Assyriska FF vs Sollentuna: Prediction & Odds (9 Aug 2026)

Swedish Ettan9 August 2026 18:00 CEST17°0,6 mm14 km/hUpdated 03/08/2026

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Assyriska FFCounter-attacks & crosses

The model's lean: 1 · Assyriska FF (37%)

SollentunaPossession & high press

1 · Assyriska FF 37%X 26%37% Sollentuna · 2

37%

26%

37%

Assyriska FF

Form LLDWW

League ranking xG #22xGA #23xT #23xP/match #18Points #20

Key players

Elias Ländin SjöblomLWxG 0.05 · xT 0.47
Martín Ignacio Larraín GuzmánFxG 0.06 · xT 0.19
Felix Felder AaltonenRWxG 0.28 · xT 0.26

Sollentuna

Form DDDLL

League ranking xG #29xGA #12xT #14xP/match #29Points #28

Key players

Dida RashidiFxG 0.2 · xT 0.13
Johannes DanhoLWxG 0.02 · xT 0.31
David BengtssonCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.14

Match prediction: Assyriska FF – Sollentuna

Predicted score matrix

Sollentuna →

Assyriska FF →

0–05.3%

0–16.7%

0–24.9%

0–32.3%

0–4+1.1%

1–07.7%

1–111.5%

1–27.8%

1–33.6%

1–4+1.7%

2–06.4%

2–18.9%

2–26.2%

2–32.9%

2–4+1.4%

3–03.4%

3–14.7%

3–23.3%

3–31.5%

3–4+0.7%

4+–01.9%

4+–12.7%

4+–21.9%

4+–30.9%

4+–4+0.4%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-112%
2.2-19%
3.1-28%
4.1-08%
5.0-17%

Expected goals

1,59–1,40

Both teams to score

60%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,0

114%

223%

322%

417%

5+18%

Under 2,543%

–

Over 2,557%

–

Odds & value

No odds available yet.

Analysis: Assyriska FF – Sollentuna

Sofia Andersson · 3 August 2026 · How the predictions work

Seventeen points and 20.8 expected points serve as a resounding testament to Assyriska FF's slightly superior standing over Sollentuna FK, who sits with 13 points and a leaner 15.1 expected points. Yet, history whispers a different tune: in their five matchups since 2023, Assyriska FF have repeatedly stumbled, failing to win even once, with four draws and a solitary loss haunting their record. This juxtaposition between recent form and historical head-to-head results injects a compelling tension into the coming clash.

Assyriska FF might fancy their chances on paper, especially given their higher xG per match of 1.3 compared to Sollentuna FK's 1.1, but the latter's strong defensive xGA of 1.3 offers a bulwark against Assyriska's ambitions. Sollentuna's style, focused on possession and high pressing, could nullify Assyriska's counter-attacking and crossing prowess, leading to a midfield battle that both teams are evenly poised to contest.

Sollentuna FK enters the match with a certain psychological edge, knowing they have had Assyriska’s number in recent encounters. However, the expected goals forecast paints a tight contest, with Assyriska FF keen to break their duck and Sollentuna FK looking to build on their historical advantage. The most probable scoreline sits at 1-1 with a 12% likelihood, closely followed by a 2-1 in favor of Assyriska FF at 9% and a 1-2 for Sollentuna FK at 8%.

With a 57% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 60% likelihood for both teams to find the net, the match promises an open play style, brimming with opportunities at both ends. Yet, the low-margin nuances of this matchup suggest that goals, while probable, may not come freely against well-matched forces.

For those with a betting inclination, the subtle value lies in backing Assyriska FF at odds offered by Betfair at 2.70, leaning on their marginal form advantage and the urgency to finally chalk up a win against their bogey team. While not foolproof, the edge could tilt the scales just enough for the hosts.

Statistics

Head-to-head

5 matches

Assyriska FF 0Draw 4Sollentuna 1

Goals: 4–5 (⌀ 1,8)

Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Assyriska FF

Sollentuna

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Assyriska FF (24–29)

Sollentuna (12–19)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Assyriska FF

Sollentuna

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Assyriska FF

Sollentuna

The teams in numbers

Performance	Assyriska FF	Sollentuna
Points	17	13
xPoints	20.8	15.1
xG per match	1.3	1.1
xGA per match	1.6	1.3
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.31	0.13
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.25	0.21

Playing style	Assyriska FF	Sollentuna
Build-up efficiency	0.38	0.32
Field tilt	0.37	0.59
xT per match	1.3	1.4
xTA per match	1.6	1.2
Won balls, offensive half	23	30
Pressing intensity	0.42	0.46
Pressing efficiency	0.24	0.25
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.23	0.24
Entries into the box per match	12	13
Entries into the box against	15	10
Pass completion %	0.77	0.82
Pass completion % under pressure	0.7	0.77
Passes per match	274	411
Passes against per match	391	361
Switches of play per match	16.8	13.4
Long balls per match	32	33

Set pieces	Assyriska FF	Sollentuna
xG from free kicks	0.11	0.14
Corners per match	4.4	4.5
Corners against per match	5.6	5
xG per corner	0.03	0.05
xGA per corner against	0.01	0.02
First touch, offensive corners %	0.42	0.45
First touch, defensive corners %	0.72	0.67