Czech First League18°15 km/h

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    TepliceTeplice
    vs
    Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno
    The model's lean: 1 · Teplice (48%)

    TepliceZbrojovka Brno · Czech First League

    1 · Teplice 48%X 28%25% Zbrojovka Brno · 2

    Match prediction: TepliceZbrojovka Brno

    Predicted score matrix

    Zbrojovka Brno
    Teplice
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–010.3%
    0–18.8%
    0–24.2%
    0–31.3%
    0–4+0.4%
    1
    1–013.5%
    1–113.1%
    1–25.8%
    1–31.8%
    1–4+0.5%
    2
    2–09.6%
    2–18.8%
    2–24.0%
    2–31.2%
    2–4+0.3%
    3
    3–04.5%
    3–14.1%
    3–21.9%
    3–30.6%
    3–4+0.2%
    4+
    4+–02.1%
    4+–11.9%
    4+–20.9%
    4+–30.3%
    4+–4+0.1%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-013%
    2. 2.1-113%
    3. 3.0-010%
    4. 4.2-010%
    5. 5.2-19%
    Expected goals
    1,390,92
    Both teams to score
    45%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,3
    Under 2,559%
    @1.85EV+10%
    Over 2,541%
    @1.85

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Teplice to win48%
    • Under 3.5 goals80%

    Combined probability

    36%

    Fair odds

    2.75

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Teplice to win48%
    • Under 2.5 goals59%

    Combined probability

    23%

    Fair odds

    4.33

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score45%
    • Over 2.5 goals41%

    Combined probability

    32%

    Fair odds

    3.09

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 1 · Teplice48% probability@2.40BetsafeEV+14%
    • 1 · Teplice48% probability@2.40BetssonEV+14%
    • 1 · Teplice48% probability@2.40NordicbetEV+14%
    Bookmaker1 · TepliceX2 · Zbrojovka Brno
    Betsafe
    EV+ 14%
    2.40
    3.302.72
    Betsson
    EV+ 14%
    2.40
    3.302.72
    Nordicbet
    EV+ 14%
    2.40
    3.302.72

    Odds updated 17 Aug, 10:35

    Odds movement

    10 %
    41 %36 %

    2.402.40

    X0 %
    30 %25 %

    3.303.30

    20 %
    36 %31 %

    2.722.72

    Over 2,5-2 %
    52 %47 %

    1.881.85

    Betsson · 2 recorded price levels · 16/08/2026 → 17/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno according to our model?

    The model gives Teplice a 48% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Teplice 48%, draw 28%, Zbrojovka Brno 25%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-0 at 13% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 41% and under at 59%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 45% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

    More matches in the league

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.