Scottish PremiershipTannadice Park, Dundee13°0,4 mm21 km/hUpdated

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    Dundee UnitedDundee UnitedLow block & direct
    vs
    The model's lean: 2 · Rangers (60%)
    RangersRangersPossession control

    Dundee United – Rangers · Scottish Premiership

    1 · Dundee United 17%X 22%Rangers · 2 60%
    Dundee UnitedDundee United
    Form WLLDD
    League ranking xG #5xGA #10xT #5xP/match #7Points #7
    Key players
    • Ivan DolcekFxG 0.3 · xT 0.1
    • Zachary SapsfordFxG 0.35 · xT 0.08
    • Will FerryLWxG 0.04 · xT 0.33
    RangersRangers
    Form LLLLW
    League ranking xG #2xGA #3xT #3xP/match #2Points #3
    Key players
    • Youssef Ramalho ChermitiFxG 0.5 · xT 0.09
    • James TavernierRWBxG 0.28 · xT 0.21
    • Bojan MiovskiFxG 0.49 · xT 0

    Match prediction: Dundee United – Rangers

    Predicted score matrix

    Rangers →
    Dundee United →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–04.8%
    0–18.9%
    0–29.3%
    0–36.3%
    0–4+5.1%
    1
    1–04.6%
    1–110.1%
    1–29.9%
    1–36.7%
    1–4+5.4%
    2
    2–02.6%
    2–15.2%
    2–25.3%
    2–33.6%
    2–4+2.9%
    3
    3–00.9%
    3–11.9%
    3–21.9%
    3–31.3%
    3–4+1.0%
    4+
    4+–00.3%
    4+–10.6%
    4+–20.6%
    4+–30.4%
    4+–4+0.3%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-110%
    2. 2.1-210%
    3. 3.0-29%
    4. 4.0-19%
    5. 5.1-37%
    Expected goals
    1,07–2,03
    Both teams to score
    57%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,1
    Under 2,540%
    –
    Over 2,560%
    –

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • Under 3.563% probability@1.66PinnacleEV+4%
    • X · Draw22% probability@4.58PinnacleEV+2%
    Bookmaker1 · Dundee UnitedX2 · Rangers
    Pinnacle5.52
    EV+ 2%
    4.58    		1.52

    Odds updated 27 Jul, 15:52

    Analysis: Dundee United – Rangers

    Oscar Nilsson · · How the predictions work

    Four wins to none in their last seven meetings underscore the dominance Rangers hold over Dundee United, a trend that's difficult to ignore when sizing up this Scottish Premiership clash. Rangers' consistent ability to find the back of the net, evidenced by scoring in 14 consecutive league matches, ensures they enter this matchup with a psychological edge. Meanwhile, Dundee United's defensive frailties, illustrated by an xGA of 1.8, spell trouble against a Rangers side boasting an xG of 2.0.

    Rangers have not only dominated the head-to-head encounters but have relished in high-scoring affairs against Dundee United, with an average of 3.6 goals per meeting. Given the expected goals metrics—Dundee United 1.07 and Rangers 2.03—it's a fair bet to anticipate another bustling scoreline. The data points to the likelihood of a 1-2 or 0-2 result, with both outcomes capturing a 10% and 9% probability respectively.

    Dundee United can’t be underestimated entirely; their xPoints of 51.4 nudges some respectability into their campaign. Yet, they face a stark reality against Rangers' possession-driven style, which historically dismantles their low defense and direct approach. Dundee United simply hasn't managed to turn their xG potential into tangible points against a Rangers side that eyes a relatively straightforward path to tightening their Premiership grip.

    Considering the model's lean towards Rangers and the match's goal-scoring potential, the over 2.5 goals at 60% seems a solid expectation. However, the sharpest betting angle may just lie in the conservative under 3.5 goals with Pinnacle at odds of 1.657, presenting a 4% value edge. For those tempted by an unpredictable swing, the draw at odds of 4.58 also provides a slight value, but expect Rangers to edge this one, likely 2-1, in a fixture that should fulfill its promise of goals.

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    7 matches
    Dundee United 0Draw 3Rangers 4
    Goals: 9–16 (⌀ 3,6)

    Head-to-head based on Scottish Premiership data since 2023.

