J2 League20°20 km/h

    Läs på svenska
    Vanraure HachinoheVanraure Hachinohe
    vs
    Tegevajaro MiyazakiTegevajaro Miyazaki
    The model's lean: 2 · Tegevajaro Miyazaki (41%)

    Vanraure Hachinohe vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki · J2 League

    1 · Vanraure Hachinohe 25%X 34%41% Tegevajaro Miyazaki · 2

    Analysis: Vanraure HachinoheTegevajaro Miyazaki

    Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work

    TEXT: Tegevajaro Miyazaki's 41% chance of victory sets them as lean favorites against Vanraure Hachinohe, even away from home. The model's numbers suggest a tight matchup with both teams showing nearly equal expected goals, 1.13 for the visitors and 1.08 for the hosts.

    The most likely scorelines reflect a balanced contest, with 1-1 leading at 14%, followed by 0-1 at 12% and 1-0 at 11%. This spread highlights the potential for a low-scoring affair, supported by a mere 38% probability for over 2.5 goals. Both defenses seem capable of containing the opposition, with only 45% chance for both teams to score. The facts point towards a cautious encounter, with neither side likely to dominate.

    As the model leans toward Tegevajaro Miyazaki, their 41% win probability suggests some value on the visitors. In a match poised for low goal output and narrow margins, backing the visitors to clinch a 0-1 win remains a calculated position.

    Vanraure HachinoheVanraure Hachinohe
    Form WLLWD
    Key players
    • Ryusei TakaoFxG 0.60 · xT 0.01
    • Fumiya UnokiFxG 0.09 · xT 0.13
    • Shoma OtoizumiLWxG 0.06 · xT 0.12
    Tegevajaro MiyazakiTegevajaro Miyazaki
    Form LDDLL
    Key players
    • Yota ShimokawaLBxG 0.04 · xT 0.23
    • Hikaru ManabeCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.08
    • Kengo KurokiCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.05

    Match prediction: Vanraure HachinoheTegevajaro Miyazaki

    Predicted score matrix

    Tegevajaro Miyazaki
    Vanraure Hachinohe
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–011.3%
    0–112.0%
    0–27.0%
    0–32.7%
    0–4+1.0%
    1
    1–011.4%
    1–113.8%
    1–27.6%
    1–32.9%
    1–4+1.0%
    2
    2–06.4%
    2–17.2%
    2–24.1%
    2–31.5%
    2–4+0.6%
    3
    3–02.3%
    3–12.6%
    3–21.5%
    3–30.6%
    3–4+0.2%
    4+
    4+–00.8%
    4+–10.9%
    4+–20.5%
    4+–30.2%
    4+–4+0.1%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-114%
    2. 2.0-112%
    3. 3.1-011%
    4. 4.0-011%
    5. 5.1-28%
    Expected goals
    1,081,13
    Both teams to score
    45%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,2
    Under 2,562%
    Over 2,538%

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw (X2)66%
    • Under 3.5 goals82%

    Combined probability

    54%

    Fair odds

    1.84

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw (X2)66%
    • Under 2.5 goals62%
    • Yusei Toshida to score27%

    Combined probability

    Fair odds

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score45%
    • Over 2.5 goals38%
    • Yusei Toshida to score27%
    • Shoma Takayoshi to be booked25%

    Combined probability

    Fair odds

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Statistics

    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Vanraure Hachinohe
    Tegevajaro Miyazaki
    When goals are scored and conceded 2026
    Vanraure Hachinohe (37)
    Tegevajaro Miyazaki (38)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Vanraure Hachinohe
    Shoma Takayoshi: 173 passningar, xT 0.78TakayoshiWataru Hiramatsu: 154 passningar, xT 0.28HiramatsuTeruhiro Sasaki: 150 passningar, xT 0.18SasakiShoma Otoizumi: 88 passningar, xT 0.37OtoizumiYudai Sawada: 85 passningar, xT 0.17SawadaDaisuke Inazumi: 79 passningar, xT 0.03InazumiFumiya Unoki: 77 passningar, xT 0.58UnokiYuta Sato: 59 passningar, xT 0.15SatoHiroto Yukie: 59 passningar, xT 0.25YukieSeiya Nakano: 42 passningar, xT -0.21NakanoYusuke Taniguchi: 40 passningar, xT 0.07Taniguchi
    Tegevajaro Miyazaki
    Yota Shimokawa: 254 passningar, xT 1.24ShimokawaHikaru Manabe: 247 passningar, xT 0.41ManabeEisuke Watanabe: 192 passningar, xT 0.4WatanabeRiku Yamauchi: 161 passningar, xT 0.07YamauchiKoji Okumura: 141 passningar, xT 0.27OkumuraKengo Kuroki: 140 passningar, xT 0.26KurokiYuma Matsumoto: 128 passningar, xT 0.23MatsumotoRyoya Kimura: 128 passningar, xT 0.18KimuraKaiga Murakoshi: 88 passningar, xT 0.18MurakoshiRen Inoue: 74 passningar, xT 0.04InoueTakashi Abe: 72 passningar, xT 0.08Abe
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Vanraure Hachinohe
    Shoma Takayoshi: 173 passningar, xT 0.78TakayoshiWataru Hiramatsu: 154 passningar, xT 0.28HiramatsuTeruhiro Sasaki: 150 passningar, xT 0.18SasakiShoma Otoizumi: 88 passningar, xT 0.37OtoizumiYudai Sawada: 85 passningar, xT 0.17SawadaDaisuke Inazumi: 79 passningar, xT 0.03InazumiFumiya Unoki: 77 passningar, xT 0.58UnokiYuta Sato: 59 passningar, xT 0.15SatoHiroto Yukie: 59 passningar, xT 0.25YukieSeiya Nakano: 42 passningar, xT -0.21NakanoYusuke Taniguchi: 40 passningar, xT 0.07Taniguchi
    Tegevajaro Miyazaki
    Yota Shimokawa: 254 passningar, xT 1.24ShimokawaHikaru Manabe: 247 passningar, xT 0.41ManabeEisuke Watanabe: 192 passningar, xT 0.4WatanabeRiku Yamauchi: 161 passningar, xT 0.07YamauchiKoji Okumura: 141 passningar, xT 0.27OkumuraKengo Kuroki: 140 passningar, xT 0.26KurokiYuma Matsumoto: 128 passningar, xT 0.23MatsumotoRyoya Kimura: 128 passningar, xT 0.18KimuraKaiga Murakoshi: 88 passningar, xT 0.18MurakoshiRen Inoue: 74 passningar, xT 0.04InoueTakashi Abe: 72 passningar, xT 0.08Abe
    The goalkeepersTeruhiro Sasaki (Vanraure Hachinohe)Ryoya Kimura (Tegevajaro Miyazaki)
    Saves714
    Save %100%70%
    xG prevented100%39%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Vanraure Hachinohe vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki according to our model?

    The model gives Tegevajaro Miyazaki a 41% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Vanraure Hachinohe 25%, draw 34%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 41%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 14% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 38% and under at 62%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 45% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

    More matches in the league

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.