Pardubice vs Mladá Boleslav: Prediction & Odds (15 Aug 2026)

Czech First League15 August 202624°9 km/h

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Pardubice

1–1

Mladá Boleslav

The model's lean: 2 · Mladá Boleslav (37%)

1 · Pardubice 34%X 28%37% Mladá Boleslav · 2

34%

28%

37%

Final score

1 – 1

The model missed the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Pardubice 34% · Draw 28% · Mladá Boleslav 37%

How the bookmaker bet builders went

The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.

Matchresultat - Mladá BoleslavBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 8,26fair 8,95-8 %

Miss

Matchresultat - FK PardubiceBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 6,05fair 10,63-43 %

Miss

Match prediction: Pardubice – Mladá Boleslav

Predicted score matrix

Mladá Boleslav →

Pardubice →

0–06.5%

0–18.6%

0–26.5%

0–33.2%

0–4+1.6%

1–07.9%

1–112.3%

1–28.7%

1–34.2%

1–4+2.1%

2–05.5%

2–18.0%

2–25.8%

2–32.8%

2–4+1.4%

3–02.4%

3–13.5%

3–22.6%

3–31.2%

3–4+0.6%

4+–01.1%

4+–11.6%

4+–21.1%

4+–30.6%

4+–4+0.3%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-112%
2.1-29%
3.0-19%
4.2-18%
5.1-08%

Expected goals

1,33–1,46

Both teams to score

57%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,8

116%

224%

322%

416%

5+15%

Under 2,547%

@2.15EV+2%

Over 2,553%

@1.65

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Mladá Boleslav or draw (X2)66%
Over 1.5 goals77%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Double chance Mladá Boleslav or draw (X2)66%
Over 2.5 goals53%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score57%
Over 2.5 goals53%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Mladá Boleslav37% probability@2.95BetsafeEV+10%
2 · Mladá Boleslav37% probability@2.95BetssonEV+10%
2 · Mladá Boleslav37% probability@2.95NordicbetEV+10%

Bookmaker	1 · Pardubice	X	2 · Mladá Boleslav
Betsafe	2.15	3.40	EV+ 10% 2.95
Betsson	2.15	3.40	EV+ 10% 2.95
Nordicbet	2.15	3.40	EV+ 10% 2.95

Odds updated 15 Aug, 11:36

Odds movement

10 %

45 %40 %

2.15 → 2.15

X-3 %

29 %24 %

3.50 → 3.40

2-2 %

33 %28 %

3.00 → 2.95

Over 2,50 %

59 %54 %

1.62 → 1.62

Betsson · 8 recorded price levels · 12/08/2026 → 15/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Pardubice vs Mladá Boleslav according to our model?

The model gives Mladá Boleslav a 37% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Pardubice 34%, draw 28%, Mladá Boleslav 37%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and under at 47%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.