Conference League

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    FK Borac Banja LukaFK Borac Banja Luka
    vs
    Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur ReykjavikCounter-attacks & crosses
    The model's lean: 2 · Vikingur Reykjavik (54%)

    FK Borac Banja LukaVikingur Reykjavik · Conference League

    1 · FK Borac Banja Luka 21%X 25%54% Vikingur Reykjavik · 2

    Analysis: FK Borac Banja LukaVikingur Reykjavik

    Anna Karlsson · · A data-driven preview · How the predictions work

    Fifty-four percent. That's the probability tipping the scales in favor of Vikingur Reykjavik against FK Borac Banja Luka as they clash in the Conference League. A striking number, which suggests a clear leaning towards the visitors. This isn't just a casual inclination—it's a strong projection rooted in expected goals: Vikingur with 1.58 to Borac's 0.88. The most likely outcomes, according to the model, are a narrow 0-1 victory for the Icelandic side or a 1-1 draw, with the former slightly edging out in probabilities.

    Borac Banja Luka's previous encounter with Vikingur ended in defeat, but with only one game in their head-to-head history since 2023, this sample is indeed small and less significant than current form and expected goals metrics. The hosts may struggle to find the net, emphasizing the defensive solidity and attacking threat Vikingur is expected to bring to the match.

    As for the betting angle, the under 2.5 goals inclination at 56% plays into the analysis of a low-scoring affair. For those seeking value, consider Vikingur Reykjavik to win at odds of 2.10 with Bet365. The assessment is clear: the visitors are positioned to control the narrative, with a 0-1 scoreline as the likeliest script.

    FK Borac Banja LukaFK Borac Banja Luka
    Form DWDDL
    Key players
    • Sandi OgrinecFxG 0.16 · xT 0.02
    • Đorđe DespotovićFxG 0.27 · xT -0.01
    • Sebastián Herrera CardonaLBxG 0.03 · xT 0.18
    Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik
    Form DWLWL
    League ranking xG #26xGA #60xT #55xP/match #43Points #56
    Key players
    • Danijel Dejan DjuricFxG 0.14 · xT 0.09
    • Oliver EkrothCBxG 0.02 · xT 0.09
    • Gísli Gottskálk ÞórðarsonCMxG 0.08 · xT 0.11

    Match prediction: FK Borac Banja LukaVikingur Reykjavik

    Predicted score matrix

    Vikingur Reykjavik
    FK Borac Banja Luka
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–08.9%
    0–113.2%
    0–210.7%
    0–35.6%
    0–4+3.1%
    1
    1–07.2%
    1–112.2%
    1–29.4%
    1–34.9%
    1–4+2.8%
    2
    2–03.3%
    2–15.2%
    2–24.1%
    2–32.2%
    2–4+1.2%
    3
    3–01.0%
    3–11.5%
    3–21.2%
    3–30.6%
    3–4+0.4%
    4+
    4+–00.3%
    4+–10.4%
    4+–20.3%
    4+–30.2%
    4+–4+0.1%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.0-113%
    2. 2.1-112%
    3. 3.0-211%
    4. 4.1-29%
    5. 5.0-09%
    Expected goals
    0,881,58
    Both teams to score
    47%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,5
    Under 2,556%
    Over 2,544%

    Ready-made bet suggestions

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Vikingur Reykjavik to win54%
    • Under 3.5 goals77%

    Combined probability

    39%

    Fair odds

    2.58

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Vikingur Reykjavik to win54%
    • Under 2.5 goals56%
    • Nikolaj Hansen to score20%

    Combined probability

    Fair odds

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score47%
    • Over 2.5 goals44%
    • David Vuković to score21%
    • Gunnar Vatnhamar to be booked22%

    Combined probability

    Fair odds

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    1 matches
    FK Borac Banja Luka 0Draw 0Vikingur Reykjavik 1
    Goals: 02 (⌀ 2)

    Head-to-head based on Conference League data since 2023.

    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Vikingur Reykjavik
    When goals are scored and conceded 2025
    Vikingur Reykjavik (34)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Vikingur Reykjavik
    Robert Orri Thorkelsson: 119 passningar, xT 0.18ThorkelssonOliver Ekroth: 98 passningar, xT 0.1EkrothKarl Fridleifur Gunnarsson: 75 passningar, xT 0.05GunnarssonDaniel Hafsteinsson: 71 passningar, xT -0.01HafsteinssonTarik Ibrahimagic: 61 passningar, xT 0.01IbrahimagicPalmi Rafn Arinbjornsson: 59 passningar, xT 0.04ArinbjornssonGylfi Sigurdsson: 49 passningar, xT 0.24SigurdssonHelgi Gudjonsson: 45 passningar, xT 0.36GudjonssonValdimar Thor Ingimundarson: 22 passningar, xT 0.12IngimundarsonErlingur Agnarsson: 20 passningar, xT -0.01AgnarssonViktor Orlygur Andrason: 17 passningar, xT 0.08Andrason
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Vikingur Reykjavik
    Robert Orri Thorkelsson: 119 passningar, xT 0.18ThorkelssonOliver Ekroth: 98 passningar, xT 0.1EkrothKarl Fridleifur Gunnarsson: 75 passningar, xT 0.05GunnarssonDaniel Hafsteinsson: 71 passningar, xT -0.01HafsteinssonTarik Ibrahimagic: 61 passningar, xT 0.01IbrahimagicPalmi Rafn Arinbjornsson: 59 passningar, xT 0.04ArinbjornssonGylfi Sigurdsson: 49 passningar, xT 0.24SigurdssonHelgi Gudjonsson: 45 passningar, xT 0.36GudjonssonValdimar Thor Ingimundarson: 22 passningar, xT 0.12IngimundarsonErlingur Agnarsson: 20 passningar, xT -0.01AgnarssonViktor Orlygur Andrason: 17 passningar, xT 0.08Andrason
    The goalkeepersFK Borac Banja LukaPalmi Rafn Arinbjornsson (Vikingur Reykjavik)
    Saves8
    Save %67%
    xG prevented44%
    Claims0 (0%)

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins FK Borac Banja Luka vs Vikingur Reykjavik according to our model?

    The model gives Vikingur Reykjavik a 54% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: FK Borac Banja Luka 21%, draw 25%, Vikingur Reykjavik 54%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 0-1 at 13% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 44% and under at 56%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 47% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.