Swedish Ettan16°3,0 mm22 km/h

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    PiteåPiteå
    0–2
    GefleGefle
    The model's lean: 2 · Gefle (51%)

    Piteå vs Gefle · Swedish Ettan

    1 · Piteå 28%X 21%51% Gefle · 2
    Final score
    0 – 2
    The model called the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Piteå 28% · Draw 21% · Gefle 51%

    Match prediction: Piteå – Gefle

    Predicted score matrix

    Gefle →
    Piteå →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–05.0%
    0–18.0%
    0–27.2%
    0–34.2%
    0–4+2.7%
    1
    1–05.9%
    1–111.1%
    1–29.4%
    1–35.5%
    1–4+3.5%
    2
    2–04.0%
    2–17.0%
    2–26.1%
    2–33.6%
    2–4+2.3%
    3
    3–01.7%
    3–13.1%
    3–22.7%
    3–31.6%
    3–4+1.0%
    4+
    4+–00.8%
    4+–11.3%
    4+–21.2%
    4+–30.7%
    4+–4+0.4%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-111%
    2. 2.1-29%
    3. 3.0-18%
    4. 4.0-27%
    5. 5.2-17%
    Expected goals
    1,30–1,75
    Both teams to score
    60%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,0
    Under 2,541%
    –
    Over 2,559%
    –

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Gefle to win51%
    • Over 1.5 goals81%

    Combined probability

    39%

    Fair odds

    2.53

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Gefle to win51%
    • Over 2.5 goals59%

    Combined probability

    32%

    Fair odds

    3.10

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score60%
    • Over 2.5 goals59%

    Combined probability

    49%

    Fair odds

    2.03

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Teams & more matches this round

    Piteå
    Fixtures, form & tips
    Gefle
    Fixtures, form & tips

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Piteå vs Gefle according to our model?

    The model gives Gefle a 51% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Piteå 28%, draw 21%, Gefle 51%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and under at 41%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.