Serbian Super League30°15 km/h

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    Radnički 1923Radnički 1923Possession control
    vs
    IMTIMTCounter-attacks & crosses
    The model's lean: 1 · Radnički 1923 (39%)

    Radnički 1923 – IMT · Serbian Super League

    1 · Radnički 1923 39%X 30%30% IMT · 2

    Analysis: Radnički 1923 – IMT

    Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work

    Five matches on record provide a limited lens into the head-to-head tussle between FK Radnicki 1923 and FK IMT Belgrad, with an even split of 2 wins apiece and a solitary draw. Yet, it's FK IMT Belgrad's current form and underlying metrics that intrigue. Despite FK Radnicki 1923's technical edge in possession, FK IMT Belgrade's tactical counter-attacking flair has propelled them to 10 points this season, overshadowing Radnicki's mere 6.

    FK Radnicki 1923 might enjoy a slight edge in win probabilities at 39%, but their expected goals (xG) of 1.35 per match falls short of FK IMT Belgrad's 1.8. The visitors also boast a remarkable defensive solidity, conceding just 0.72 expected goals against (xGA) per match. This defensive resilience, especially when poised against Radnicki's relatively porous defense, could prove pivotal in a tightly contested fixture.

    43% of matches historically include fewer than 2.5 goals — a conservative play seems wise. The model suggests a 1-1 or a slender 1-0 either way, yet FK IMT Belgrad’s sharper counter-attacks might just tip the scales. A draw feels tantalizingly probable, but at 30% odds for either a draw or an FK IMT Belgrad victory, there's palpable value in backing the visitors.

    FK IMT Belgrad's counter-attacking prowess is likely to puncture Radnicki’s possession-heavy form. With the weather not factoring in, the conditions should allow the visitors to exploit their strengths. At 9% for a 0-1 result, and given their current form, FK IMT Belgrad is the more appetizing pick at odds where a 0-1 victory could deliver a handsome return. The bookmaker's odds might not fully capture their current advantages, making this a shrewd angle for punters seeking value.

    Radnički 1923Radnički 1923
    Form DLLWW
    League ranking xG #4xGA #11xT #2xP/match #9Points #6
    Key players
    • Uroš SremčevićFxG 0.74 · xT 0.00
    • Nemanja GlavčićFxG 0.20 · xT 0.21
    • Nikola MarjanovićCBxG 0.13 · xT 0.08
    IMTIMT
    Form WWWLD
    League ranking xG #2xGA #2xT #6xP/match #2Points #2
    Key players
    • Charly Soualio KeitaFxG 0.51 · xT 0.04
    • Tadija CojicFxG 0.33 · xT 0.11
    • Vasilije NovičićCDMxG 0.31 · xT 0.08

    Match prediction: Radnički 1923 – IMT

    Predicted score matrix

    IMT →
    Radnički 1923 →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–09.1%
    0–19.2%
    0–25.2%
    0–31.9%
    0–4+0.7%
    1
    1–011.4%
    1–113.2%
    1–27.0%
    1–32.5%
    1–4+0.9%
    2
    2–07.9%
    2–18.6%
    2–24.7%
    2–31.7%
    2–4+0.6%
    3
    3–03.6%
    3–13.9%
    3–22.1%
    3–30.8%
    3–4+0.3%
    4+
    4+–01.6%
    4+–11.8%
    4+–21.0%
    4+–30.3%
    4+–4+0.1%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-113%
    2. 2.1-011%
    3. 3.0-19%
    4. 4.0-09%
    5. 5.2-19%
    Expected goals
    1,35–1,09
    Both teams to score
    49%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,4
    Under 2,556%
    @1.68
    Over 2,544%
    @2.08

    Ready-made bet suggestions

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance Radnički 1923 or draw (1X)70%
    • Under 3.5 goals77%

    Combined probability

    54%

    Fair odds

    1.86

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance Radnički 1923 or draw (1X)70%
    • Under 2.5 goals56%
    • Mohamed Cissé to score17%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score49%
    • Over 2.5 goals44%
    • Aleksa Mitić to score22%
    • Wendkuuni Josué Tiendrébéogo to be booked23%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    Bookmaker1 · Radnički 1923X2 · IMT
    Betsafe2.153.103.10
    Betsson2.153.103.10
    Nordicbet2.153.103.10

    Odds updated 17 Aug, 14:35

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    5 matches
    Radnički 1923 2Draw 1IMT 2
    Goals: 8–6 (⌀ 2,8)

    Head-to-head based on Serbian Super League data since 2023.

