Turkish 1. Lig

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    VansporVansporPossession control
    0–2
    BA
    Batman PetrolsporPossession control
    The model's lean: 2 · Batman Petrolspor (43%)

    Vanspor – Batman Petrolspor · Turkish 1. Lig

    1 · Vanspor 31%X 25%43% Batman Petrolspor · 2

    Analysis: Vanspor – Batman Petrolspor

    Oscar Nilsson · · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work

    The most likely scorelines of 1-1 and 1-2, with probabilities of 12% and 9% respectively, suggest a closely contested affair but tilt towards Batman Petrolspor's advantage. The expected goals further cement this view, with Batman edging ahead at 1.44 compared to Vanspor's 1.36. This slight superiority aligns with the 53% chance for over 2.5 goals, suggesting a marginally higher-scoring game, though not decisively so.

    Corrected text:

    The model gives Batman Petrolspor a 43% chance of victory, and there's good reason for that confidence. Batman Petrolspor have been on a roll with three consecutive wins, a form that suggests they're more likely to secure the full points in this clash. Vanspor, on the other hand, have struggled to make a mark this season, capturing only four points compared to Batman's ten. The underlying numbers back this disparity: Batman's xPoints stand at 7.1 against Vanspor's 3.0, illustrating a clear edge in performance.

    Both teams share a similar playing style, focusing on possession control, which might lead to a tactical deadlock in midfield. However, Batman Petrolspor's higher xG per match at 1.8 significantly outweighs Vanspor's 0.69, hinting at a more potent attacking threat. Vanspor's shaky defense, evidenced by an xGA of 2.1 per match, could struggle to contain Batman's forward momentum.

    The most likely scorelines of 1-1 and 1-2, with probabilities of 12% and 9% respectively, suggest a closely contested affair but tilt towards Batman Petrolspor's advantage. The expected goals further cement this view, with Batman edging ahead at 1.44 compared to Vanspor's 1.36. This slight superiority aligns with the 53% chance for over 2.5 goals, suggesting a marginally higher-scoring game, though not decisively so.

    Based on the model's lean, Batman Petrolspor appears the sensible pick, backed by strong current form and underlying numbers.

    VansporVanspor
    Form LLWD
    League ranking xG #19xGA #20xT #20xP/match #18Points #13
    Key players
    • Furkan OzhanRWxG 0.08 · xT 0.06
    • Mehmet ManışRWBxG 0.05 · xT 0.11
    • Naby OulareCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.06
    Batman Petrolspor
    Form DWWW
    League ranking xG #3xGA #14xT #7xP/match #4Points #1
    Key players
    • Polat YaldırRWxG 0.08 · xT 0.12
    • Bernardo Martins de SousaRWxG 0.18 · xT 0.28
    • Mickaël Christophe BironLWxG 0.20 · xT 0.14
    Final score
    0 – 2
    The model called the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Vanspor 31% · Draw 25% · Batman Petrolspor 43%

    Match prediction: Vanspor – Batman Petrolspor

    Predicted score matrix

    Batman Petrolspor →
    Vanspor →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–06.5%
    0–18.4%
    0–26.3%
    0–33.0%
    0–4+1.5%
    1
    1–07.9%
    1–112.3%
    1–28.6%
    1–34.1%
    1–4+2.0%
    2
    2–05.6%
    2–18.1%
    2–25.8%
    2–32.8%
    2–4+1.4%
    3
    3–02.5%
    3–13.7%
    3–22.6%
    3–31.3%
    3–4+0.6%
    4+
    4+–01.2%
    4+–11.7%
    4+–21.2%
    4+–30.6%
    4+–4+0.3%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-112%
    2. 2.1-29%
    3. 3.0-18%
    4. 4.2-18%
    5. 5.1-08%
    Expected goals
    1,36–1,44
    Both teams to score
    57%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,8
    Under 2,547%
    –
    Over 2,553%
    –

    Ready-made bet suggestions

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance Batman Petrolspor or draw (X2)65%
    • Over 1.5 goals77%

    Combined probability

    50%

    Fair odds

    2.00

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance Batman Petrolspor or draw (X2)65%
    • Over 2.5 goals53%
    • Sergio Duvan Córdova Lezama to score24%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score57%
    • Over 2.5 goals53%
    • Jurgen Bardhi to score25%
    • Mamadou Cissokho to be booked25%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Statistics

