Komárno vs Slovan Bratislava: Prediction & Odds (19 Sept 2026)

Slovak Super League19 September 202617°7 km/h

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KomárnoCounter-attacks & crosses

Slovan BratislavaPossession control

The model's lean: 2 · Slovan Bratislava (52%)

1 · Komárno 23%X 25%52% Slovan Bratislava · 2

23%

25%

52%

Analysis: Komárno – Slovan Bratislava

Erik Lindberg · 11 September 2026 · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work

TEXT: Slovan Bratislava's 52% probability of victory sets the tone for this clash against Komárno. The visitors' control-focused style contrasts with the hosts' reliance on counter-attacks and crosses, but the numbers clearly favor Slovan. With a most likely scoreline of 1-1 at 11%, closely followed by 1-2 at 10%, Slovan's edge becomes apparent. The expected goals (xG) metrics further underscore this advantage, showing a 1.78 to 1.15 edge for Slovan.

Komárno's head-to-head record against Slovan since 2023 is a small sample, yet telling: four meetings, four losses. This streak complements their lesser tally of 4 points compared to Slovan’s 12. Even the underlying numbers like xPoints show Slovan ahead, albeit more narrowly. Slovan's mean xGA of 0.93 per match suggests defensive solidity that could make the difference, especially against a Komárno side averaging 1.3 xG.

With a 56% probability for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score at 57%, there is potential for goals despite Slovan's control-oriented approach. However, the likely scoreline of 1-2 points to a cautious but rewarding bet on the visitors.

Komárno

Form DLLDD

League ranking xG #9xGA #4xT #3xP/match #9Points #10

Key players

Robert PillarCBxG 0.11 · xT 0.07
Ján BernátRWxG 0.08 · xT 0.21
Dominik ZakCDMxG 0.04 · xT -0.08

Slovan Bratislava

Form WWWLL

League ranking xG #2xGA #2xT #1xP/match #3Points #4

Key players

Svetozar MarkovićCBxG 0.18 · xT -0.01
Daiki MatsuokaRBxG 0.00 · xT 0.24
Danylo IgnatenkoCDMxG 0.00 · xT -0.01

Match prediction: Komárno – Slovan Bratislava

Predicted score matrix

Slovan Bratislava →

Komárno →

0–05.7%

0–19.2%

0–28.5%

0–35.1%

0–4+3.4%

1–05.8%

1–111.2%

1–29.7%

1–35.8%

1–4+3.9%

2–03.5%

2–16.3%

2–25.6%

2–33.3%

2–4+2.2%

3–01.3%

3–12.4%

3–22.1%

3–31.3%

3–4+0.8%

4+–00.5%

4+–10.9%

4+–20.8%

4+–30.5%

4+–4+0.3%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.1-210%
3.0-19%
4.0-28%
5.2-16%

Expected goals

1,15–1,78

Both teams to score

57%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,9

115%

223%

322%

416%

5+17%

Under 2,544%

–

Over 2,556%

–

Ready-made bet suggestions

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01 · 2 legs

Safe

Slovan Bratislava to win52%
Over 1.5 goals79%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Slovan Bratislava to win52%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Daiki Matsuoka to score43%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score57%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Daiki Matsuoka to score43%
Kristóf Domonkos to be booked23%

Odds & value

No odds available yet.

Statistics

Head-to-head

4 matches

Komárno 0Draw 0Slovan Bratislava 4

Goals: 5–16 (⌀ 5,2)

Head-to-head based on Slovak Super League data since 2023.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Komárno

Slovan Bratislava

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Komárno (6–11)

Slovan Bratislava (15–5)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Komárno

Slovan Bratislava

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Komárno

Slovan Bratislava

The teams in numbers

Performance	Komárno	Slovan Bratislava
Points	4	12
xPoints	8.4	9.3
xG per match	1.3	2
xGA per match	1.2	0.93
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.19	0.19
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.19	0.23

Playing style	Komárno	Slovan Bratislava
Build-up efficiency	0.34	0.33
Field tilt	0.56	0.65
xT per match	1.2	1.8
xTA per match	0.76	0.72
Won balls, offensive half	27	29
Pressing intensity	0.21	0.23
Pressing efficiency	0.3	0.36
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.27	0.35
Entries into the box per match	16	19
Entries into the box against	12	10
Pass completion %	0.78	0.82
Pass completion % under pressure	0.75	0.78
Passes per match	394	522
Passes against per match	301	218
Switches of play per match	26.1	39.6
Long balls per match	40	48

Set pieces	Komárno	Slovan Bratislava
xG from free kicks	0.09	0.02
Corners per match	6	5.9
Corners against per match	6.2	3.7
xG per corner	0.03	0.09
xGA per corner against	0.03	0.02
First touch, offensive corners %	0.6	0.51
First touch, defensive corners %	0.58	0.5

Other	Komárno	Slovan Bratislava
Throw-in control	0.73	0.8

The goalkeepers	Branislav Pindroch (Komárno)	Aleksandar Popovic (Slovan Bratislava)
Saves	19	10
Save %	73%	77%
xG prevented	73%	71%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Komárno

Fixtures, form & tips

Slovan Bratislava

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Komárno vs Slovan Bratislava according to our model?

The model gives Slovan Bratislava a 52% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Komárno 23%, draw 25%, Slovan Bratislava 52%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 56% and under at 44%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.