01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Partizan Belgrade to win49%
- Over 1.5 goals78%
Serbian Super LeaguePartizans stadion, Belgrad19°14 km/h
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Partizan BelgradePossession & high pressvs
VojvodinaPossession & high pressThe model's lean: 1 · Partizan Belgrade (49%)
Partizan Belgrade – Vojvodina · Serbian Super League
1 · Partizan Belgrade 49%X 27%24% Vojvodina · 2
49%
27%
24%
Analysis: Partizan Belgrade – Vojvodina
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
In the recent head-to-head encounters between Partizan and Vojvodina, Partizan has a slight edge with two wins to Vojvodina's one, but this sample of six matches is too small to overshadow current form and metrics. Vojvodina enters this match with momentum, riding a wave of three consecutive victories. The visitors also lead in xPoints (13.0 to 9.3) and xG per match (2.1 to 1.5), indicating a stronger attacking performance so far this season. Despite trailing in the standings, Partizan's historical home win rate of 59% over 41 matches could play a crucial role.
The most probable scorelines of 1-1, 2-1, and 1-0 reflect a closely contested match, with Partizan's slight model-favored win probability of 49% leaning towards a narrow victory or a draw. Both sides adopt a possession-based high press style, suggesting an evenly matched tactical battle. However, Partizan's xGA advantage of 1.2 over Vojvodina's 1.3 gives the hosts a marginal defensive edge, which may become decisive in a tight contest.
With a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% probability of both teams scoring, the data suggests goals may be on the cards. Yet, considering the betting markets, there's notable value in the under 2.5 goals line. The model values the under at 46%, while Betsafe, Betsson, and Nordicbet offer odds of 2.35, providing an 8% edge. Given the competitive nature of both teams and defensive solidity, leaning on this under 2.5 goals market could be a savvy play.
This matchup promises to hinge on minute details where Partizan's minor defensive superiority might just tip the scales. But with the value on the under, the cautious bettor might find the most interest in wagering against the goal expectation.
Partizan BelgradeForm LLLWL
League ranking xG #5xGA #7xT #4xP/match #10Points #12
Key players
- Zubairu IbrahimLWxG 0.25 · xT -0.05
- Aleks ZekovićCMxG 0.09 · xT 0.04
- Demba SeckRWxG 0.30 · xT 0.24
VojvodinaForm WLWWW
League ranking xG #3xGA #9xT #2xP/match #4Points #2
Key players
- Nardin MulahusejnovicFxG 0.87 · xT -0.02
- Dragan KokanovićRWxG 0.30 · xT 0.08
- Lazar RanđelovićRWxG 0.26 · xT 0.41
Match prediction: Partizan Belgrade – Vojvodina
Predicted score matrix
Vojvodina →
Partizan Belgrade →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–06.2%
0–16.6%
0–24.1%
0–31.6%
0–4+0.6%
1
1–09.3%
1–111.8%
1–26.8%
1–32.7%
1–4+1.0%
2
2–08.0%
2–19.5%
2–25.6%
2–32.2%
2–4+0.9%
3
3–04.4%
3–15.2%
3–23.1%
3–31.2%
3–4+0.5%
4+
4+–02.7%
4+–13.2%
4+–21.9%
4+–30.7%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-112%
- 2.2-19%
- 3.1-09%
- 4.2-08%
- 5.1-27%
Expected goals
1,66–1,18
Both teams to score
57%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,80
116%
224%
322%
416%
5+16%
Under 2,546%
@2.35EV+3%
Over 2,554%
@1.61
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Partizan Belgrade to win49%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Bogdan Kostić to score26%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score57%
- Over 2.5 goals54%
- Bogdan Kostić to score26%
- Njegoš Petrović to be booked23%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · Partizan Belgrade49% probability@2.50Bet365EV+23%reference odds
- 1 · Partizan Belgrade49% probability@2.45Paddy PowerEV+20%reference odds
- Under 2.546% probability@2.35BetsafeEV+8%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Partizan Belgrade | X | 2 · Vojvodina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | EV+ 23% 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| Betsafe | EV+ 7% 2.18 | 3.45 | 2.80 |
| Betsson | EV+ 7% 2.18 | 3.45 | 2.80 |
| Nordicbet | EV+ 7% 2.18 | 3.45 | 2.80 |
| Paddy Power | EV+ 20% 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| Pinnacle | EV+ 7% 2.18 | 3.52 | 2.84 |
Odds updated 11 Sept, 14:28
Odds movement
1-1 %
44 %39 %
2.21 → 2.18
X0 %
29 %24 %
3.52 → 3.52
20 %
35 %30 %
2.83 → 2.84
Pinnacle · 7 recorded price levels · 10/09/2026 → 11/09/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
6 matchesPartizan Belgrade 2Draw 3Vojvodina 1
Goals: 4–5 (⌀ 1,5)
Head-to-head based on Serbian Super League data since 2023.
Key facts
- FK Partizan Belgrade dominate this fixture historically: 2 wins to 1 in 6 meetings.
- FK Vojvodina Novi Sad come into this round on 3 straight wins.
- FK Partizan Belgrade win 59% of their home matches all-time (41 played).
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Partizan Belgrade
Vojvodina
Partizan Belgrade (11–12)
Vojvodina (17–7)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Partizan Belgrade
Vojvodina
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Partizan Belgrade
Vojvodina
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Partizan Belgrade | Vojvodina |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 7 | 18 |
| xPoints | 9.3 | 13 |
| xG per match | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| xGA per match | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.14 | 0.72 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.17 | 0.54 |
| Playing style | Partizan Belgrade | Vojvodina |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Field tilt | 0.7 | 0.62 |
| xT per match | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| xTA per match | 1 | 0.76 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 28 | 28 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.2 | 0.21 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| Entries into the box per match | 16 | 15 |
| Entries into the box against | 10 | 10 |
| Pass completion % | 0.78 | 0.75 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.75 | 0.71 |
| Passes per match | 406 | 320 |
| Passes against per match | 231 | 266 |
| Switches of play per match | 35.9 | 20.7 |
| Long balls per match | 50 | 31 |
| Set pieces | Partizan Belgrade | Vojvodina |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| Corners per match | 5.2 | 5.3 |
| Corners against per match | 2.4 | 4.5 |
| xG per corner | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.04 | 0.01 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.59 | 0.69 |
| Other | Partizan Belgrade | Vojvodina |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.71 | 0.65 |
| The goalkeepers | Miloš Krunić (Partizan Belgrade) | Dragan Rosić (Vojvodina) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 13 | 33 |
| Save % | 59% | 83% |
| xG prevented | 28% | 58% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Partizan Belgrade vs Vojvodina according to our model?
The model gives Partizan Belgrade a 49% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Partizan Belgrade 49%, draw 27%, Vojvodina 24%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.