Sigma Olomouc vs Pardubice: Prediction & Odds (22 Aug 2026)

Czech First League22 August 202621°4,5 mm20 km/h

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Sigma Olomouc

Pardubice

The model's lean: 1 · Sigma Olomouc (53%)Best value by the model: Under 2,5 @ 2.02 (+5 %)

1 · Sigma Olomouc 53%X 26%21% Pardubice · 2

53%

26%

21%

Match prediction: Sigma Olomouc – Pardubice

Predicted score matrix

Pardubice →

Sigma Olomouc →

0–07.8%

0–16.5%

0–23.1%

0–30.9%

0–4+0.3%

1–012.2%

1–111.8%

1–25.2%

1–31.6%

1–4+0.4%

2–010.6%

2–19.6%

2–24.4%

2–31.3%

2–4+0.4%

3–05.9%

3–15.4%

3–22.5%

3–30.7%

3–4+0.2%

4+–03.6%

4+–13.3%

4+–21.5%

4+–30.5%

4+–4+0.1%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-012%
2.1-112%
3.2-011%
4.2-110%
5.0-08%

Expected goals

1,68–0,91

Both teams to score

49%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,6

08%

119%

225%

322%

414%

5+12%

Under 2,552%

@2.02EV+5%

Over 2,548%

@1.70

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Sigma Olomouc to win53%
Under 3.5 goals74%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Sigma Olomouc to win53%
Under 2.5 goals52%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score49%
Over 2.5 goals48%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

Under 2.552% probability@2.02BetsafeEV+5%
Under 2.552% probability@2.02BetssonEV+5%
Under 2.552% probability@2.02NordicbetEV+5%

Bookmaker	1 · Sigma Olomouc	X	2 · Pardubice
Betsafe	EV+ 1% 1.90	3.45	3.65
Betsson	EV+ 1% 1.90	3.45	3.65
Nordicbet	EV+ 1% 1.90	3.45	3.65

Odds updated 16 Aug, 19:35

Odds movement

1-1 %

50 %45 %

1.92 → 1.90

X+1 %

29 %24 %

3.40 → 3.45

2+1 %

28 %23 %

3.60 → 3.65

Over 2,5-3 %

56 %51 %

1.75 → 1.70

Betsson · 2 recorded price levels · 16/08/2026 → 16/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Sigma Olomouc vs Pardubice according to our model?

The model gives Sigma Olomouc a 53% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Sigma Olomouc 53%, draw 26%, Pardubice 21%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-0 at 12% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 48% and under at 52%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 49% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.