    Key facts

    • Rangers dominate this fixture historically: 4 wins to 0 in 7 meetings.
    • A high-scoring fixture: 3.6 goals per meeting on average.
    • Rangers have scored in 14 consecutive league matches.
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Dundee United
    Rangers
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2025
    Dundee United (49–60)
    Rangers (76–43)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Dundee United
    Nicolas Raskin: 218 passningar, xT 0.16RaskinVicko Sevelj: 165 passningar, xT 0.26SeveljWill Ferry: 150 passningar, xT 1.4FerryPanutche Camara: 104 passningar, xT -0.06CamaraEmmanuel Agyei: 104 passningar, xT 0.12AgyeiRyan Strain: 101 passningar, xT 0.56StrainSamuel Cleall-Harding: 89 passningar, xT 0.09Cleall-HardingKrisztián Keresztes: 89 passningar, xT 0.21KeresztesDave Richards: 76 passningar, xT 0.13RichardsCraig Sibbald: 69 passningar, xT -0.03SibbaldZachary Sapsford: 61 passningar, xT 0.11Sapsford
    Rangers
    Emmanuel Fernandez: 243 passningar, xT 0.71FernandezNasser Djiga: 231 passningar, xT 0.24DjigaMohammed Baba Diomande: 170 passningar, xT 0.48DiomandeConnor Clark Barron: 160 passningar, xT 0.24BarronJack Butland: 133 passningar, xT 0.11ButlandTochi Phil Chukwuani: 116 passningar, xT 0.11ChukwuaniThelo Aasgaard: 108 passningar, xT 0.62AasgaardMikey Moore: 98 passningar, xT 0.47MooreDujon Sterling: 84 passningar, xT 0.11SterlingTuur Rommens: 83 passningar, xT 0.84RommensYoussef Ramalho Chermiti: 77 passningar, xT 0.56Chermiti
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Dundee United
    Nicolas Raskin: 218 passningar, xT 0.16RaskinVicko Sevelj: 165 passningar, xT 0.26SeveljWill Ferry: 150 passningar, xT 1.4FerryPanutche Camara: 104 passningar, xT -0.06CamaraEmmanuel Agyei: 104 passningar, xT 0.12AgyeiRyan Strain: 101 passningar, xT 0.56StrainSamuel Cleall-Harding: 89 passningar, xT 0.09Cleall-HardingKrisztián Keresztes: 89 passningar, xT 0.21KeresztesDave Richards: 76 passningar, xT 0.13RichardsCraig Sibbald: 69 passningar, xT -0.03SibbaldZachary Sapsford: 61 passningar, xT 0.11Sapsford
    Rangers
    Emmanuel Fernandez: 243 passningar, xT 0.71FernandezNasser Djiga: 231 passningar, xT 0.24DjigaMohammed Baba Diomande: 170 passningar, xT 0.48DiomandeConnor Clark Barron: 160 passningar, xT 0.24BarronJack Butland: 133 passningar, xT 0.11ButlandTochi Phil Chukwuani: 116 passningar, xT 0.11ChukwuaniThelo Aasgaard: 108 passningar, xT 0.62AasgaardMikey Moore: 98 passningar, xT 0.47MooreDujon Sterling: 84 passningar, xT 0.11SterlingTuur Rommens: 83 passningar, xT 0.84RommensYoussef Ramalho Chermiti: 77 passningar, xT 0.56Chermiti

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceDundee UnitedRangers
    Points4572
    xPoints51.459.8
    xG per match1.52
    xGA per match1.81.2
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.260.2
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.20.21
    Playing styleDundee UnitedRangers
    Build-up efficiency0.340.34
    Field tilt0.370.64
    xT per match11.2
    xTA per match10.71
    Won balls, offensive half2628
    Pressing intensity0.240.22
    Pressing efficiency0.310.31
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.330.36
    Entries into the box per match1316
    Entries into the box against1410
    Pass completion %0.650.79
    Pass completion % under pressure0.620.74
    Passes per match234407
    Passes against per match358274
    Switches of play per match19.724.7
    Long balls per match3028
    Set piecesDundee UnitedRangers
    xG from free kicks0.060.14
    Corners per match4.66.7
    Corners against per match5.53.9
    xG per corner0.050.07
    xGA per corner against0.070.06
    First touch, offensive corners %0.390.4
    First touch, defensive corners %0.570.62
    OtherDundee UnitedRangers
    Throw-in control0.720.72
    The goalkeepersDave Richards (Dundee United)Jack Butland (Rangers)
    Saves61102
    Save %73%71%
    xG prevented49%53%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Dundee United vs Rangers according to our model?

    The model gives Rangers a 60% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Dundee United 17%, draw 22%, Rangers 60%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 60% and under at 40%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.