Serbian Super LeagueKarađorđe-stadion, Novi Sad27°0,3 mm13 km/h

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    VojvodinaVojvodinaPossession & high press
    1–0
    Železničar PančevoŽelezničar PančevoCounter-attacks & crosses
    The model's lean: 1 · Vojvodina (45%)Best value by the model: 2 · Železničar Pančevo @ 4.98 (+46 %)

    Vojvodina – Železničar Pančevo · Serbian Super League

    1 · Vojvodina 45%X 26%29% Železničar Pančevo · 2

    Analysis: Vojvodina – Železničar Pančevo

    Marcus Johansson · · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work

    Nine matches unbeaten—Železničar Pančevo carries a formidable streak into this clash against Vojvodina. Yet, the numbers suggest the hosts are slight favorites, with a 45% probability of victory. Vojvodina's preference for possession and high pressing contrasts sharply with the visitors' counter-attacking style, setting a tactical stage ripe for disruption and transition play.

    The head-to-head record is limited, with just five encounters since 2023, reflecting a balanced ledger: one win, three draws, and one loss each. Therefore, current form and expected goals (xG) are more telling. Vojvodina's 1.8 xG per match, double that of the visitors, underscores their offensive potency. However, with both teams slightly tipped to score (55%), a 1-1 draw emerges as a probable outcome.

    Despite Vojvodina's edge in points and xPoints, the sharpest angle lies in the odds. With Železničar Pančevo priced at 5.1 by Betsafe, Betsson, and Nordicbet, there's a 50% edge based on the model's 29% win probability. For punters seeking value, backing the visitors at these odds offers a compelling option amidst the tactical chessboard.

    VojvodinaVojvodina
    Form WLWWL
    League ranking xG #3xGA #12xT #3xP/match #8Points #4
    Key players
    • Nardin MulahusejnovicFxG 1.06 · xT 0.04
    • Lazar RanđelovićRWxG 0.22 · xT 0.26
    • Njegoš PetrovićCMxG 0.04 · xT 0.08
    Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo
    Form DDWDD
    League ranking xG #10xGA #3xT #10xP/match #10Points #8
    Key players
    • Nikola ĐuričićLBxG 0.05 · xT 0.07
    • Nemanja VidojevićCBxG 0.00 · xT 0.09
    • Simão Ambrósio PedroLWxG 0.23 · xT 0.01
    Final score
    1 – 0
    The model called the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Vojvodina 45% · Draw 26% · Železničar Pančevo 29%

    How the bookmaker bet builders went

    The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.

    Matchresultat - VojvodinaBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
    odds 4,11fair 8,54-52 %
    Miss

    Match prediction: Vojvodina – Železničar Pančevo

    Predicted score matrix

    Železničar Pančevo →
    Vojvodina →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–07.1%
    0–17.7%
    0–24.8%
    0–31.9%
    0–4+0.7%
    1
    1–09.8%
    1–112.4%
    1–27.2%
    1–32.9%
    1–4+1.1%
    2
    2–07.7%
    2–19.1%
    2–25.4%
    2–32.1%
    2–4+0.8%
    3
    3–03.8%
    3–14.6%
    3–22.7%
    3–31.1%
    3–4+0.4%
    4+
    4+–02.0%
    4+–12.4%
    4+–21.4%
    4+–30.6%
    4+–4+0.2%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-112%
    2. 2.1-010%
    3. 3.2-19%
    4. 4.0-18%
    5. 5.2-08%
    Expected goals
    1,51–1,19
    Both teams to score
    55%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,7
    Under 2,549%
    @2.38EV+18%
    Over 2,551%
    @1.52

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance Vojvodina or draw (1X)70%
    • Under 3.5 goals71%

    Combined probability

    50%

    Fair odds

    2.00

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance Vojvodina or draw (1X)70%
    • Over 2.5 goals51%
    • Nardin Mulahusejnovic to score23%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score55%
    • Over 2.5 goals51%
    • Nardin Mulahusejnovic to score23%
    • Ifet Đakovac to be booked23%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 2 · Železničar Pančevo29% probability@4.98PinnacleEV+46%reference odds
    • 2 · Železničar Pančevo29% probability@4.70BetsafeEV+38%reference odds
    • 2 · Železničar Pančevo29% probability@4.70BetssonEV+38%reference odds
    Bookmaker1 · VojvodinaX2 · Železničar Pančevo
    Betsafe1.55
    EV+ 5%
    4.05
    EV+ 38%
    4.70
    Betsson1.55
    EV+ 5%
    4.05
    EV+ 38%
    4.70
    Nordicbet1.55
    EV+ 5%
    4.05
    EV+ 38%
    4.70
    Pinnacle1.53
    EV+ 8%
    4.15
    EV+ 46%
    4.98

    Odds updated 23 Aug, 05:10

    Odds movement

    1-1 %
    61 %56 %

    1.54 → 1.53

    X+1 %
    25 %20 %

    4.10 → 4.15

    2+1 %
    22 %17 %

    4.92 → 4.98

    Pinnacle · 9 recorded price levels · 20/08/2026 → 23/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    5 matches
    Vojvodina 1Draw 3Železničar Pančevo 1
    Goals: 4–4 (⌀ 1,6)

    Head-to-head based on Serbian Super League data since 2023.

