Swedish Ettan15°3,0 mm17 km/h

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    SollentunaSollentunaPossession control
    vs
    Enköpings SKEnköpings SKPossession control
    The model's lean: 1 · Sollentuna (49%)

    Sollentuna – Enköpings SK · Swedish Ettan

    1 · Sollentuna 49%X 22%28% Enköpings SK · 2

    Analysis: Sollentuna – Enköpings SK

    Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work

    TEXT contains two factual issues:

    1. The odds claim "Bet365's odds on Sollentuna at 2.10" is not supported by any fact in the data and should be removed. 2. The conclusion states "A 2-1 scoreline seems probable" as the top pick, but per the model the most likely scoreline is actually 1-1 (11%), with 2-1 second (10%). This should be corrected.

    Corrected text:

    Enköpings SK might be riding high with a points advantage of 32 over Sollentuna’s 23, but don't be fooled. The underlying data tells a different story. Sollentuna's expected points (xPoints) show them with a slight edge at 25.2 compared to Enköping's 23.6, suggesting that the hosts have been somewhat unlucky this season. This discrepancy hints that the market may be underestimating Sollentuna's potential to snatch a result here.

    Despite Enköpings SK's better head-to-head record, holding two wins and a draw in their three meetings since 2023, the sample size is too small to weigh heavily against the current form and expected goals (xG) landscape. Both teams profile similarly as possession-oriented sides, which might lead to a tactical stalemate, especially with rain expected to suppress goal-scoring opportunities.

    The xG numbers are particularly revealing: both teams average 1.2 xG per match, but it’s Sollentuna's superior xGA—1.2 versus Enköping's 1.5—that could tilt the balance. This could make a narrow victory for the hosts plausible, with the model also suggesting a Sollentuna win as the most likely outcome at 49%.

    As for the betting angles, the over 2.5 goals market is tantalizing, showing a 57% probability. However, the expected rain and the defensive xG suggest a tighter affair.

    In conclusion, Sollentuna may well edge this one. A 1-1 scoreline seems the most probable outcome, with 2-1 close behind, but with the conditions, a 1-0 isn’t off the table either. The model's preference for Sollentuna makes them worth a close look for this matchup.

    SollentunaSollentuna
    Form LWWLW
    League ranking xG #25xGA #9xT #19xP/match #23Points #24
    Key players
    • Dida RashidiFxG 0.20 · xT 0.13
    • Johannes DanhoLWxG 0.02 · xT 0.32
    • Emil StenstrandCDMxG 0.03 · xT 0.48
    Enköpings SKEnköpings SK
    Form WLDLW
    League ranking xG #23xGA #22xT #32xP/match #28Points #13
    Key players
    • Alexander HughesLWxG 0.04 · xT 0.47
    • Isak BråholmLWxG 0.19 · xT 0.17
    • Mattias ÖzgünCBxG 0.00 · xT 0.15

    Match prediction: Sollentuna – Enköpings SK

    Predicted score matrix

    Enköpings SK →
    Sollentuna →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–05.5%
    0–16.0%
    0–23.9%
    0–31.6%
    0–4+0.6%
    1
    1–08.7%
    1–111.3%
    1–26.7%
    1–32.8%
    1–4+1.1%
    2
    2–07.8%
    2–19.6%
    2–25.9%
    2–32.4%
    2–4+1.0%
    3
    3–04.5%
    3–15.5%
    3–23.4%
    3–31.4%
    3–4+0.6%
    4+
    4+–02.9%
    4+–13.5%
    4+–22.2%
    4+–30.9%
    4+–4+0.4%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-111%
    2. 2.2-110%
    3. 3.1-09%
    4. 4.2-08%
    5. 5.1-27%
    Expected goals
    1,74–1,22
    Both teams to score
    58%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,0
    Under 2,543%
    –
    Over 2,557%
    –

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Sollentuna to win49%
    • Over 1.5 goals80%

    Combined probability

    40%

    Fair odds

    2.48

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Sollentuna to win49%
    • Over 2.5 goals57%
    • Jakob Bäckström to score23%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score58%
    • Over 2.5 goals57%
    • Jakob Bäckström to score23%
    • Oscar Kihlgren to be booked20%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    3 matches
    Sollentuna 0Draw 1Enköpings SK 2
    Goals: 1–3 (⌀ 1,3)

    Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.

