Lech Poznań vs Jagiellonia Białystok: Prediction & Odds (22 Aug 2026)

Ekstraklasa22 August 202619°2,1 mm22 km/h

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Lech Poznań

Jagiellonia Białystok

The model's lean: 1 · Lech Poznań (56%)

1 · Lech Poznań 56%X 24%21% Jagiellonia Białystok · 2

56%

24%

21%

Match prediction: Lech Poznań – Jagiellonia Białystok

Predicted score matrix

Jagiellonia Białystok →

Lech Poznań →

0–03.9%

0–14.7%

0–23.3%

0–31.5%

0–4+0.7%

1–06.9%

1–110.0%

1–26.5%

1–33.0%

1–4+1.3%

2–07.0%

2–19.5%

2–26.4%

2–32.9%

2–4+1.3%

3–04.6%

3–16.2%

3–24.2%

3–31.9%

3–4+0.9%

4+–03.5%

4+–14.7%

4+–23.2%

4+–31.4%

4+–4+0.7%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-110%
2.2-19%
3.2-07%
4.1-07%
5.1-27%

Expected goals

1,96–1,35

Both teams to score

64%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,3

112%

220%

322%

418%

5+24%

Under 2,536%

–

Over 2,564%

–

Ready-made bet suggestions

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01 · 2 legs

Safe

Lech Poznań to win56%
Over 1.5 goals85%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Lech Poznań to win56%
Over 2.5 goals64%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score64%
Over 2.5 goals64%

Odds & value

No odds available yet.

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Lech Poznań vs Jagiellonia Białystok according to our model?

The model gives Lech Poznań a 56% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Lech Poznań 56%, draw 24%, Jagiellonia Białystok 21%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 64% and under at 36%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 64% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.