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    Vanraure HachinoheVanraure Hachinohe
    vs
    Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare
    The model's lean: 2 · Shonan Bellmare (34%)Soft drawBest value by the model: 1 · Vanraure Hachinohe @ 3.44 (+15 %)

    Vanraure Hachinohe vs Shonan Bellmare · J2 League

    1 · Vanraure Hachinohe 33%X 33%34% Shonan Bellmare · 2

    Analysis: Vanraure Hachinohe – Shonan Bellmare

    Anna Karlsson · · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work

    An intriguing tension defines the matchup between Vanraure Hachinohe and Shonan Bellmare: both teams are separated by a razor-thin margin in the model's probabilities, with just a 1% difference between the home and away win likelihoods. This suggests a tightly contested affair where the smallest of details could tip the scales. Given the expected goals — 1.01 for Hachinohe and 0.99 for Bellmare — fans shouldn't anticipate a high-scoring spectacle. The most likely scorelines further echo this sentiment, favoring low-scoring outcomes such as 0-0 or 1-1, each at 14%.

    Despite Vanraure's underdog status, there's a notable betting angle. At odds of 3.3 offered by Betsafe, Betsson, and Nordicbet, backing the hosts presents a 10% edge over the calculated 33% win probability. This value is unusual in such finely balanced fixtures, perhaps hinting at a market oversight. However, punters should be aware that this is not a guarantee but rather an assessment of market value compared to the model's estimations.

    The draw appears just as probable as any victory, underlining the evenly matched nature of these two sides. Both teams to score is pegged at a mere 40%, underscoring the lack of attacking fireworks expected. With an over 2.5 goals probability at just 32%, the conservative approach would be to lean under, aligning with the predicted defensive stalemate.

    Given these dynamics, the narrative of the game could very well revolve around defensive organization and midfield duels, with either side potentially snatching a slender 1-0 triumph. Yet, the sharpest angle lies in the home win value, suggesting that those looking to wager might find the most enticing opportunity in trusting Hachinohe to edge it.

    Vanraure HachinoheVanraure Hachinohe
    Form WLLWD
    Key players
    • Ryusei TakaoFxG 0.60 · xT 0.01
    • Fumiya UnokiFxG 0.09 · xT 0.13
    • Shoma OtoizumiLWxG 0.06 · xT 0.12
    Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare
    Form WWDDL
    Key players
    • Yuto SuzukiRWBxG 0.02 · xT 0.06
    • Sere MatsumuraLBxG 0.00 · xT 0.09
    • Hiroto YamadaFxG 0.19 · xT 0.00

    Match prediction: Vanraure Hachinohe – Shonan Bellmare

    Predicted score matrix

    Shonan Bellmare →
    Vanraure Hachinohe →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–014.0%
    0–113.0%
    0–26.6%
    0–32.2%
    0–4+0.7%
    1
    1–013.3%
    1–113.9%
    1–26.7%
    1–32.2%
    1–4+0.7%
    2
    2–06.9%
    2–16.8%
    2–23.4%
    2–31.1%
    2–4+0.3%
    3
    3–02.3%
    3–12.3%
    3–21.1%
    3–30.4%
    3–4+0.1%
    4+
    4+–00.7%
    4+–10.7%
    4+–20.4%
    4+–30.1%
    4+–4+0.0%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.0-014%
    2. 2.1-114%
    3. 3.1-013%
    4. 4.0-113%
    5. 5.2-07%
    Expected goals
    1,01–0,99
    Both teams to score
    40%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,0
    Under 2,568%
    @1.61EV+7%
    Over 2,532%
    @2.30

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance Shonan Bellmare or draw (X2)65%
    • Under 3.5 goals86%

    Combined probability

    56%

    Fair odds

    1.78

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance Shonan Bellmare or draw (X2)65%
    • Under 2.5 goals68%
    • Taiyo Nishino to score23%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score40%
    • Over 2.5 goals32%
    • Taiyo Nishino to score23%
    • Shoma Takayoshi to be booked23%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 1 · Vanraure Hachinohe33% probability@3.44PinnacleEV+15%reference odds
    • 1 · Vanraure Hachinohe33% probability@3.30BetsafeEV+10%reference odds
    • 1 · Vanraure Hachinohe33% probability@3.30BetssonEV+10%reference odds
    Bookmaker1 · Vanraure HachinoheX2 · Shonan Bellmare
    Betsafe
    EV+ 10%
    3.30    		3.052.12
    Betsson
    EV+ 10%
    3.30    		3.052.12
    Nordicbet
    EV+ 10%
    3.30    		3.052.12
    Pinnacle
    EV+ 15%
    3.44
    EV+ 3%
    3.16    		2.21

