Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin: Prediction & Odds (22 Aug 2026)

Ekstraklasa22 August 202618°0,3 mm18 km/h

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Korona Kielce

Motor Lublin

The model's lean: 1 · Korona Kielce (50%)

1 · Korona Kielce 50%X 28%22% Motor Lublin · 2

50%

28%

22%

Match prediction: Korona Kielce – Motor Lublin

Predicted score matrix

Motor Lublin →

Korona Kielce →

0–05.5%

0–16.0%

0–23.8%

0–31.5%

0–4+0.6%

1–08.7%

1–111.3%

1–26.7%

1–32.7%

1–4+1.1%

2–07.9%

2–19.6%

2–25.8%

2–32.4%

2–4+0.9%

3–04.6%

3–15.6%

3–23.4%

3–31.4%

3–4+0.5%

4+–03.0%

4+–13.6%

4+–22.2%

4+–30.9%

4+–4+0.4%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.2-110%
3.1-09%
4.2-08%
5.1-27%

Expected goals

1,74–1,21

Both teams to score

58%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,0

115%

223%

322%

417%

5+18%

Under 2,543%

@2.08

Over 2,557%

@1.65

Ready-made bet suggestions

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01 · 2 legs

Safe

Korona Kielce to win50%
Over 1.5 goals80%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Korona Kielce to win50%
Over 2.5 goals57%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score58%
Over 2.5 goals57%

Odds & value

Bookmaker	1 · Korona Kielce	X	2 · Motor Lublin
Betsafe	1.92	3.40	3.55
Betsson	1.92	3.40	3.55
Nordicbet	1.92	3.40	3.55

Odds updated 17 Aug, 18:36

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin according to our model?

The model gives Korona Kielce a 50% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Korona Kielce 50%, draw 28%, Motor Lublin 22%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 57% and under at 43%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 58% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.