FC Trollhättan vs Utsikten: Prediction & Odds (11 Sept 2026)

Swedish Ettan11 September 2026 19:00 CEST12°1,5 mm18 km/h

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FC TrollhättanPossession control

UtsiktenCounter-attacks & crosses

The model's lean: 1 · FC Trollhättan (65%)

1 · FC Trollhättan 65%X 19%16% Utsikten · 2

65%

19%

16%

Analysis: FC Trollhättan – Utsikten

Erik Lindberg · 11 September 2026 · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work

FC Trollhättan sitting at a commanding 65% probability reflects their dominance on paper against Utsikten's modest 16%. The home side's possession control style matches their expected goals of 2.37, a significant edge over the visitors' 1.19. With a most likely scoreline of 2-1, FC Trollhättan’s solid form, evidenced by their 25 points against Utsikten’s 8, suggests a calculated approach that thrives on stability rather than risk.

Despite just a single head-to-head match since 2023, a small sample that tempers its weight, the hosts' win in that meeting still underscores their supremacy. Utsikten's reliance on counter-attacks and crosses might find some success against Trollhättan’s balanced defense, but their expected goals against figure of 2.1 per match poses a stark challenge. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at a robust 69%, with a 63% chance of both sides finding the net, making this a promising bet for those inclined towards higher goal counts.

For the keen eye seeking value, the over 3.5 goals market offers a slight edge with odds at 2.12 across Betsafe, Betsson, and Nordicbet, rated at 48% by the model. It's a subtle play, but with a small advantage, it could tip the scales in favor of those willing to bank on a more open affair.

FC Trollhättan

Form LWWLW

League ranking xG #20xGA #10xT #5xP/match #27Points #20

Key players

Melwin BergRWxG 0.22 · xT 0.28
Hugo TillyFxG 0.47 · xT 0.02
Filip SternerLBxG 0.04 · xT 0.16

Utsikten

Form LDDLD

League ranking xG #30xGA #32xT #21xP/match #31Points #32

Key players

Melvin KoliqiFxG 0.20 · xT 0.29
Pontus OlssonRWxG 0.04 · xT 0.29
Enzo AndrénLWxG 0.16 · xT 0.11

Match prediction: FC Trollhättan – Utsikten

Predicted score matrix

Utsikten →

FC Trollhättan →

0–03.1%

0–13.1%

0–22.0%

0–30.8%

0–4+0.3%

1–06.5%

1–18.3%

1–24.8%

1–31.9%

1–4+0.7%

2–08.0%

2–19.5%

2–25.6%

2–32.2%

2–4+0.9%

3–06.3%

3–17.5%

3–24.5%

3–31.8%

3–4+0.7%

4+–06.6%

4+–17.8%

4+–24.6%

4+–31.8%

4+–4+0.7%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.2-110%
2.1-18%
3.2-08%
4.3-18%
5.1-07%

Expected goals

2,37–1,19

Both teams to score

63%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,6

110%

218%

321%

419%

5+29%

Under 2,531%

@2.75

Over 2,569%

@1.39

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

FC Trollhättan to win65%
Over 1.5 goals87%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

FC Trollhättan to win65%
Over 2.5 goals69%
William Jensen to score31%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score63%
Over 2.5 goals69%
William Jensen to score31%
Felix Wennergrund to be booked19%

Odds & value

Bookmaker	1 · FC Trollhättan	X	2 · Utsikten
Betsafe	1.38	4.70	6.10
Betsson	1.38	4.70	6.10
Nordicbet	1.38	4.70	6.10

Odds updated 11 Sept, 09:38

Odds movement

1-4 %

67 %62 %

1.44 → 1.38

X+4 %

22 %17 %

4.50 → 4.70

2+15 %

18 %13 %

5.30 → 6.10

Betsson · 6 recorded price levels · 09/09/2026 → 11/09/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

Head-to-head

1 matches

FC Trollhättan 1Draw 0Utsikten 0

Goals: 2–1 (⌀ 3)

Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

FC Trollhättan

Utsikten

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

FC Trollhättan (28–33)

Utsikten (17–49)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

FC Trollhättan

Utsikten

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

FC Trollhättan

Utsikten

The teams in numbers

Performance	FC Trollhättan	Utsikten
Points	25	8
xPoints	24.2	19.8
xG per match	1.3	1.1
xGA per match	1.3	2.1
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.26	0.19
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.21	0.41

Playing style	FC Trollhättan	Utsikten
Build-up efficiency	0.36	0.36
Field tilt	0.59	0.43
xT per match	1.6	1.4
xTA per match	1.4	1.7
Won balls, offensive half	32	31
Pressing intensity	0.58	0.48
Pressing efficiency	0.3	0.25
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.32	0.26
Entries into the box per match	16	11
Entries into the box against	13	18
Pass completion %	0.82	0.75
Pass completion % under pressure	0.77	0.7
Passes per match	508	314
Passes against per match	306	446
Switches of play per match	13.6	15.5
Long balls per match	25	30

Set pieces	FC Trollhättan	Utsikten
xG from free kicks	0.15	0.08
Corners per match	5.3	4.2
Corners against per match	4	4.7
xG per corner	0.02	0.01
xGA per corner against	0.02	0.05
First touch, offensive corners %	0.37	0.28
First touch, defensive corners %	0.6	0.56

Other	FC Trollhättan	Utsikten
Throw-in control	0.59	0.59

The goalkeepers	Jimmy Henriksson (FC Trollhättan)	Linus Dahlgren (Utsikten)
Saves	41	37
Save %	73%	66%
xG prevented	52%	52%
Claims	83 (92%)	44 (82%)

Teams & more matches this round

FC Trollhättan

Fixtures, form & tips

Utsikten

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins FC Trollhättan vs Utsikten according to our model?

The model gives FC Trollhättan a 65% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: FC Trollhättan 65%, draw 19%, Utsikten 16%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 2-1 at 10% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 69% and under at 31%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 63% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.