    Odds updated 11 Sept, 12:24

    Odds movement

    1+1 %
    30 %25 %

    3.42 → 3.44

    X-3 %
    32 %27 %

    3.26 → 3.16

    2+4 %
    46 %41 %

    2.12 → 2.21

    Over 2,5+1 %
    44 %39 %

    2.27 → 2.30

    Pinnacle · 7 recorded price levels · 06/09/2026 → 11/09/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Statistics

    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Vanraure Hachinohe
    Shonan Bellmare
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Vanraure Hachinohe (3–7)
    Shonan Bellmare (5–5)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Vanraure Hachinohe
    Shoma Takayoshi: 173 passningar, xT 0.78TakayoshiWataru Hiramatsu: 154 passningar, xT 0.28HiramatsuTeruhiro Sasaki: 150 passningar, xT 0.18SasakiShoma Otoizumi: 88 passningar, xT 0.37OtoizumiYudai Sawada: 85 passningar, xT 0.17SawadaDaisuke Inazumi: 79 passningar, xT 0.03InazumiFumiya Unoki: 77 passningar, xT 0.58UnokiYuta Sato: 59 passningar, xT 0.15SatoHiroto Yukie: 59 passningar, xT 0.25YukieSeiya Nakano: 42 passningar, xT -0.21NakanoYusuke Taniguchi: 40 passningar, xT 0.07Taniguchi
    Shonan Bellmare
    Shohei Takeda: 178 passningar, xT 0.01TakedaYutaro Hakamata: 151 passningar, xT 0.45HakamataKazuki Dohana: 143 passningar, xT 0.09DohanaYuto Suzuki: 134 passningar, xT 0.25SuzukiSere Matsumura: 128 passningar, xT 0.4MatsumuraArthur Silva Feitoza: 122 passningar, xT 0.16FeitozaSoki Tamura: 77 passningar, xT 0.22TamuraNaoki Kase: 74 passningar, xT 0.47KaseHiroto Yamada: 57 passningar, xT 0YamadaTaiyo Nishino: 54 passningar, xT 0.13NishinoKota Sanada: 50 passningar, xT 0.13Sanada
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Vanraure Hachinohe
    Shoma Takayoshi: 173 passningar, xT 0.78TakayoshiWataru Hiramatsu: 154 passningar, xT 0.28HiramatsuTeruhiro Sasaki: 150 passningar, xT 0.18SasakiShoma Otoizumi: 88 passningar, xT 0.37OtoizumiYudai Sawada: 85 passningar, xT 0.17SawadaDaisuke Inazumi: 79 passningar, xT 0.03InazumiFumiya Unoki: 77 passningar, xT 0.58UnokiYuta Sato: 59 passningar, xT 0.15SatoHiroto Yukie: 59 passningar, xT 0.25YukieSeiya Nakano: 42 passningar, xT -0.21NakanoYusuke Taniguchi: 40 passningar, xT 0.07Taniguchi
    Shonan Bellmare
    Shohei Takeda: 178 passningar, xT 0.01TakedaYutaro Hakamata: 151 passningar, xT 0.45HakamataKazuki Dohana: 143 passningar, xT 0.09DohanaYuto Suzuki: 134 passningar, xT 0.25SuzukiSere Matsumura: 128 passningar, xT 0.4MatsumuraArthur Silva Feitoza: 122 passningar, xT 0.16FeitozaSoki Tamura: 77 passningar, xT 0.22TamuraNaoki Kase: 74 passningar, xT 0.47KaseHiroto Yamada: 57 passningar, xT 0YamadaTaiyo Nishino: 54 passningar, xT 0.13NishinoKota Sanada: 50 passningar, xT 0.13Sanada
    The goalkeepersTeruhiro Sasaki (Vanraure Hachinohe)Kota Sanada (Shonan Bellmare)
    Saves721
    Save %100%84%
    xG prevented100%36%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Vanraure Hachinohe
    Fixtures, form & tips
    Shonan Bellmare
    Fixtures, form & tips

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Vanraure Hachinohe vs Shonan Bellmare according to our model?

    The model gives Shonan Bellmare a 34% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Vanraure Hachinohe 33%, draw 33%, Shonan Bellmare 34%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 0-0 at 14% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 32% and under at 68%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 40% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    The model called the outcome
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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.