    Key facts

    • Batman Petrolspor come into this round on 3 straight wins.
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Vanspor
    Batman Petrolspor
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Vanspor (5–9)
    Batman Petrolspor (8–4)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Vanspor
    Naby Oulare: 199 passningar, xT 0.19OulareBatuhan İşçiler: 123 passningar, xT 0.11İşçilerSinan Osmanoglu: 93 passningar, xT 0.22OsmanogluÖzkan Yiğiter: 90 passningar, xT 0.13YiğiterAlperen Uysal: 80 passningar, xT 0.03UysalMehmet Manış: 75 passningar, xT 0.33ManışFaruk Can Genc: 75 passningar, xT 0.13GencMehmet Ozcan: 72 passningar, xT 0.23OzcanJurgen Bardhi: 55 passningar, xT 0.06BardhiRichairo Juliano Živković: 43 passningar, xT 0.11ŽivkovićOzan Can Kökçü: 33 passningar, xT 0Kökçü
    Batman Petrolspor
    Matheus Dória Macedo: 158 passningar, xT 0.19MacedoMetehan Mert: 131 passningar, xT 0.3MertOmar Imeri: 122 passningar, xT 0.2ImeriKarahan Yasir Subasi: 112 passningar, xT 0.52SubasiJin-Ho Jo: 111 passningar, xT 0.28JoCaglar Akbaba: 103 passningar, xT 0.18AkbabaOguz Gurbulak: 69 passningar, xT 0.26GurbulakMickaël Christophe Biron: 53 passningar, xT 0.14BironBernardo Martins de Sousa: 51 passningar, xT 0.68SousaPedro Henrique Oliveira dos Santos: 45 passningar, xT 0.12SantosPolat Yaldır: 44 passningar, xT 0.26Yaldır
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Vanspor
    Naby Oulare: 199 passningar, xT 0.19OulareBatuhan İşçiler: 123 passningar, xT 0.11İşçilerSinan Osmanoglu: 93 passningar, xT 0.22OsmanogluÖzkan Yiğiter: 90 passningar, xT 0.13YiğiterAlperen Uysal: 80 passningar, xT 0.03UysalMehmet Manış: 75 passningar, xT 0.33ManışFaruk Can Genc: 75 passningar, xT 0.13GencMehmet Ozcan: 72 passningar, xT 0.23OzcanJurgen Bardhi: 55 passningar, xT 0.06BardhiRichairo Juliano Živković: 43 passningar, xT 0.11ŽivkovićOzan Can Kökçü: 33 passningar, xT 0Kökçü
    Batman Petrolspor
    Matheus Dória Macedo: 158 passningar, xT 0.19MacedoMetehan Mert: 131 passningar, xT 0.3MertOmar Imeri: 122 passningar, xT 0.2ImeriKarahan Yasir Subasi: 112 passningar, xT 0.52SubasiJin-Ho Jo: 111 passningar, xT 0.28JoCaglar Akbaba: 103 passningar, xT 0.18AkbabaOguz Gurbulak: 69 passningar, xT 0.26GurbulakMickaël Christophe Biron: 53 passningar, xT 0.14BironBernardo Martins de Sousa: 51 passningar, xT 0.68SousaPedro Henrique Oliveira dos Santos: 45 passningar, xT 0.12SantosPolat Yaldır: 44 passningar, xT 0.26Yaldır

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceVansporBatman Petrolspor
    Points410
    xPoints37.1
    xG per match0.691.8
    xGA per match2.11.3
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.20.29
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.410.37
    Playing styleVansporBatman Petrolspor
    Build-up efficiency0.30.31
    Field tilt0.320.42
    xT per match0.521.1
    xTA per match1.11.2
    Won balls, offensive half1621
    Pressing intensity0.220.22
    Pressing efficiency0.260.29
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.160.27
    Entries into the box per match711
    Entries into the box against1113
    Pass completion %0.750.75
    Pass completion % under pressure0.720.68
    Passes per match287291
    Passes against per match449294
    Switches of play per match15.424
    Long balls per match2840
    Set piecesVansporBatman Petrolspor
    xG from free kicks0.070.05
    Corners per match3.54.7
    Corners against per match43.2
    xG per corner0.030.02
    xGA per corner against0.060.01
    First touch, offensive corners %0.430.21
    First touch, defensive corners %0.310.62
    OtherVansporBatman Petrolspor
    Throw-in control0.680.67
    The goalkeepersAlperen Uysal (Vanspor)Caglar Akbaba (Batman Petrolspor)
    Saves617
    Save %43%81%
    xG prevented45%59%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Vanspor
    Fixtures, form & tips
    Batman Petrolspor
    Fixtures, form & tips

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Vanspor vs Batman Petrolspor according to our model?

    The model gives Batman Petrolspor a 43% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Vanspor 31%, draw 25%, Batman Petrolspor 43%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and under at 47%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.