Stockholm Internazionale vs IFK Stocksund: Prediction & Odds (17 Sept 2026)

Swedish Ettan17 September 2026 19:00 CEST13°0,9 mm16 km/h

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Stockholm InternazionalePossession & high press

IFK StocksundBalanced & physical

The model's lean: 1 · Stockholm Internazionale (80%)

1 · Stockholm Internazionale 80%X 12%8% IFK Stocksund · 2

80%

12%

Analysis: Stockholm Internazionale – IFK Stocksund

Erik Lindberg · 10 September 2026 · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work

TEXT: Four wins on the trot and a potent attack make Stockholm Internazionale a formidable host for IFK Stocksund. The model gives the hosts an 80% chance of winning, with most likely scorelines favoring a comprehensive victory: 3-0 (10%) and 2-0 (9%). This is reinforced by the xG figures, which show Stockholm Internazionale expected to net 3.12 goals to Stocksund's 0.83. The visitors arrive on a dismal run of four straight losses, resembling a ship adrift in turbulent waters.

In terms of playing style, Stockholm Internazionale's high-pressing, possession-based approach aligns well with the expected narrative of dominance. IFK Stocksund, despite their balanced and physical setup, might find themselves outmatched, especially given their defensive frailties. Their xGA of 2.0 per match paints a worrying picture against a team that has scored in 15 consecutive league games.

The head-to-head record, albeit a small sample of four matches, is telling. It shows a clean sweep for the home side since 2023, further reinforcing the expected outcome of tomorrow's encounter. Stockholm Internazionale's historical home win rate of 63% adds another layer to their fortress-like reputation at home.

With a 75% probability of the game seeing over 2.5 goals and both teams to score sitting at 54%, goals seem on the menu regardless of the visitors' struggles. However, the more compelling angle lies in Stockholm Internazionale's dominance, which suggests an under 2.5 lean for Stocksund's goals.

Overall, the combination of current form, historical dominance, and underlying numbers all point toward a comfortable Stockholm Internazionale win.

Stockholm Internazionale

Form DWWWW

League ranking xG #3xGA #3xT #3xP/match #1Points #1

Key players

Rasmus AllbäckLWxG 0.12 · xT 0.19
Lukas SunessonFxG 0.48 · xT 0.03
Othmane SalamaRWxG 0.42 · xT 0.15

IFK Stocksund

Form WLLLL

League ranking xG #8xGA #31xT #2xP/match #30Points #31

Key players

Yosef RaufFxG 0.43 · xT 0.06
Alexander JohanssonCMxG 0.16 · xT 0.57
Langston Jasper WennerlindLWxG 0.32 · xT 0.39

Match prediction: Stockholm Internazionale – IFK Stocksund

Predicted score matrix

IFK Stocksund →

Stockholm Internazionale →

0–02.1%

0–11.5%

0–20.7%

0–30.2%

0–4+0.0%

1–05.9%

1–15.2%

1–22.1%

1–30.6%

1–4+0.1%

2–09.4%

2–17.8%

2–23.3%

2–30.9%

2–4+0.2%

3–09.7%

3–18.1%

3–23.4%

3–30.9%

3–4+0.2%

4+–016.4%

4+–113.7%

4+–25.7%

4+–31.6%

4+–4+0.4%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.3-010%
2.2-09%
3.3-18%
4.2-18%
5.4-08%

Expected goals

3,12–0,83

Both teams to score

54%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,9

17%

215%

320%

420%

5+36%

Under 2,525%

–

Over 2,575%

–

Ready-made bet suggestions

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01 · 2 legs

Safe

Stockholm Internazionale to win80%
Over 1.5 goals91%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Stockholm Internazionale to win80%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Cameron Streete to score38%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score54%
Over 2.5 goals75%
Cameron Streete to score38%
Dary Izia Boto to be booked20%

Odds & value

No odds available yet.

Statistics

Head-to-head

4 matches

Stockholm Internazionale 4Draw 0IFK Stocksund 0

Goals: 10–2 (⌀ 3)

Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.

Key facts

Stockholm Internazionale come into this round on 4 straight wins.
Stockholm Internazionale have scored in 15 consecutive league matches.
IFK Stocksund have lost 4 in a row.
Stockholm Internazionale win 63% of their home matches all-time (30 played).

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Stockholm Internazionale

IFK Stocksund

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Stockholm Internazionale (41–17)

IFK Stocksund (39–49)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

IFK Stocksund

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

IFK Stocksund

The teams in numbers

Performance	Stockholm Internazionale	IFK Stocksund
Points	39	11
xPoints	33.5	20.4
xG per match	1.7	1.6
xGA per match	0.86	2
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.32	0.35
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.16	0.32

Playing style	Stockholm Internazionale	IFK Stocksund
Build-up efficiency	0.39	0.35
Field tilt	0.69	0.52
xT per match	1.6	1.7
xTA per match	0.97	1.4
Won balls, offensive half	31	26
Pressing intensity	0.49	0.53
Pressing efficiency	0.24	0.25
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.23	0.26
Entries into the box per match	18	14
Entries into the box against	8	15
Pass completion %	0.83	0.81
Pass completion % under pressure	0.78	0.77
Passes per match	439	379
Passes against per match	329	335
Switches of play per match	17.8	12.7
Long balls per match	38	28

Set pieces	Stockholm Internazionale	IFK Stocksund
xG from free kicks	0.16	0.23
Corners per match	6	3.9
Corners against per match	2.6	4.3
xG per corner	0.04	0.01
xGA per corner against	0.04	0.04
First touch, offensive corners %	0.47	0.49
First touch, defensive corners %	0.57	0.48

Other	Stockholm Internazionale	IFK Stocksund
Throw-in control	0.64	0.56

The goalkeepers	Stockholm Internazionale	Jakob Rhawi (IFK Stocksund)
Saves	–	72
Save %	–	61%
xG prevented	–	37%
Claims	–	101 (86%)

Teams & more matches this round

Stockholm Internazionale

Fixtures, form & tips

IFK Stocksund

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Stockholm Internazionale vs IFK Stocksund according to our model?

The model gives Stockholm Internazionale a 80% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Stockholm Internazionale 80%, draw 12%, IFK Stocksund 8%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 3-0 at 10% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 75% and under at 25%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 54% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.