01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Östersund to win60%
- Over 1.5 goals79%
Swedish SuperettanJämtkraft Arena, Östersund11°0,5 mm30 km/h
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Östersundvs
The model's lean: 1 · Östersund (60%)
Best value by the model: 2 · GIF Sundsvall @ 7.01 (+21 %)
GIF SundsvallÖstersund – GIF Sundsvall · Swedish Superettan
1 · Östersund 60%X 23%17% GIF Sundsvall · 2
60%
23%
17%
Match prediction: Östersund – GIF Sundsvall
Predicted score matrix
GIF Sundsvall →
Östersund →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.7%
0–14.7%
0–22.3%
0–30.7%
0–4+0.2%
1
1–010.6%
1–110.3%
1–24.6%
1–31.4%
1–4+0.4%
2
2–010.8%
2–19.9%
2–24.6%
2–31.4%
2–4+0.4%
3
3–07.1%
3–16.6%
3–23.0%
3–30.9%
3–4+0.3%
4+
4+–05.6%
4+–15.2%
4+–22.4%
4+–30.7%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-011%
- 2.1-011%
- 3.1-110%
- 4.2-110%
- 5.3-07%
Expected goals
1,99–0,92
Both teams to score
52%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,90
115%
223%
322%
416%
5+17%
Under 2,544%
@1.93
Over 2,556%
@1.85EV+3%
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Östersund to win60%
- Over 2.5 goals56%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score52%
- Over 2.5 goals56%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · GIF Sundsvall17% probability@7.01PinnacleEV+21%
- Over 2.556% probability@1.85PinnacleEV+3%
| Bookmaker | 1 · Östersund | X | 2 · GIF Sundsvall |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.46 | 4.10 | EV+ 21% 7.01 |
Odds updated 4 Aug, 04:53
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards a Östersund win since 1 August — the odds have shortened from 1.56 to 1.46 (−7%).
1-7 %
67 %57 %
1.56 → 1.46
X+4 %
28 %18 %
3.96 → 4.10
2+27 %
20 %10 %
5.52 → 7.01
Over 2,5+1 %
57 %47 %
1.83 → 1.85
Pinnacle · 6 recorded price levels · 01/08/2026 → 04/08/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Östersund vs GIF Sundsvall according to our model?
The model gives Östersund a 60% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Östersund 60%, draw 23%, GIF Sundsvall 17%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 56% and under at 44%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 52% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.