    Key facts

    • Zeleznicar Pancevo are unbeaten in their last 9 league matches.
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Vojvodina
    Železničar Pančevo
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Vojvodina (9–6)
    Železničar Pančevo (4–3)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Vojvodina
    Kornél Szűcs: 215 passningar, xT 0.55SzűcsĐorđe Crnomarković: 165 passningar, xT 0.4CrnomarkovićNjegoš Petrović: 162 passningar, xT 0.28PetrovićLazar Nikolić: 157 passningar, xT 0.61NikolićDejan Zukić: 124 passningar, xT 0.32ZukićLazar Ranđelović: 116 passningar, xT 0.79RanđelovićDragan Rosić: 94 passningar, xT 0.06RosićPetar Sukacev: 79 passningar, xT 0.25SukacevMilan Kolarević: 78 passningar, xT 1.31KolarevićLucas Barros: 75 passningar, xT 0.87BarrosIfet Đakovac: 68 passningar, xT 0.46Đakovac
    Železničar Pančevo
    Nemanja Vidojević: 240 passningar, xT 0.27VidojevićNikola Đuričić: 201 passningar, xT 0.11ĐuričićMamane Amadou Sabo: 120 passningar, xT 0.27SaboUroš Tegeltija: 115 passningar, xT 0.39TegeltijaJanko Jevremović: 114 passningar, xT 0.19JevremovićKristian Šekularac: 95 passningar, xT -0.04ŠekularacAbdoul Rahim Sawadogu: 88 passningar, xT 0.15SawadoguZoran Popović: 87 passningar, xT 0.22PopovićMirko Milikić: 47 passningar, xT 0.1MilikićChristian Tchouante: 40 passningar, xT 0.04TchouanteSimão Ambrósio Pedro: 40 passningar, xT -0.04Pedro
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Vojvodina
    Kornél Szűcs: 215 passningar, xT 0.55SzűcsĐorđe Crnomarković: 165 passningar, xT 0.4CrnomarkovićNjegoš Petrović: 162 passningar, xT 0.28PetrovićLazar Nikolić: 157 passningar, xT 0.61NikolićDejan Zukić: 124 passningar, xT 0.32ZukićLazar Ranđelović: 116 passningar, xT 0.79RanđelovićDragan Rosić: 94 passningar, xT 0.06RosićPetar Sukacev: 79 passningar, xT 0.25SukacevMilan Kolarević: 78 passningar, xT 1.31KolarevićLucas Barros: 75 passningar, xT 0.87BarrosIfet Đakovac: 68 passningar, xT 0.46Đakovac
    Železničar Pančevo
    Nemanja Vidojević: 240 passningar, xT 0.27VidojevićNikola Đuričić: 201 passningar, xT 0.11ĐuričićMamane Amadou Sabo: 120 passningar, xT 0.27SaboUroš Tegeltija: 115 passningar, xT 0.39TegeltijaJanko Jevremović: 114 passningar, xT 0.19JevremovićKristian Šekularac: 95 passningar, xT -0.04ŠekularacAbdoul Rahim Sawadogu: 88 passningar, xT 0.15SawadoguZoran Popović: 87 passningar, xT 0.22PopovićMirko Milikić: 47 passningar, xT 0.1MilikićChristian Tchouante: 40 passningar, xT 0.04TchouanteSimão Ambrósio Pedro: 40 passningar, xT -0.04Pedro

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceVojvodinaŽelezničar Pančevo
    Points95
    xPoints6.13.6
    xG per match1.80.97
    xGA per match1.80.79
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.420.09
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.680.24
    Playing styleVojvodinaŽelezničar Pančevo
    Build-up efficiency0.30.28
    Field tilt0.620.53
    xT per match1.40.89
    xTA per match0.880.52
    Won balls, offensive half3020
    Pressing intensity0.210.22
    Pressing efficiency0.280.3
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.240.31
    Entries into the box per match1511
    Entries into the box against108
    Pass completion %0.740.81
    Pass completion % under pressure0.690.81
    Passes per match312437
    Passes against per match262279
    Switches of play per match2221.2
    Long balls per match3129
    Set piecesVojvodinaŽelezničar Pančevo
    xG from free kicks0.040
    Corners per match5.84.7
    Corners against per match3.43
    xG per corner0.010.01
    xGA per corner against0.010
    First touch, offensive corners %0.250.14
    First touch, defensive corners %0.590.5
    OtherVojvodinaŽelezničar Pančevo
    Throw-in control0.640.76
    The goalkeepersDragan Rosić (Vojvodina)Zoran Popović (Železničar Pančevo)
    Saves225
    Save %79%63%
    xG prevented53%40%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Vojvodina
    Fixtures, form & tips
    Železničar Pančevo
    Fixtures, form & tips

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Vojvodina vs Železničar Pančevo according to our model?

    The model gives Vojvodina a 45% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Vojvodina 45%, draw 26%, Železničar Pančevo 29%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 51% and under at 49%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 55% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.