J2 League24°2,4 mm11 km/h

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    Yokohama FCYokohama FC
    vs
    FC ImabariFC Imabari
    The model's lean: 1 · Yokohama FC (56%)

    Yokohama FC vs FC Imabari · J2 League

    1 · Yokohama FC 56%X 26%18% FC Imabari · 2

    Analysis: Yokohama FC – FC Imabari

    Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work

    Yokohama FC's 64% home win rate in their all-time record (22 matches played) underlines their strength at NHK Spring Mitsuzawa Stadium. With model probabilities favoring the hosts at 56%, Yokohama's offensive potential stands out against FC Imabari. The expected goals tell a clear story: Yokohama should control the match with 1.86 xG compared to Imabari's 0.97. Despite the rain, which might suppress goal-scoring opportunities, the home side should be well placed to prevail.

    The small sample of head-to-head encounters, fewer than six games, should not heavily influence our assessment. Instead, the 11% likelihood of both a 1-1 draw and a 1-0 victory for the hosts reflects a potential low-scoring affair. However, with a slight 54% leaning towards over 2.5 goals, the weather's role in dampening attacking flair cannot be ignored, and a 2-0 scoreline also sits just behind at 10%.

    For those seeking a prudent value play, backing Yokohama FC to win aligns with both the model's lean and the expected goals disparity. A cautious bet on Yokohama to secure a narrow victory could well be the ticket for settling accounts without the frills of chasing higher odds.

    Yokohama FCYokohama FC
    Form WWLDW
    Key players
    • Kaili ShimboLWxG 0.03 · xT 0.25
    • Lukian Araújo de AlmeidaFxG 0.46 · xT 0.05
    • Akiyuki YokoyamaLWxG 0.13 · xT 0.00
    FC ImabariFC Imabari
    Form LLLLD
    Key players
    • Hikaru AraiRWxG 0.24 · xT 0.15
    • Rei UmekiRWBxG 0.07 · xT 0.07
    • Kota MoriLWxG 0.12 · xT 0.13

    Match prediction: Yokohama FC – FC Imabari

    Predicted score matrix

    FC Imabari →
    Yokohama FC →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–06.3%
    0–15.4%
    0–22.8%
    0–30.9%
    0–4+0.3%
    1
    1–010.7%
    1–111.0%
    1–25.2%
    1–31.7%
    1–4+0.5%
    2
    2–010.2%
    2–19.9%
    2–24.8%
    2–31.5%
    2–4+0.5%
    3
    3–06.3%
    3–16.1%
    3–23.0%
    3–31.0%
    3–4+0.3%
    4+
    4+–04.5%
    4+–14.3%
    4+–22.1%
    4+–30.7%
    4+–4+0.2%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-111%
    2. 2.1-011%
    3. 3.2-010%
    4. 4.2-110%
    5. 5.3-06%
    Expected goals
    1,86–0,97
    Both teams to score
    53%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,8
    Under 2,546%
    –
    Over 2,554%
    –

    Ready-made bet suggestions

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Yokohama FC to win56%
    • Over 1.5 goals78%

    Combined probability

    47%

    Fair odds

    2.12

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Yokohama FC to win56%
    • Over 2.5 goals54%
    • Lukian Araújo de Almeida to score35%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score53%
    • Over 2.5 goals54%
    • Lukian Araújo de Almeida to score35%
    • Gabriel Gomes Ferreira to be booked20%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Statistics

    Key facts

    • Yokohama FC win 64% of their home matches all-time (22 played).
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Yokohama FC
    FC Imabari
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Yokohama FC (11–5)
    FC Imabari (4–9)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Yokohama FC
    Kyo Hosoi: 278 passningar, xT 0.7HosoiKaili Shimbo: 260 passningar, xT 1.09ShimboAkinori Ichikawa: 205 passningar, xT 0.14IchikawaLeo Takae: 191 passningar, xT 0.54TakaeHayato Sugita: 182 passningar, xT 0.31SugitaToma Murata: 120 passningar, xT 0.8MurataKatsuya Iwatake: 100 passningar, xT 0.22IwatakeTakuya Shimamura: 97 passningar, xT 0.26ShimamuraKota Yamada: 95 passningar, xT 0.13YamadaRyosuke Iwasaki: 81 passningar, xT 0.08IwasakiHinata Ogura: 80 passningar, xT 0.14Ogura
    FC Imabari
    Kazuki Kushibiki: 158 passningar, xT 0.33KushibikiHikaru Arai: 124 passningar, xT 0.29AraiKenta Kikuchi: 120 passningar, xT 0.37KikuchiRei Umeki: 117 passningar, xT 0.26UmekiTakuhiro Nakai: 116 passningar, xT -0.01NakaiGabriel Gomes Ferreira: 104 passningar, xT 0.28FerreiraYoshiaki Komai: 91 passningar, xT 0.54KomaiHiroki Abe: 70 passningar, xT 0.19AbeKotaro Tachikawa: 69 passningar, xT 0.1TachikawaTaiga Son: 64 passningar, xT 0.06SonKota Mori: 56 passningar, xT 0.31Mori
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Yokohama FC
    Kyo Hosoi: 278 passningar, xT 0.7HosoiKaili Shimbo: 260 passningar, xT 1.09ShimboAkinori Ichikawa: 205 passningar, xT 0.14IchikawaLeo Takae: 191 passningar, xT 0.54TakaeHayato Sugita: 182 passningar, xT 0.31SugitaToma Murata: 120 passningar, xT 0.8MurataKatsuya Iwatake: 100 passningar, xT 0.22IwatakeTakuya Shimamura: 97 passningar, xT 0.26ShimamuraKota Yamada: 95 passningar, xT 0.13YamadaRyosuke Iwasaki: 81 passningar, xT 0.08IwasakiHinata Ogura: 80 passningar, xT 0.14Ogura
    FC Imabari
    Kazuki Kushibiki: 158 passningar, xT 0.33KushibikiHikaru Arai: 124 passningar, xT 0.29AraiKenta Kikuchi: 120 passningar, xT 0.37KikuchiRei Umeki: 117 passningar, xT 0.26UmekiTakuhiro Nakai: 116 passningar, xT -0.01NakaiGabriel Gomes Ferreira: 104 passningar, xT 0.28FerreiraYoshiaki Komai: 91 passningar, xT 0.54KomaiHiroki Abe: 70 passningar, xT 0.19AbeKotaro Tachikawa: 69 passningar, xT 0.1TachikawaTaiga Son: 64 passningar, xT 0.06SonKota Mori: 56 passningar, xT 0.31Mori
    The goalkeepersAkinori Ichikawa (Yokohama FC)Kotaro Tachikawa (FC Imabari)
    Saves179
    Save %77%50%
    xG prevented44%33%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Yokohama FC
    Fixtures, form & tips
    FC Imabari
    Fixtures, form & tips

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Yokohama FC vs FC Imabari according to our model?

    The model gives Yokohama FC a 56% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Yokohama FC 56%, draw 26%, FC Imabari 18%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 53% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.