Grasshopper vs Sion: Prediction & Odds (23 Aug 2026)

Swiss Super League23 August 2026 16:30 CESTLetzigrund, Zürich19°0,3 mm9 km/h

GrasshopperPossession control

SionCounter-attacks & crosses

The model's lean: 2 · Sion (64%)

Limited data — The model has thin or uncertain data for this match — the forecast may be unreliable and the match is excluded from our value lists.

1 · Grasshopper 14%X 21%64% Sion · 2

14%

21%

64%

Analysis: Grasshopper – Sion

Anna Karlsson · 18 August 2026 · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work

Sion have the upper hand, plain and simple. The numbers paint a vivid picture: Sion's model probability of 64% dwarfs Grasshopper's meager 14%, signaling a strong lean toward an away victory. With Sion consistently scoring in their last 14 league matches, their attacking prowess is clear. Expected goals further underline this dominance, with Sion boasting an xG of 2.14 compared to Grasshopper's 1.03.

Grasshopper's possession-focused style might keep the ball at their feet longer, but that hasn't translated into tangible results against Sion. In their last 7 encounters, Grasshopper have managed just 2 wins against Sion's 4, a head-to-head record that reinforces Sion's superiority, albeit the sample remains small. Despite Grasshopper's edge in xPoints (3.7 to Sion's 2.9), translating expected performance into actual results has proven elusive for them.

Weather conditions, with 2.4 mm of rain forecasted, might slightly dampen the goal frenzy, but it's unlikely to significantly alter the match dynamics. The model still sees a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals, suggesting that both sides will find the back of the net. While Grasshopper might manage a goal—given the 57% likelihood of both teams scoring—Sion's counter-attacking flair should see them through.

Sion look poised to extend their dominance, with 1-2 or 0-2 scorelines both pegged at 10% likelihood. For punters, the sharpest angle lies in an away win. With odds at 1.72 across Betsafe, Betsson, and Nordicbet, there's a juicy 10% value edge to exploit. The numbers back Sion to come out on top, and this is where the smart money should head.

Grasshopper

Form WWDLL

League ranking xG #11xGA #6xT #8xP/match #8Points #10

Key players

Luke PlangeFxG 0.80 · xT 0.08
Samuel Sebastian KrasniqiLWxG 0.22 · xT 0.46
Tim MeyerCDMxG 0.00 · xT 0.10

Sion

Form DDLWW

League ranking xG #2xGA #7xT #3xP/match #5Points #5

Key players

Winsley BoteliFxG 1.17 · xT -0.05
Numa LavanchyRWBxG 0.05 · xT 0.42
Donat RrudhaniLWxG 0.24 · xT 0.26

Match prediction: Grasshopper – Sion

Predicted score matrix

Sion →

Grasshopper →

0–04.5%

0–18.8%

0–29.7%

0–36.9%

0–4+6.0%

1–04.1%

1–19.5%

1–29.9%

1–37.1%

1–4+6.2%

2–02.2%

2–14.8%

2–25.1%

2–33.6%

2–4+3.2%

3–00.8%

3–11.6%

3–21.7%

3–31.2%

3–4+1.1%

4+–00.2%

4+–10.5%

4+–20.6%

4+–30.4%

4+–4+0.3%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-210%
2.0-210%
3.1-110%
4.0-19%
5.1-37%

Expected goals

1,03–2,14

Both teams to score

57%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,2

113%

221%

322%

418%

5+21%

Under 2,539%

@2.28

Over 2,561%

@1.55

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Sion to win64%
Over 1.5 goals83%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Sion to win64%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Winsley Boteli to score39%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score57%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Winsley Boteli to score39%
Tim Meyer to be booked27%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Sion64% probability@1.72BetsafeEV+10%reference odds
2 · Sion64% probability@1.72BetssonEV+10%reference odds
2 · Sion64% probability@1.72NordicbetEV+10%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Grasshopper	X	2 · Sion
Betsafe	4.00	3.80	EV+ 10% 1.72
Betsson	4.00	3.80	EV+ 10% 1.72
Nordicbet	4.00	3.80	EV+ 10% 1.72

Odds updated 16 Aug, 15:36

Statistics

Head-to-head

7 matches

Grasshopper 2Draw 1Sion 4

Goals: 6–10 (⌀ 2,3)

Head-to-head based on Swiss Super League data since 2023.

Key facts

Sion dominate this fixture historically: 4 wins to 2 in 7 meetings.
Sion have scored in 14 consecutive league matches.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Grasshopper

Sion

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Grasshopper (3–7)

Sion (8–6)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Grasshopper

Sion

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Grasshopper

Sion

The teams in numbers

Performance	Grasshopper	Sion
Points	1	3
xPoints	3.7	2.9
xG per match	1	2
xGA per match	1.3	1.8
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.35	0.28
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.39	0.59

Playing style	Grasshopper	Sion
Build-up efficiency	0.28	0.33
Field tilt	0.49	0.59
xT per match	1	1.6
xTA per match	1.6	1.3
Won balls, offensive half	25	23
Pressing intensity	0.23	0.22
Pressing efficiency	0.25	0.34
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.25	0.29
Entries into the box per match	12	16
Entries into the box against	16	15
Pass completion %	0.7	0.82
Pass completion % under pressure	0.63	0.78
Passes per match	301	434
Passes against per match	386	273
Switches of play per match	16.8	33.8
Long balls per match	24	31

Set pieces	Grasshopper	Sion
xG from free kicks	0.1	0.01
Corners per match	3.2	3.4
Corners against per match	5.2	3.9
xG per corner	0.02	0.02
xGA per corner against	0.03	0.02
First touch, offensive corners %	0.3	0.71
First touch, defensive corners %	0.56	0.38

Other	Grasshopper	Sion
Throw-in control	0.67	0.81

The goalkeepers	Justin Hammel (Grasshopper)	Anthony Racioppi (Sion)
Saves	10	10
Save %	59%	63%
xG prevented	38%	31%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Grasshopper vs Sion according to our model?

The model gives Sion a 64% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Grasshopper 14%, draw 21%, Sion 64%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-2 at 10% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 61% and under at 39%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.