Utsikten vs Laholm: Prediction & Odds (16 Sept 2026)

Swedish Ettan16 September 2026 19:00 CEST14°3,3 mm18 km/h

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UtsiktenCounter-attacks & crosses

LaholmPossession control

The model's lean: 2 · Laholm (49%)

1 · Utsikten 29%X 22%49% Laholm · 2

29%

22%

49%

Analysis: Utsikten – Laholm

Erik Lindberg · 9 September 2026 · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work

TEXT: Two teams with contrasting styles lock horns, as Utsikten's counter-attacking approach will meet Laholm's propensity for possession control. The visitors are favored, carrying a 49% chance of victory, while the hosts lag at 29% according to the model. This clash is further highlighted by the most likely scorelines of 1-1 and 1-2, each given a 10% probability. The expected goals also lean towards Laholm with 1.93 against Utsikten's 1.31, underscoring the visitors' upper hand.

Despite the small head-to-head sample of just a single match, which saw Laholm emerge victorious, the season form paints a clearer picture. Laholm has collected 18 points to Utsikten's 8, a significant gap matched by superior underlying metrics. Their xG per match of 1.3 surpasses the hosts' 1.1, while their xGA stands at a more robust 1.5 compared to Utsikten's leaky 2.1. This suggests a game where the visitors will likely control the midfield, pressing the hosts' defensive vulnerabilities.

The weather forecast, with 11.1 mm of rain, might dampen the attacking flair but is already factored into the model's numbers. Even so, the over 2.5 goals market remains attractive, priced at 63%, suggesting that goals could still flow despite the elements. Both teams to score also shares this probability, indicating an open contest.

While no guarantee, the visitors' form and statistical edge present an appealing case for those seeking a calculated wager.

Utsikten

Form LDDLD

League ranking xG #30xGA #32xT #21xP/match #31Points #32

Key players

Melvin KoliqiFxG 0.20 · xT 0.29
Pontus OlssonRWxG 0.04 · xT 0.29
Enzo AndrénLWxG 0.16 · xT 0.11

Laholm

Form WDLDL

League ranking xG #21xGA #21xT #28xP/match #25Points #27

Key players

Philip ComnellFxG 0.34 · xT 0.08
Viggo RolfssonFxG 0.14 · xT 0.12
Elis WijkFxG 0.50 · xT -0.02

Match prediction: Utsikten – Laholm

Predicted score matrix

Laholm →

Utsikten →

0–04.2%

0–17.3%

0–27.3%

0–34.7%

0–4+3.5%

1–04.9%

1–110.2%

1–29.6%

1–36.1%

1–4+4.6%

2–03.4%

2–16.5%

2–26.3%

2–34.0%

2–4+3.0%

3–01.5%

3–12.8%

3–22.7%

3–31.8%

3–4+1.3%

4+–00.6%

4+–11.2%

4+–21.2%

4+–30.8%

4+–4+0.6%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-110%
2.1-210%
3.0-27%
4.0-17%
5.2-16%

Expected goals

1,31–1,93

Both teams to score

63%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,2

112%

221%

322%

418%

5+23%

Under 2,537%

–

Over 2,563%

–

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Laholm to win49%
Over 1.5 goals84%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Laholm to win49%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Philip Comnell to score33%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score63%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Philip Comnell to score33%
Felix Wennergrund to be booked19%

Odds & value

No odds available yet.

Statistics

Head-to-head

1 matches

Utsikten 0Draw 0Laholm 1

Goals: 1–3 (⌀ 4)

Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Utsikten

Laholm

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Utsikten (17–49)

Laholm (27–38)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Utsikten

Laholm

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Utsikten

Laholm

The teams in numbers

Performance	Utsikten	Laholm
Points	8	18
xPoints	19.8	25
xG per match	1.1	1.3
xGA per match	2.1	1.5
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.19	0.29
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.41	0.46

Playing style	Utsikten	Laholm
Build-up efficiency	0.36	0.37
Field tilt	0.43	0.41
xT per match	1.4	1.2
xTA per match	1.7	1.4
Won balls, offensive half	31	25
Pressing intensity	0.48	0.46
Pressing efficiency	0.25	0.26
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.26	0.26
Entries into the box per match	11	12
Entries into the box against	18	13
Pass completion %	0.75	0.78
Pass completion % under pressure	0.7	0.7
Passes per match	314	350
Passes against per match	446	389
Switches of play per match	15.5	16.4
Long balls per match	30	30

Set pieces	Utsikten	Laholm
xG from free kicks	0.08	0.09
Corners per match	4.2	4
Corners against per match	4.7	4.7
xG per corner	0.01	0.03
xGA per corner against	0.05	0.04
First touch, offensive corners %	0.28	0.37
First touch, defensive corners %	0.56	0.53

Other	Utsikten	Laholm
Throw-in control	0.59	0.53

The goalkeepers	Linus Dahlgren (Utsikten)	Max Johnsson (Laholm)
Saves	37	55
Save %	66%	59%
xG prevented	52%	37%
Claims	44 (82%)	143 (93%)

Teams & more matches this round

Utsikten

Fixtures, form & tips

Laholm

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Utsikten vs Laholm according to our model?

The model gives Laholm a 49% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Utsikten 29%, draw 22%, Laholm 49%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 63% and under at 37%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 63% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.