    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Sollentuna
    Enköpings SK
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Sollentuna (19–27)
    Enköpings SK (30–33)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Sollentuna
    Umit Aras: 262 passningar, xT 0.14ArasJohannes Danho: 165 passningar, xT 1.2DanhoDavid Bengtsson: 137 passningar, xT 0.11BengtssonOskar Käck: 134 passningar, xT 0.2KäckErik Lundell: 121 passningar, xT -0.03LundellJonathan Zeberga: 111 passningar, xT 0.13ZebergaSalim Nkubiri: 96 passningar, xT 0.77NkubiriLukas Johansson: 95 passningar, xT 0.2JohanssonKalle Selin Stregart: 86 passningar, xT 0.06StregartLudvig Ennart: 68 passningar, xT 0.41EnnartEmil Stenstrand: 60 passningar, xT 0.95Stenstrand
    Enköpings SK
    Mattias Özgün: 377 passningar, xT 0.62ÖzgünFiliph Ededal: 333 passningar, xT 0.38EdedalAxel Sveijer: 285 passningar, xT 0.81SveijerHadi Noori: 236 passningar, xT -0.21NooriAndres Odhiambo Omondi: 153 passningar, xT 0.25OmondiMohammed Belouchi: 149 passningar, xT 0.34BelouchiWilliam Björk: 126 passningar, xT 0.18BjörkIsak Bråholm: 113 passningar, xT 0.59BråholmHugo Norrlin: 109 passningar, xT -0.03NorrlinTheodor Kvist: 94 passningar, xT 0.25KvistAxel Lundgren: 85 passningar, xT -0.03Lundgren
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Sollentuna
    Umit Aras: 262 passningar, xT 0.14ArasJohannes Danho: 165 passningar, xT 1.2DanhoDavid Bengtsson: 137 passningar, xT 0.11BengtssonOskar Käck: 134 passningar, xT 0.2KäckErik Lundell: 121 passningar, xT -0.03LundellJonathan Zeberga: 111 passningar, xT 0.13ZebergaSalim Nkubiri: 96 passningar, xT 0.77NkubiriLukas Johansson: 95 passningar, xT 0.2JohanssonKalle Selin Stregart: 86 passningar, xT 0.06StregartLudvig Ennart: 68 passningar, xT 0.41EnnartEmil Stenstrand: 60 passningar, xT 0.95Stenstrand
    Enköpings SK
    Mattias Özgün: 377 passningar, xT 0.62ÖzgünFiliph Ededal: 333 passningar, xT 0.38EdedalAxel Sveijer: 285 passningar, xT 0.81SveijerHadi Noori: 236 passningar, xT -0.21NooriAndres Odhiambo Omondi: 153 passningar, xT 0.25OmondiMohammed Belouchi: 149 passningar, xT 0.34BelouchiWilliam Björk: 126 passningar, xT 0.18BjörkIsak Bråholm: 113 passningar, xT 0.59BråholmHugo Norrlin: 109 passningar, xT -0.03NorrlinTheodor Kvist: 94 passningar, xT 0.25KvistAxel Lundgren: 85 passningar, xT -0.03Lundgren

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceSollentunaEnköpings SK
    Points2332
    xPoints25.223.6
    xG per match1.21.2
    xGA per match1.21.5
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.210.28
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.210.33
    Playing styleSollentunaEnköpings SK
    Build-up efficiency0.320.34
    Field tilt0.530.52
    xT per match1.40.97
    xTA per match1.31.4
    Won balls, offensive half2826
    Pressing intensity0.440.49
    Pressing efficiency0.240.25
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.240.25
    Entries into the box per match1211
    Entries into the box against1215
    Pass completion %0.830.84
    Pass completion % under pressure0.760.79
    Passes per match390450
    Passes against per match386335
    Switches of play per match13.216.6
    Long balls per match3435
    Set piecesSollentunaEnköpings SK
    xG from free kicks0.120.11
    Corners per match4.33.9
    Corners against per match4.84.7
    xG per corner0.050.02
    xGA per corner against0.030.03
    First touch, offensive corners %0.470.36
    First touch, defensive corners %0.640.55
    OtherSollentunaEnköpings SK
    Throw-in control0.570.64
    The goalkeepersOscar Franck (Sollentuna)Victor Astor (Enköpings SK)
    Saves3352
    Save %67%73%
    xG prevented37%41%
    Claims68 (93%)64 (96%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Sollentuna
    Fixtures, form & tips
    Enköpings SK
    Fixtures, form & tips

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Sollentuna vs Enköpings SK according to our model?

    The model gives Sollentuna a 49% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Sollentuna 49%, draw 22%, Enköpings SK 28%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 57% and under at 43%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 58% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.