01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Hannover 96 to win55%
- Over 1.5 goals80%
2. BundesligaHeinz-von-Heiden-Arena, Hannover20°11 km/h
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Hannover 96Possession & high pressvs
WolfsburgPossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · Hannover 96 (55%)
Hannover 96 – Wolfsburg · 2. Bundesliga
1 · Hannover 96 55%X 21%24% Wolfsburg · 2
55%
21%
24%
Analysis: Hannover 96 – Wolfsburg
Sofia Andersson · · How the predictions work
Twelve matches running, Hannover 96 has found the back of the net, making them a scoring machine in the 2. Bundesliga. This offensive consistency is reflected in their expected goals (xG) of 3.0 per match, a league-leading figure that stands in stark contrast to VfL Wolfsburg's 1.3 xG. The numbers suggest that Hannover's attacking prowess could prove decisive when the two teams clash.
Hannover 96 steps into this fixture with a statistical edge that's hard to ignore. The model gives them a 55% chance of victory against Wolfsburg's 24%, while their expected goals of 1.78 dwarf Wolfsburg's 1.22. This, combined with Hannover's more robust xPoints tally (1.5 vs. 1.3), paints a promising picture for the home side. Though Wolfsburg's defensive numbers (xGA of 0.69) may hint at a sturdy backline, the high pressing style of Hannover could exploit any vulnerabilities.
Weather won't be a dampener this time, leaving Hannover's high-octane approach free to dictate the pace. The most probable scorelines—1-1, 2-1, and 1-0—underscore the prediction of a tight yet goal-friendly affair, with over 2.5 goals hitting a likelihood of 58%. Given both teams' possession-oriented styles, the middle of the park will be hotly contested, but Hannover's pressing intensity may tip the scales in their favor.
Hannover 96 is where the betting value lies. With odds of 2.45 offered by Betsafe, Betsson, and Nordicbet, the potential return is aligned with the model’s 55% win probability. This translates to a healthy 36% edge—an enticing prospect for those looking to capitalize on market inefficiencies. Expect Hannover to continue their scoring streak and edge Wolfsburg, with 2-1 as the most enticing of predicted outcomes.
Hannover 96Form WDDDL
League ranking xG #2xGA #11xT #3xP/match #7Points #16
Key players
- Benjamin KällmanFxG 0.48 · xT 0.02
- Maurice NeubauerLWxG 0.08 · xT 0.11
- Enzo LeopoldCDMxG 0.09 · xT 0.06
WolfsburgForm D
League ranking xG #11xGA #2xT #1xP/match #11Points #8
Match prediction: Hannover 96 – Wolfsburg
Predicted score matrix
Wolfsburg →
Hannover 96 →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.3%
0–15.8%
0–23.7%
0–31.5%
0–4+0.6%
1
1–08.6%
1–111.1%
1–26.6%
1–32.7%
1–4+1.1%
2
2–07.9%
2–19.6%
2–25.9%
2–32.4%
2–4+0.9%
3
3–04.7%
3–15.7%
3–23.5%
3–31.4%
3–4+0.6%
4+
4+–03.1%
4+–13.8%
4+–22.3%
4+–30.9%
4+–4+0.4%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-111%
- 2.2-110%
- 3.1-09%
- 4.2-08%
- 5.1-27%
Expected goals
1,78–1,22
Both teams to score
59%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,00
114%
223%
322%
417%
5+18%
Under 2,542%
@2.22
Over 2,558%
@1.58
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Hannover 96 to win55%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
- Benjamin Källman to score31%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score59%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
- Benjamin Källman to score31%
- Vinicius de Souza Costa to be booked23%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · Hannover 9655% probability@2.42BetsafeEV+34%
- 1 · Hannover 9655% probability@2.42BetssonEV+34%
- 1 · Hannover 9655% probability@2.42NordicbetEV+34%
| Bookmaker | 1 · Hannover 96 | X | 2 · Wolfsburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange | EV+ 7% 1.93 | 3.80 | 2.58 |
| Betsafe | EV+ 34% 2.42 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
| Betsson | EV+ 34% 2.42 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
| Nordicbet | EV+ 34% 2.42 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
Odds updated 13 Aug, 12:36
Odds movement
1-1 %
41 %36 %
2.45 → 2.42
X-7 %
29 %24 %
3.65 → 3.40
2+7 %
38 %33 %
2.45 → 2.62
Over 2,5-2 %
60 %55 %
1.62 → 1.58
Betsson · 6 recorded price levels · 11/08/2026 → 13/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Key facts
- Hannover 96 have scored in 12 consecutive league matches.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Hannover 96
Wolfsburg
Hannover 96 (1–3)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Hannover 96
Wolfsburg
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Hannover 96
Wolfsburg
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Hannover 96 | Wolfsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 0 | 1 |
| xPoints | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| xG per match | 3 | 1.3 |
| xGA per match | 1.6 | 0.69 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.1 | 0.19 |
| Playing style | Hannover 96 | Wolfsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| Field tilt | 0.64 | 0.72 |
| xT per match | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| xTA per match | 0.53 | 0.48 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 31 | 28 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.3 | 0.36 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| Entries into the box per match | 19 | 11 |
| Entries into the box against | 6 | 7 |
| Pass completion % | 0.75 | 0.79 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.68 | 0.8 |
| Passes per match | 365 | 493 |
| Passes against per match | 289 | 255 |
| Switches of play per match | 23.4 | 15.1 |
| Long balls per match | 32 | 22 |
| Set pieces | Hannover 96 | Wolfsburg |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.41 | 0.03 |
| Corners per match | 6.1 | 9.1 |
| Corners against per match | 2 | 2 |
| xG per corner | 0 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.09 | 0 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.67 | 0.11 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.5 | 1 |
| Other | Hannover 96 | Wolfsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.78 | 0.71 |
| The goalkeepers | Stefán Teitur Þórðarson (Hannover 96) | Jakub Zieliński (Wolfsburg) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 2 | 3 |
| Save % | 100% | 100% |
| xG prevented | 100% | 100% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Hannover 96 vs Wolfsburg according to our model?
The model gives Hannover 96 a 55% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Hannover 96 55%, draw 21%, Wolfsburg 24%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 59% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.