Czech First League19°2,2 mm11 km/h

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    Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec
    11
    Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha
    The model's lean: 2 · Slavia Praha (65%)

    Slovan LiberecSlavia Praha · Czech First League

    1 · Slovan Liberec 15%X 21%65% Slavia Praha · 2
    Final score
    11
    The model missed the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Slovan Liberec 15% · Draw 21% · Slavia Praha 65%

    How the bookmaker bet builders went

    The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.

    Matchresultat - Slavia PragBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
    odds 5,81fair 4,70+24 %
    Miss
    Matchresultat - Slovan LiberecBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
    odds 13,12fair 24,38-46 %
    Miss

    Match prediction: Slovan LiberecSlavia Praha

    Predicted score matrix

    Slavia Praha
    Slovan Liberec
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–04.6%
    0–19.2%
    0–210.3%
    0–37.5%
    0–4+6.8%
    1
    1–03.9%
    1–19.3%
    1–29.9%
    1–37.2%
    1–4+6.5%
    2
    2–02.0%
    2–14.3%
    2–24.7%
    2–33.5%
    2–4+3.1%
    3
    3–00.6%
    3–11.4%
    3–21.5%
    3–31.1%
    3–4+1.0%
    4+
    4+–00.2%
    4+–10.4%
    4+–20.4%
    4+–30.3%
    4+–4+0.3%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.0-210%
    2. 2.1-210%
    3. 3.1-19%
    4. 4.0-19%
    5. 5.0-37%
    Expected goals
    0,962,18
    Both teams to score
    55%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,1
    Under 2,539%
    @1.90
    Over 2,561%
    @1.80EV+9%

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Slavia Praha to win65%
    • Over 1.5 goals82%

    Combined probability

    56%

    Fair odds

    1.80

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Slavia Praha to win65%
    • Over 2.5 goals61%

    Combined probability

    45%

    Fair odds

    2.20

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score55%
    • Over 2.5 goals61%

    Combined probability

    46%

    Fair odds

    2.19

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 2 · Slavia Praha65% probability@1.80BetsafeEV+16%
    • 2 · Slavia Praha65% probability@1.80BetssonEV+16%
    • 2 · Slavia Praha65% probability@1.80NordicbetEV+16%
    Bookmaker1 · Slovan LiberecX2 · Slavia Praha
    Betsafe4.003.45
    EV+ 16%
    1.80
    Betsson4.003.45
    EV+ 16%
    1.80
    Nordicbet4.003.45
    EV+ 16%
    1.80

    Odds updated 15 Aug, 01:35

    Odds movement

    1+5 %
    26 %21 %

    3.804.00

    X+1 %
    29 %24 %

    3.403.45

    2-4 %
    52 %47 %

    1.881.80

    Over 2,5+1 %
    54 %49 %

    1.781.80

    Betsson · 8 recorded price levels · 12/08/2026 → 15/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Slovan Liberec vs Slavia Praha according to our model?

    The model gives Slavia Praha a 65% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Slovan Liberec 15%, draw 21%, Slavia Praha 65%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 0-2 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 61% and under at 39%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 55% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

    More matches in the league

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.