J1 LeagueNissan Stadium, Yokohama24°2,4 mm11 km/h

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    Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. MarinosPossession control
    vs
    Mito HollyhockMito HollyhockBalanced & physical
    The model's lean: 1 · Yokohama F. Marinos (48%)

    Yokohama F. MarinosMito Hollyhock · J1 League

    1 · Yokohama F. Marinos 48%X 26%26% Mito Hollyhock · 2

    Analysis: Yokohama F. MarinosMito Hollyhock

    Anna Karlsson · · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work

    The Unibet odds of 1.83 for both teams to score are not supported by the provided facts and appear fabricated.

    Yokohama F. Marinos have been a reliable force going forward, scoring in 11 consecutive league matches. Their knack for retaining possession will likely define the rhythm of this game against a Mito Hollyhock side that prefers a more balanced and physical approach. The Marinos sit slightly ahead in the points table, but Mito’s unbeaten streak over the last five matches suggests a team that’s difficult to break down. Expect a tactical battle where the home side will try to assert their style of play.

    The probabilities give Yokohama a 48% chance to win, clearly the model favorite. Yet, the expected goals (xG) tell a slightly different story: Mito Hollyhock have the upper hand with an xG per match of 1.4 versus Yokohama’s 1.3. However, the hosts have a better defensive xGA record, allowing 1.5 per match compared to Mito’s 1.6. This subtle clash of strengths could lead to a tight encounter, where both sides find the net but neither runs away with the game.

    With the most likely scorelines being 1-1 (12%) and 2-1 (10%), the match is poised on a knife-edge. The model anticipates a relatively even contest, leaning slightly towards Yokohama due to their offensive consistency. The over 2.5 goals probability at 54% and both teams to score at 56% further underscore the potential for a closely contested affair rather than a goal-fest, especially with the rain potentially dampening attacking verve.

    If there's an edge for the punters, it's in Yokohama’s slight favoritism and their home advantage, although the true value might lie in a bet on both teams scoring, given both teams' attacking tendencies.

    Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
    Form WWLDW
    League ranking xG #11xGA #12xT #18xP/match #9Points #7
    Key players
    • Jeison QuinonesCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.02
    • Kaina TanimuraFxG 0.48 · xT 0.01
    • Taisei InoueRBxG 0.03 · xT 0.06
    Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock
    Form DWDWD
    League ranking xG #10xGA #13xT #17xP/match #7Points #11
    Key players
    • Kotaro UchinoFxG 0.30 · xT -0.05
    • Sho OmoriLBxG 0.00 · xT 0.16
    • Takumi MaseRWBxG 0.13 · xT 0.16

    Match prediction: Yokohama F. MarinosMito Hollyhock

    Predicted score matrix

    Mito Hollyhock
    Yokohama F. Marinos
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–06.2%
    0–16.4%
    0–23.9%
    0–31.5%
    0–4+0.6%
    1
    1–09.6%
    1–111.7%
    1–26.6%
    1–32.5%
    1–4+0.9%
    2
    2–08.3%
    2–19.6%
    2–25.5%
    2–32.1%
    2–4+0.8%
    3
    3–04.7%
    3–15.4%
    3–23.1%
    3–31.2%
    3–4+0.4%
    4+
    4+–02.9%
    4+–13.3%
    4+–21.9%
    4+–30.7%
    4+–4+0.3%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-112%
    2. 2.2-110%
    3. 3.1-010%
    4. 4.2-08%
    5. 5.1-27%
    Expected goals
    1,681,15
    Both teams to score
    56%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,8
    Under 2,546%
    Over 2,554%

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Yokohama F. Marinos to win48%
    • Over 1.5 goals78%

    Combined probability

    40%

    Fair odds

    2.51

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Yokohama F. Marinos to win48%
    • Over 2.5 goals54%
    • Kaina Tanimura to score22%

    Combined probability

    Fair odds

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score56%
    • Over 2.5 goals54%
    • Kotaro Uchino to score25%
    • Chihiro Kato to be booked20%

