Sparta Praha vs Teplice: Prediction & Odds (15 Aug 2026)

Czech First League15 August 202626°6 km/h

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Sparta Praha

4–1

Teplice

The model's lean: 1 · Sparta Praha (67%)

1 · Sparta Praha 67%X 21%12% Teplice · 2

67%

21%

Final score

4 – 1

The model called the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Sparta Praha 67% · Draw 21% · Teplice 12%

How the bookmaker bet builders went

The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.

Matchresultat - Sparta PragBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 4,07fair 4,53-10 %

Hit

Matchresultat - FK TepliceBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 22,12fair 37,04-40 %

Miss

Match prediction: Sparta Praha – Teplice

Predicted score matrix

Teplice →

Sparta Praha →

0–04.4%

0–13.2%

0–21.4%

0–30.4%

0–4+0.1%

1–09.6%

1–18.4%

1–23.4%

1–30.9%

1–4+0.2%

2–011.6%

2–19.5%

2–23.9%

2–31.1%

2–4+0.3%

3–09.0%

3–17.4%

3–23.1%

3–30.8%

3–4+0.2%

4+–09.2%

4+–17.6%

4+–23.1%

4+–30.9%

4+–4+0.2%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.2-012%
2.1-010%
3.2-110%
4.3-09%
5.1-18%

Expected goals

2,34–0,82

Both teams to score

51%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,2

113%

221%

322%

418%

5+21%

Under 2,539%

@2.22

Over 2,561%

@1.58

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Sparta Praha to win67%
Over 1.5 goals83%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Sparta Praha to win67%
Over 2.5 goals61%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score51%
Over 2.5 goals61%

Odds & value

Bookmaker	1 · Sparta Praha	X	2 · Teplice
Betsafe	1.42	4.40	6.20
Betsson	1.42	4.40	6.20
Nordicbet	1.42	4.25	6.60

Odds updated 15 Aug, 11:36

Odds movement

Market signal

The market has moved clearly towards an Teplice win since 12 August — the odds have shortened from 7.90 to 6.20 (−22%).

1+4 %

69 %64 %

1.36 → 1.42

X-3 %

23 %18 %

4.55 → 4.40

2-22 %

16 %11 %

7.90 → 6.20

Over 2,5-1 %

61 %56 %

1.60 → 1.58

Betsson · 16 recorded price levels · 12/08/2026 → 15/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Sparta Praha vs Teplice according to our model?

The model gives Sparta Praha a 67% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Sparta Praha 67%, draw 21%, Teplice 12%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 12% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 61% and under at 39%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 51% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.