Croatian HNL28°11 km/h

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    GoricaGorica
    0–2
    OsijekOsijek
    The model's lean: 2 · Osijek (39%)

    Gorica – Osijek · Croatian HNL

    1 · Gorica 31%X 29%39% Osijek · 2
    Final score
    0 – 2
    The model called the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Gorica 31% · Draw 29% · Osijek 39%

    Match prediction: Gorica – Osijek

    Predicted score matrix

    Osijek →
    Gorica →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–08.7%
    0–19.9%
    0–26.3%
    0–32.6%
    0–4+1.0%
    1
    1–010.1%
    1–113.2%
    1–27.9%
    1–33.3%
    1–4+1.3%
    2
    2–06.5%
    2–18.1%
    2–25.0%
    2–32.0%
    2–4+0.8%
    3
    3–02.7%
    3–13.4%
    3–22.1%
    3–30.9%
    3–4+0.3%
    4+
    4+–01.1%
    4+–11.4%
    4+–20.9%
    4+–30.4%
    4+–4+0.1%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-113%
    2. 2.1-010%
    3. 3.0-110%
    4. 4.0-09%
    5. 5.2-18%
    Expected goals
    1,25–1,23
    Both teams to score
    51%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,5
    Under 2,555%
    @1.65
    Over 2,545%
    @2.21EV+0%

    Ready-made bet suggestions

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance Osijek or draw (X2)63%
    • Under 3.5 goals76%

    Combined probability

    49%

    Fair odds

    2.06

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance Osijek or draw (X2)63%
    • Under 2.5 goals55%

    Combined probability

    38%

    Fair odds

    2.63

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score51%
    • Over 2.5 goals45%

    Combined probability

    38%

    Fair odds

    2.64

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 2 · Osijek39% probability@3.05PinnacleEV+20%
    • Over 2.545% probability@2.21PinnacleEV+0%
    Bookmaker1 · GoricaX2 · Osijek
    Pinnacle2.493.04
    EV+ 20%
    3.05

    Odds updated 1 Aug, 04:51

    Odds movement

    1-6 %
    39 %34 %

    2.66 → 2.49

    X+13 %
    35 %30 %

    2.70 → 3.04

    2-3 %
    33 %28 %

    3.14 → 3.05

    Over 2,50 %
    45 %40 %

    2.21 → 2.21

    Pinnacle · 7 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 01/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Gorica vs Osijek according to our model?

    The model gives Osijek a 39% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Gorica 31%, draw 29%, Osijek 39%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 45% and under at 55%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 51% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.