Landskrona BoIS vs Helsingborgs IF: Prediction & Odds (9 Sept 2026)

Swedish Superettan9 September 2026 19:00 CESTLandskrona IP, Landskrona16°8,6 mm26 km/h

Läs på svenska

Landskrona BoISPossession control

1–2

Helsingborgs IFPossession control

The model's lean: 1 · Landskrona BoIS (48%)Best value by the model: 2 · Helsingborgs IF @ 4.06 (+9 %)

1 · Landskrona BoIS 48%X 25%27% Helsingborgs IF · 2

48%

25%

27%

Analysis: Landskrona BoIS – Helsingborgs IF

Sofia Andersson · 8 September 2026 · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work

A clash of possession-based styles is set to unfold as Landskrona BoIS and Helsingborgs IF face off, with both sides priding themselves on controlling the ball. The hosts have been solid, going unbeaten in their last five league outings, and the model gives them a 48% chance of victory, a clear lean towards Landskrona. Their xG is a strong 1.82 compared to Helsingborg’s 1.25, hinting at a likely edge in quality chances.

The goal-scoring potential is high despite the forecast of 3.5 mm of rain, which typically dampens scoring. With a 59% probability for over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance for both teams to score, spectators can expect an open game. Historically, Landskrona has fared better in this fixture, holding two wins in five recent meetings. However, the small sample size means current form and expected goals carry more weight than head-to-head outcomes.

In terms of standings, Landskrona holds an advantage with 34 points to Helsingborg’s 26. The expected points further underscore this, with Landskrona sitting at 29.4 versus Helsingborg’s 23.4. Defensively, the home side has a slight edge too, conceding fewer expected goals per match. Yet, the potential for an upset exists, with away value at odds 4.21 offered by Betsafe, Betsson, and Nordicbet, providing a tempting 13% edge over model estimates.

The most likely scorelines point to a competitive 1-1 or a narrow 2-1 win for the hosts. With the numbers pointing towards a tight match but favoring Landskrona, expect the under 2.5 goals to be tested by the conditions, but the stats suggest a lean towards the over. For shrewd bettors, the value lies in the unlikely, with Helsingborg's odds offering the sharpest angle of attack.

Landskrona BoIS

Form WDDDW

League ranking xG #5xGA #8xT #8xP/match #10Points #6

Key players

Adam EgnellFxG 0.24 · xT 0.33
Zakaria LoukiliFxG 0.23 · xT 0.20
Edi SylisufajFxG 0.55 · xT 0.16

Helsingborgs IF

Form LDLDL

League ranking xG #12xGA #15xT #2xP/match #16Points #10

Key players

Max SvenssonLWxG 0.24 · xT 0.50
Julian LarssonFxG 0.18 · xT 0.10
Alexander JohanssonFxG 0.41 · xT 0.04

Final score

1 – 2

The model missed the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Landskrona BoIS 48% · Draw 25% · Helsingborgs IF 27%

How the bookmaker bet builders went

The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.

Matchresultat - Landskrona BOISBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 5,74fair 5,88-2 %

Miss

Matchresultat - Helsingborgs IFBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 11,52fair 12,36-7 %

Miss

Match prediction: Landskrona BoIS – Helsingborgs IF

Predicted score matrix

Helsingborgs IF →

Landskrona BoIS →

0–04.9%

0–15.5%

0–23.6%

0–31.5%

0–4+0.6%

1–08.1%

1–110.9%

1–26.6%

1–32.8%

1–4+1.1%

2–07.7%

2–19.6%

2–26.0%

2–32.5%

2–4+1.0%

3–04.6%

3–15.8%

3–23.6%

3–31.5%

3–4+0.6%

4+–03.2%

4+–14.0%

4+–22.5%

4+–31.0%

4+–4+0.4%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.2-110%
3.1-08%
4.2-08%
5.1-27%

Expected goals

1,82–1,25

Both teams to score

60%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,1

114%

222%

322%

417%

5+20%

Under 2,541%

@2.25

Over 2,559%

@1.80EV+4%

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Landskrona BoIS to win48%
Over 1.5 goals81%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Landskrona BoIS to win48%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Max'Med Omar Mohamed to score22%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score60%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Max Svensson to score23%
André Alvarez Perez to be booked20%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Helsingborgs IF27% probability@4.06PinnacleEV+9%reference odds
Over 2.559% probability@1.80PinnacleEV+7%reference odds
2 · Helsingborgs IF27% probability@3.91BetsafeEV+5%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Landskrona BoIS	X	2 · Helsingborgs IF
Betsafe	1.90	3.55	EV+ 5% 3.91
Betsson	1.90	3.55	EV+ 5% 3.91
Nordicbet	1.90	3.55	EV+ 5% 3.91
Paddy Power	1.95	3.70	3.30
Pinnacle	1.88	3.66	EV+ 9% 4.06

Odds updated 9 Sept, 18:31

Odds movement

1+2 %

55 %50 %

1.85 → 1.88

X-3 %

27 %22 %

3.79 → 3.66

2+7 %

26 %21 %

3.78 → 4.06

Pinnacle · 13 recorded price levels · 06/09/2026 → 09/09/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

Head-to-head

5 matches

Landskrona BoIS 2Draw 2Helsingborgs IF 1

Goals: 7–4 (⌀ 2,2)

Head-to-head based on Superettan data since 2024.

Key facts

Landskrona BoIS dominate this fixture historically: 2 wins to 1 in 5 meetings.
Landskrona BoIS are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Landskrona BoIS

Helsingborgs IF

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Landskrona BoIS (30–23)

Helsingborgs IF (34–43)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Landskrona BoIS

Helsingborgs IF

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Landskrona BoIS

Helsingborgs IF

The teams in numbers

Performance	Landskrona BoIS	Helsingborgs IF
Points	34	26
xPoints	29.4	23.4
xG per match	1.5	1.2
xGA per match	1.3	1.5
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.24	0.27
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.38	0.24

Playing style	Landskrona BoIS	Helsingborgs IF
Build-up efficiency	0.32	0.33
Field tilt	0.57	0.54
xT per match	1.5	1.6
xTA per match	1.4	1.4
Won balls, offensive half	30	33
Pressing intensity	0.57	0.54
Pressing efficiency	0.29	0.28
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.29	0.29
Entries into the box per match	16	15
Entries into the box against	13	13
Pass completion %	0.81	0.79
Pass completion % under pressure	0.76	0.74
Passes per match	436	422
Passes against per match	326	348
Switches of play per match	13.4	13.3
Long balls per match	31	27

Set pieces	Landskrona BoIS	Helsingborgs IF
xG from free kicks	0.19	0.08
Corners per match	5.2	5.2
Corners against per match	4.7	4.6
xG per corner	0.03	0.04
xGA per corner against	0.02	0.05
First touch, offensive corners %	0.48	0.34
First touch, defensive corners %	0.53	0.52

Other	Landskrona BoIS	Helsingborgs IF
Throw-in control	0.55	0.56

The goalkeepers	Amr Kaddoura (Landskrona BoIS)	Johan Brattberg (Helsingborgs IF)
Saves	46	77
Save %	73%	68%
xG prevented	41%	46%
Claims	103 (95%)	142 (93%)

Teams & more matches this round

Landskrona BoIS

Fixtures, form & tips

Helsingborgs IF

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Landskrona BoIS vs Helsingborgs IF according to our model?

The model gives Landskrona BoIS a 48% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Landskrona BoIS 48%, draw 25%, Helsingborgs IF 27%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and under at 41%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.