    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Radnički 1923
    IMT
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Radnički 1923 (4–4)
    IMT (7–2)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Radnički 1923
    Nikola Marjanović: 206 passningar, xT 0.29MarjanovićSlobodan Simović: 179 passningar, xT 0.33SimovićLuka Lijeskić: 143 passningar, xT 0.19LijeskićBojica Nikčević: 118 passningar, xT 0.44NikčevićNemanja Glavčić: 83 passningar, xT 0.54GlavčićIlija Babić: 59 passningar, xT 0.54BabićMohamed Cissé: 47 passningar, xT 1.3CisséAsmir Suljić: 47 passningar, xT 0.01SuljićMiloš Ristić: 46 passningar, xT 0.2RistićJovan Ilic: 46 passningar, xT 0.09IlicSemir Alić: 43 passningar, xT 0.1Alić
    IMT
    Moussa Sissako: 254 passningar, xT 0.33SissakoStefan Šapić: 226 passningar, xT 0.24ŠapićVasilije Novičić: 210 passningar, xT 0.45NovičićIván Martos Campillo: 162 passningar, xT 0.63CampilloOgnjen Čančarević: 141 passningar, xT 0.31ČančarevićWendkuuni Josué Tiendrébéogo: 119 passningar, xT 0.29TiendrébéogoIsmael Casas Casado: 115 passningar, xT 0.24CasadoLuka Luković: 72 passningar, xT 0.83LukovićNikola Glišić: 64 passningar, xT 0.39GlišićDušan Žagar: 62 passningar, xT 0.55ŽagarVladimir Radočaj: 53 passningar, xT 0.64Radočaj
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Radnički 1923
    Nikola Marjanović: 206 passningar, xT 0.29MarjanovićSlobodan Simović: 179 passningar, xT 0.33SimovićLuka Lijeskić: 143 passningar, xT 0.19LijeskićBojica Nikčević: 118 passningar, xT 0.44NikčevićNemanja Glavčić: 83 passningar, xT 0.54GlavčićIlija Babić: 59 passningar, xT 0.54BabićMohamed Cissé: 47 passningar, xT 1.3CisséAsmir Suljić: 47 passningar, xT 0.01SuljićMiloš Ristić: 46 passningar, xT 0.2RistićJovan Ilic: 46 passningar, xT 0.09IlicSemir Alić: 43 passningar, xT 0.1Alić
    IMT
    Moussa Sissako: 254 passningar, xT 0.33SissakoStefan Šapić: 226 passningar, xT 0.24ŠapićVasilije Novičić: 210 passningar, xT 0.45NovičićIván Martos Campillo: 162 passningar, xT 0.63CampilloOgnjen Čančarević: 141 passningar, xT 0.31ČančarevićWendkuuni Josué Tiendrébéogo: 119 passningar, xT 0.29TiendrébéogoIsmael Casas Casado: 115 passningar, xT 0.24CasadoLuka Luković: 72 passningar, xT 0.83LukovićNikola Glišić: 64 passningar, xT 0.39GlišićDušan Žagar: 62 passningar, xT 0.55ŽagarVladimir Radočaj: 53 passningar, xT 0.64Radočaj

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceRadnički 1923IMT
    Points610
    xPoints4.89.4
    xG per match1.61.8
    xGA per match1.50.72
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.230.24
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.40.18
    Playing styleRadnički 1923IMT
    Build-up efficiency0.310.29
    Field tilt0.580.51
    xT per match1.61.2
    xTA per match1.30.79
    Won balls, offensive half2128
    Pressing intensity0.240.21
    Pressing efficiency0.340.35
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.270.34
    Entries into the box per match1812
    Entries into the box against169
    Pass completion %0.750.74
    Pass completion % under pressure0.680.73
    Passes per match325316
    Passes against per match236253
    Switches of play per match22.117.4
    Long balls per match2331
    Set piecesRadnički 1923IMT
    xG from free kicks0.090.05
    Corners per match7.55.7
    Corners against per match5.33.2
    xG per corner0.030.03
    xGA per corner against0.040.01
    First touch, offensive corners %0.50.38
    First touch, defensive corners %0.480.69
    OtherRadnički 1923IMT
    Throw-in control0.670.73
    The goalkeepersLuka Lijeskić (Radnički 1923)Ognjen Čančarević (IMT)
    Saves1511
    Save %79%85%
    xG prevented53%92%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Radnički 1923 vs IMT according to our model?

    The model gives Radnički 1923 a 39% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Radnički 1923 39%, draw 30%, IMT 30%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 44% and under at 56%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 49% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.