Ekstraklasa17°0,9 mm20 km/h

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    Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
    vs
    Górnik ZabrzeGórnik Zabrze
    The model's lean: 1 · Raków Częstochowa (47%)

    Raków Częstochowa – Górnik Zabrze · Ekstraklasa

    1 · Raków Częstochowa 47%X 25%27% Górnik Zabrze · 2

    Match prediction: Raków Częstochowa – Górnik Zabrze

    Predicted score matrix

    Górnik Zabrze →
    Raków Częstochowa →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–08.4%
    0–18.3%
    0–24.7%
    0–31.7%
    0–4+0.6%
    1
    1–011.2%
    1–112.9%
    1–26.8%
    1–32.4%
    1–4+0.8%
    2
    2–08.3%
    2–19.0%
    2–24.9%
    2–31.8%
    2–4+0.6%
    3
    3–04.0%
    3–14.3%
    3–22.3%
    3–30.8%
    3–4+0.3%
    4+
    4+–02.0%
    4+–12.2%
    4+–21.2%
    4+–30.4%
    4+–4+0.1%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-113%
    2. 2.1-011%
    3. 3.2-19%
    4. 4.0-08%
    5. 5.2-08%
    Expected goals
    1,44–1,08
    Both teams to score
    51%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,5
    Under 2,554%
    –
    Over 2,546%
    –

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Raków Częstochowa to win47%
    • Under 3.5 goals75%

    Combined probability

    33%

    Fair odds

    3.07

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Raków Częstochowa to win47%
    • Under 2.5 goals54%

    Combined probability

    20%

    Fair odds

    5.13

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score51%
    • Over 2.5 goals46%

    Combined probability

    38%

    Fair odds

    2.63

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Raków Częstochowa vs Górnik Zabrze according to our model?

    The model gives Raków Częstochowa a 47% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Raków Częstochowa 47%, draw 25%, Górnik Zabrze 27%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 46% and under at 54%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 51% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    The model missed the outcome
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    Awaiting result

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.