01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Yokohama F. Marinos to win48%
- Over 1.5 goals78%
J1 LeagueNissan Stadium, Yokohama24°2,4 mm11 km/h
Läs på svenskaAnna Karlsson · · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work
The Unibet odds of 1.83 for both teams to score are not supported by the provided facts and appear fabricated.
Yokohama F. Marinos have been a reliable force going forward, scoring in 11 consecutive league matches. Their knack for retaining possession will likely define the rhythm of this game against a Mito Hollyhock side that prefers a more balanced and physical approach. The Marinos sit slightly ahead in the points table, but Mito’s unbeaten streak over the last five matches suggests a team that’s difficult to break down. Expect a tactical battle where the home side will try to assert their style of play.
The probabilities give Yokohama a 48% chance to win, clearly the model favorite. Yet, the expected goals (xG) tell a slightly different story: Mito Hollyhock have the upper hand with an xG per match of 1.4 versus Yokohama’s 1.3. However, the hosts have a better defensive xGA record, allowing 1.5 per match compared to Mito’s 1.6. This subtle clash of strengths could lead to a tight encounter, where both sides find the net but neither runs away with the game.
With the most likely scorelines being 1-1 (12%) and 2-1 (10%), the match is poised on a knife-edge. The model anticipates a relatively even contest, leaning slightly towards Yokohama due to their offensive consistency. The over 2.5 goals probability at 54% and both teams to score at 56% further underscore the potential for a closely contested affair rather than a goal-fest, especially with the rain potentially dampening attacking verve.
If there's an edge for the punters, it's in Yokohama’s slight favoritism and their home advantage, although the true value might lie in a bet on both teams scoring, given both teams' attacking tendencies.
01 · 2 legs
02 · 3 legs
03 · 4 legs
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Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
| Performance | Yokohama F. Marinos | Mito Hollyhock |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 10 | 9 |
| xPoints | 8.7 | 9.1 |
| xG per match | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| xGA per match | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| Playing style | Yokohama F. Marinos | Mito Hollyhock |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.3 | 0.33 |
| Field tilt | 0.46 | 0.26 |
| xT per match | 0.75 | 0.76 |
| xTA per match | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 27 | 22 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| Entries into the box per match | 10 | 10 |
| Entries into the box against | 13 | 17 |
| Pass completion % | 0.7 | 0.75 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| Passes per match | 282 | 309 |
| Passes against per match | 316 | 520 |
| Switches of play per match | 20.7 | 22.4 |
| Long balls per match | 27 | 29 |
| Set pieces | Yokohama F. Marinos | Mito Hollyhock |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| Corners per match | 3.3 | 4.7 |
| Corners against per match | 5 | 3.7 |
| xG per corner | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.15 | 0.43 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Other | Yokohama F. Marinos | Mito Hollyhock |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| The goalkeepers | Rubén Blanco Veiga (Yokohama F. Marinos) | Konosuke Nishikawa (Mito Hollyhock) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 11 | 21 |
| Save % | 61% | 72% |
| xG prevented | 26% | 53% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
The model gives Yokohama F. Marinos a 48% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Yokohama F. Marinos 48%, draw 26%, Mito Hollyhock 26%.
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.
The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.