soft drawBest value by the model: Under 1,5 @ 4.60 (+35 %)

1 · Eintracht Braunschweig 35%X 29%37% Dynamo Dresden · 2

35%

29%

37%

Analysis: Eintracht Braunschweig – Dynamo Dresden

Sofia Andersson · 11 September 2026 · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work

The head-to-head record between Eintracht Braunschweig and Dynamo Dresden is a small sample, with only two matches since 2023, both won by Braunschweig. However, these results weigh less heavily than the current form and expected goals data. Braunschweig is currently on a three-match losing streak, which hints at vulnerabilities that might not be evident from their head-to-head dominance.

Despite their recent struggles, Braunschweig's attacking metrics are intriguing. They boast an impressive 2.0 xG per match, although this is offset by a worrying 2.2 xGA. Dresden, on the other hand, presents a more balanced profile with 1.6 xG and 1.6 xGA per match. While both teams favor possession, Braunschweig's high pressing style generates a noteworthy 0.3 xG within 8 seconds of winning the ball, compared to Dresden’s mere 0.09.

Model probabilities are finely poised, but they lean slightly towards Dresden with a 37% chance of winning compared to Braunschweig's 35%. The expected goals suggest a tight affair, with both teams projected to score around 1.2. The most likely scorelines, 1-1, 1-0, or 0-1, reinforce the notion of a closely contested match. With a 50% chance of both teams scoring and a 44% probability for over 2.5 goals, the numbers point towards a low-scoring game.

For those hunting value, the under 1.5 goals market stands out. With Betsafe, Betsson, and Nordicbet all offering odds of 4.5, there's a notable 32% edge given the model’s 29% probability for this outcome. While not a guarantee, it’s an enticing option in a matchup that could be decided by a single moment.

Eintracht Braunschweig

Form LWLLL

League ranking xG #3xGA #17xT #6xP/match #13Points #14

Key players

Aaron Opoku-TiawiahRWxG 0.11 · xT 0.22
Jan UrbichFxG 0.69 · xT -0.01
Yann SturmLWxG 0.35 · xT 0.16

Dynamo Dresden

Form WLWLL

League ranking xG #9xGA #11xT #17xP/match #7Points #17

Key players

Vincent VermeijFxG 0.38 · xT 0.06
Ben BobzienLWxG 0.17 · xT 0.02
Jonas SternerRWBxG 0.05 · xT 0.14

Match prediction: Eintracht Braunschweig – Dynamo Dresden

Predicted score matrix

Dynamo Dresden →

Eintracht Braunschweig →

0–09.0%

0–110.2%

0–26.5%

0–32.6%

0–4+1.1%

1–010.2%

1–113.3%

1–27.9%

1–33.2%

1–4+1.3%

2–06.5%

2–17.9%

2–24.9%

2–32.0%

2–4+0.8%

3–02.7%

3–13.2%

3–22.0%

3–30.8%

3–4+0.3%

4+–01.1%

4+–11.3%

4+–20.8%

4+–30.3%

4+–4+0.1%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-113%
2.1-010%
3.0-110%
4.0-09%
5.2-18%

Expected goals

1,23–1,22

Both teams to score

50%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,5

09%

120%

226%

321%

413%

5+10%

Under 2,556%

@2.30EV+28%

Over 2,544%

@1.55

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Dynamo Dresden or draw (X2)64%
Under 3.5 goals77%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Double chance Dynamo Dresden or draw (X2)64%
Under 2.5 goals56%
Jakob Lemmer to score20%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score50%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Jakob Lemmer to score20%
Robert Wagner to be booked24%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

Under 1.529% probability@4.60BetsafeEV+35%reference odds
Under 1.529% probability@4.60BetssonEV+35%reference odds
Under 1.529% probability@4.60NordicbetEV+35%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Eintracht Braunschweig	X	2 · Dynamo Dresden
Betsafe	2.65	3.35	2.38
Betsson	2.65	3.35	2.38
Nordicbet	2.65	3.35	2.38
Pinnacle	2.84	EV+ 6% 3.70	2.41

Odds updated 11 Sept, 16:31

Odds movement

1+3 %

37 %32 %

2.75 → 2.84

X+3 %

29 %24 %

3.60 → 3.70

2-2 %

42 %37 %

2.46 → 2.41

Pinnacle · 12 recorded price levels · 06/09/2026 → 11/09/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

Head-to-head

2 matches

Eintracht Braunschweig 2Draw 0Dynamo Dresden 0

Goals: 5–3 (⌀ 4)

Head-to-head based on 2. Bundesliga data since 2023.

Key facts

Eintracht Braunschweig have lost 3 in a row.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Eintracht Braunschweig

Dynamo Dresden

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Eintracht Braunschweig (10–10)

Dynamo Dresden (5–10)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Eintracht Braunschweig

Dynamo Dresden

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Eintracht Braunschweig

Dynamo Dresden

The teams in numbers

Performance	Eintracht Braunschweig	Dynamo Dresden
Points	3	3
xPoints	5.1	5.9
xG per match	2	1.6
xGA per match	2.2	1.6
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.3	0.09
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.27	0.41

Playing style	Eintracht Braunschweig	Dynamo Dresden
Build-up efficiency	0.31	0.3
Field tilt	0.6	0.48
xT per match	1.1	0.73
xTA per match	1.1	1.1
Won balls, offensive half	27	20
Pressing intensity	0.21	0.23
Pressing efficiency	0.34	0.31
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.29	0.29
Entries into the box per match	11	11
Entries into the box against	12	15
Pass completion %	0.77	0.8
Pass completion % under pressure	0.72	0.73
Passes per match	394	441
Passes against per match	338	358
Switches of play per match	35.6	20
Long balls per match	40	27

Set pieces	Eintracht Braunschweig	Dynamo Dresden
xG from free kicks	0.01	0.04
Corners per match	5	7.3
Corners against per match	7	5.1
xG per corner	0.04	0.07
xGA per corner against	0.07	0.04
First touch, offensive corners %	0.2	0.38
First touch, defensive corners %	0.5	0.45

Other	Eintracht Braunschweig	Dynamo Dresden
Throw-in control	0.75	0.83

The goalkeepers	Ron-Thorben Hoffmann (Eintracht Braunschweig)	Tim Schreiber (Dynamo Dresden)
Saves	11	15
Save %	55%	63%
xG prevented	41%	51%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Eintracht Braunschweig

Fixtures, form & tips

Dynamo Dresden

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Eintracht Braunschweig vs Dynamo Dresden according to our model?

The model gives Dynamo Dresden a 37% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Eintracht Braunschweig 35%, draw 29%, Dynamo Dresden 37%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 44% and under at 56%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 50% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.