Croatian HNL29°8 km/h

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    Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
    2–0
    Slaven BelupoSlaven Belupo
    The model's lean: 1 · Dinamo Zagreb (75%)Best value by the model: Under 0,5 @ 34.00 (+70 %)

    Dinamo Zagreb – Slaven Belupo · Croatian HNL

    1 · Dinamo Zagreb 75%X 15%10% Slaven Belupo · 2
    Final score
    2 – 0
    The model called the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Dinamo Zagreb 75% · Draw 15% · Slaven Belupo 10%

    Match prediction: Dinamo Zagreb – Slaven Belupo

    Predicted score matrix

    Slaven Belupo →
    Dinamo Zagreb →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–05.0%
    0–13.1%
    0–21.1%
    0–30.3%
    0–4+0.1%
    1
    1–011.0%
    1–18.0%
    1–22.7%
    1–30.6%
    1–4+0.1%
    2
    2–013.2%
    2–19.1%
    2–23.2%
    2–30.7%
    2–4+0.1%
    3
    3–010.3%
    3–17.1%
    3–22.5%
    3–30.6%
    3–4+0.1%
    4+
    4+–010.6%
    4+–17.3%
    4+–22.5%
    4+–30.6%
    4+–4+0.1%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.2-013%
    2. 2.1-011%
    3. 3.3-010%
    4. 4.2-19%
    5. 5.1-18%
    Expected goals
    2,35–0,69
    Both teams to score
    45%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,0
    Under 2,541%
    @3.15EV+30%
    Over 2,559%
    @1.45

    Ready-made bet suggestions

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Dinamo Zagreb to win75%
    • Over 1.5 goals81%

    Combined probability

    63%

    Fair odds

    1.58

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Dinamo Zagreb to win75%
    • Over 2.5 goals59%

    Combined probability

    50%

    Fair odds

    2.00

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score45%
    • Over 2.5 goals59%

    Combined probability

    37%

    Fair odds

    2.67

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • Under 0.55% probability@34.00Betfair ExchangeEV+70%
    • Under 1.519% probability@7.60Betfair ExchangeEV+45%
    • Under 2.541% probability@3.15Betfair ExchangeEV+30%
    Bookmaker1 · Dinamo ZagrebX2 · Slaven Belupo
    Betfair Exchange1.25
    EV+ 14%
    7.40
    EV+ 30%
    13.00
    Pinnacle1.23
    EV+ 5%
    6.77    		9.69

    Odds updated 31 Jul, 18:09

    Odds movement

    Market signal

    The market has moved clearly towards an Slaven Belupo win since 27 July — the odds have shortened from 11.46 to 9.69 (−15%).

    1+4 %
    80 %75 %

    1.18 → 1.23

    X-2 %
    16 %11 %

    6.92 → 6.77

    2-15 %
    11 %6 %

    11.46 → 9.69

    Pinnacle · 15 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 31/07/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo according to our model?

    The model gives Dinamo Zagreb a 75% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Dinamo Zagreb 75%, draw 15%, Slaven Belupo 10%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 13% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and under at 41%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 45% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.