Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: Prediction & Odds (1 Aug 2026)

Croatian HNL1 August 202630°13 km/h

Läs på svenska

Istra 1961

2–3

Lokomotiva Zagreb

The model's lean: 2 · Lokomotiva Zagreb (37%)

1 · Istra 1961 33%X 30%37% Lokomotiva Zagreb · 2

33%

30%

37%

Final score

2 – 3

The model called the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Istra 1961 33% · Draw 30% · Lokomotiva Zagreb 37%

Match prediction: Istra 1961 – Lokomotiva Zagreb

Predicted score matrix

Lokomotiva Zagreb →

Istra 1961 →

0–08.6%

0–110.1%

0–26.7%

0–32.8%

0–4+1.2%

1–09.7%

1–113.2%

1–28.2%

1–33.5%

1–4+1.5%

2–06.1%

2–17.8%

2–25.0%

2–32.1%

2–4+0.9%

3–02.5%

3–13.2%

3–22.0%

3–30.9%

3–4+0.4%

4+–01.0%

4+–11.3%

4+–20.8%

4+–30.3%

4+–4+0.1%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-113%
2.0-110%
3.1-010%
4.0-09%
5.1-28%

Expected goals

1,22–1,28

Both teams to score

51%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,5

09%

120%

226%

321%

413%

5+11%

Under 2,554%

@1.92EV+4%

Over 2,546%

@1.90

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw (X2)65%
Under 3.5 goals76%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Double chance Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw (X2)65%
Under 2.5 goals54%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score51%
Over 2.5 goals46%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Lokomotiva Zagreb37% probability@3.10PinnacleEV+15%
X · Draw30% probability@3.46PinnacleEV+5%
Under 2.554% probability@1.92PinnacleEV+4%

Bookmaker	1 · Istra 1961	X	2 · Lokomotiva Zagreb
Pinnacle	2.26	EV+ 5% 3.46	EV+ 15% 3.10

Odds updated 1 Aug, 10:08

Odds movement

1+6 %

46 %41 %

2.13 → 2.26

X0 %

30 %25 %

3.46 → 3.46

2-4 %

32 %27 %

3.24 → 3.10

Over 2,5+1 %

53 %48 %

1.88 → 1.90

Pinnacle · 8 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 01/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Istra 1961 vs Lokomotiva Zagreb according to our model?

The model gives Lokomotiva Zagreb a 37% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Istra 1961 33%, draw 30%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 37%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 46% and under at 54%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 51% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.