Czech First League23°12 km/h

    Läs på svenska
    Viktoria PlzeňViktoria Plzeň
    32
    ZlínZlín
    The model's lean: 1 · Viktoria Plzeň (77%)

    Viktoria PlzeňZlín · Czech First League

    1 · Viktoria Plzeň 77%X 15%8% Zlín · 2
    Final score
    32
    The model called the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Viktoria Plzeň 77% · Draw 15% · Zlín 8%

    How the bookmaker bet builders went

    The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.

    Matchresultat - Viktoria PlzeňBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
    odds 4,25fair 5,14-17 %
    Hit
    Matchresultat - ZlínBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5
    odds 39,09fair 59,49-34 %
    Miss

    Match prediction: Viktoria PlzeňZlín

    Predicted score matrix

    Zlín
    Viktoria Plzeň
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–05.2%
    0–13.2%
    0–21.2%
    0–30.3%
    0–4+0.1%
    1
    1–011.3%
    1–18.1%
    1–22.7%
    1–30.6%
    1–4+0.1%
    2
    2–013.4%
    2–19.1%
    2–23.1%
    2–30.7%
    2–4+0.1%
    3
    3–010.3%
    3–17.0%
    3–22.4%
    3–30.5%
    3–4+0.1%
    4+
    4+–010.4%
    4+–17.1%
    4+–22.4%
    4+–30.5%
    4+–4+0.1%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.2-013%
    2. 2.1-011%
    3. 3.3-010%
    4. 4.2-19%
    5. 5.1-18%
    Expected goals
    2,320,68
    Both teams to score
    45%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,0
    Under 2,542%
    @2.18
    Over 2,558%
    @1.60

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Viktoria Plzeň to win77%
    • Over 1.5 goals80%

    Combined probability

    63%

    Fair odds

    1.60

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Viktoria Plzeň to win77%
    • Over 2.5 goals58%

    Combined probability

    49%

    Fair odds

    2.03

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score45%
    • Over 2.5 goals58%

    Combined probability

    37%

    Fair odds

    2.73

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    Bookmaker1 · Viktoria PlzeňX2 · Zlín
    Betsafe1.275.159.00
    Betsson1.275.159.00
    Nordicbet1.275.159.00

    Odds updated 15 Aug, 10:35

    Odds movement

    Market signal

    The market has moved clearly towards an Zlín win since 12 August — the odds have shortened from 11.50 to 9.00 (−22%).

    1+5 %
    77 %72 %

    1.211.27

    X-10 %
    19 %14 %

    5.755.15

    2-22 %
    12 %7 %

    11.509.00

    Over 2,5+3 %
    61 %56 %

    1.551.60

    Betsson · 15 recorded price levels · 12/08/2026 → 15/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Viktoria Plzeň vs Zlín according to our model?

    The model gives Viktoria Plzeň a 77% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Viktoria Plzeň 77%, draw 15%, Zlín 8%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 13% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 45% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

    More matches in the league

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.