Wisła Płock vs Widzew Łódź: Prediction & Odds (31 Jul 2026)

Ekstraklasa31 July 202627°10 km/h

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Wisła Płock

0–0

Widzew Łódź

The model's lean: 2 · Widzew Łódź (35%)Best value by the model: 1 · Wisła Płock @ 3.25 (+14 %)

1 · Wisła Płock 35%X 30%35% Widzew Łódź · 2

35%

30%

35%

Final score

0 – 0

The model missed the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Wisła Płock 35% · Draw 30% · Widzew Łódź 35%

Match prediction: Wisła Płock – Widzew Łódź

Predicted score matrix

Widzew Łódź →

Wisła Płock →

0–010.8%

0–111.4%

0–26.6%

0–32.5%

0–4+0.9%

1–011.5%

1–113.7%

1–27.5%

1–32.8%

1–4+1.0%

2–06.7%

2–17.6%

2–24.2%

2–31.6%

2–4+0.6%

3–02.5%

3–12.9%

3–21.6%

3–30.6%

3–4+0.2%

4+–00.9%

4+–11.0%

4+–20.6%

4+–30.2%

4+–4+0.1%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-114%
2.1-011%
3.0-111%
4.0-011%
5.2-18%

Expected goals

1,13–1,12

Both teams to score

46%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,3

011%

123%

227%

320%

411%

5+8%

Under 2,561%

@1.64

Over 2,539%

@2.32

Ready-made bet suggestions

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01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Widzew Łódź or draw (X2)64%
Under 3.5 goals81%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Double chance Widzew Łódź or draw (X2)64%
Under 2.5 goals61%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score46%
Over 2.5 goals39%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

1 · Wisła Płock35% probability@3.25PinnacleEV+14%

Bookmaker	1 · Wisła Płock	X	2 · Widzew Łódź
Pinnacle	EV+ 14% 3.25	2.94	2.53

Odds updated 31 Jul, 10:08

Odds movement

Market signal

The market has moved clearly towards a Wisła Płock win since 27 July — the odds have shortened from 3.65 to 3.25 (−11%).

1-11 %

31 %26 %

3.65 → 3.25

X+8 %

36 %31 %

2.71 → 2.94

2+4 %

41 %36 %

2.43 → 2.53

Over 2,5+1 %

43 %38 %

2.29 → 2.32

Pinnacle · 13 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 31/07/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Wisła Płock vs Widzew Łódź according to our model?

The model gives Widzew Łódź a 35% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Wisła Płock 35%, draw 30%, Widzew Łódź 35%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 14% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 39% and under at 61%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 46% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.