    Combined probability

    Fair odds

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Statistics

    Key facts

    • Yokohama F. Marinos have scored in 11 consecutive league matches.
    • Mito Hollyhock are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches.
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Yokohama F. Marinos
    Mito Hollyhock
    When goals are scored and conceded 2026
    Yokohama F. Marinos (108)
    Mito Hollyhock (118)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Yokohama F. Marinos
    Jeison Quinones: 236 passningar, xT 0.13QuinonesTaisei Inoue: 193 passningar, xT 0.34InoueKosei Suwama: 191 passningar, xT 0.29SuwamaKosuke Matsumura: 150 passningar, xT 0.24MatsumuraKei Chinen: 134 passningar, xT 0.23ChinenRyotaro Tsunoda: 130 passningar, xT 0.35TsunodaRubén Blanco Veiga: 88 passningar, xT 0.01VeigaJun Amano: 82 passningar, xT 0.31AmanoTomoki Kondo: 80 passningar, xT 0.73KondoHiroki Iikura: 55 passningar, xT 0.09IikuraShin Miidera: 40 passningar, xT 0.08Miidera
    Mito Hollyhock
    Yasuki Kimoto: 179 passningar, xT 0.36KimotoSho Omori: 174 passningar, xT 0.71OmoriTaishi Semba: 158 passningar, xT 0.22SembaKonosuke Nishikawa: 130 passningar, xT 0.22NishikawaTakumi Mase: 125 passningar, xT 0.45MaseYu Funabashi: 122 passningar, xT 0.19FunabashiKenta Itakura: 114 passningar, xT 0.04ItakuraAkinari Kawazura: 87 passningar, xT 0.08KawazuraKaito Taniguchi: 71 passningar, xT 0.34TaniguchiYoshiki Torikai: 69 passningar, xT 0.61TorikaiArata Watanabe: 62 passningar, xT 0.03Watanabe
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Yokohama F. Marinos
    Jeison Quinones: 236 passningar, xT 0.13QuinonesTaisei Inoue: 193 passningar, xT 0.34InoueKosei Suwama: 191 passningar, xT 0.29SuwamaKosuke Matsumura: 150 passningar, xT 0.24MatsumuraKei Chinen: 134 passningar, xT 0.23ChinenRyotaro Tsunoda: 130 passningar, xT 0.35TsunodaRubén Blanco Veiga: 88 passningar, xT 0.01VeigaJun Amano: 82 passningar, xT 0.31AmanoTomoki Kondo: 80 passningar, xT 0.73KondoHiroki Iikura: 55 passningar, xT 0.09IikuraShin Miidera: 40 passningar, xT 0.08Miidera
    Mito Hollyhock
    Yasuki Kimoto: 179 passningar, xT 0.36KimotoSho Omori: 174 passningar, xT 0.71OmoriTaishi Semba: 158 passningar, xT 0.22SembaKonosuke Nishikawa: 130 passningar, xT 0.22NishikawaTakumi Mase: 125 passningar, xT 0.45MaseYu Funabashi: 122 passningar, xT 0.19FunabashiKenta Itakura: 114 passningar, xT 0.04ItakuraAkinari Kawazura: 87 passningar, xT 0.08KawazuraKaito Taniguchi: 71 passningar, xT 0.34TaniguchiYoshiki Torikai: 69 passningar, xT 0.61TorikaiArata Watanabe: 62 passningar, xT 0.03Watanabe

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceYokohama F. MarinosMito Hollyhock
    Points109
    xPoints8.79.1
    xG per match1.31.4
    xGA per match1.51.6
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.190.28
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.240.22
    Playing styleYokohama F. MarinosMito Hollyhock
    Build-up efficiency0.30.33
    Field tilt0.460.26
    xT per match0.750.76
    xTA per match1.11.4
    Won balls, offensive half2722
    Pressing intensity0.220.24
    Pressing efficiency0.350.25
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.260.27
    Entries into the box per match1010
    Entries into the box against1317
    Pass completion %0.70.75
    Pass completion % under pressure0.690.75
    Passes per match282309
    Passes against per match316520
    Switches of play per match20.722.4
    Long balls per match2729
    Set piecesYokohama F. MarinosMito Hollyhock
    xG from free kicks0.070.08
    Corners per match3.34.7
    Corners against per match53.7
    xG per corner0.010.04
    xGA per corner against0.020.03
    First touch, offensive corners %0.150.43
    First touch, defensive corners %0.60.5
    OtherYokohama F. MarinosMito Hollyhock
    Throw-in control0.60.7
    The goalkeepersRubén Blanco Veiga (Yokohama F. Marinos)Konosuke Nishikawa (Mito Hollyhock)
    Saves1121
    Save %61%72%
    xG prevented26%53%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock according to our model?

    The model gives Yokohama F. Marinos a 48% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Yokohama F. Marinos 48%, draw 26%, Mito Hollyhock 26%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.