Swedish Ettan18°6,9 mm22 km/hUpdated

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    Enköpings SKEnköpings SKPossession control
    vs
    The model's lean: 1 · Enköpings SK (40%)
    KarlbergKarlbergBalanced & physical

    Enköpings SK – Karlberg · Swedish Ettan

    1 · Enköpings SK 40%X 23%37% Karlberg · 2
    Enköpings SKEnköpings SK
    Form LWDWL
    League ranking xG #20xGA #22xT #32xP/match #21Points #9
    Key players
    • Alexander HughesLWxG 0.04 · xT 0.47
    • Isak BråholmLWxG 0.21 · xT 0.17
    • Lucky NwaforFxG 0.42 · xT 0.06
    KarlbergKarlberg
    Form LLWWW
    League ranking xG #4xGA #11xT #6xP/match #2Points #15
    Key players
    • Noah Tesfai NegashLWxG 0.21 · xT 0.29
    • Adam JemalFxG 0.46 · xT 0.22
    • Mattias MitkuFxG 0.32 · xT 0.16

    Match prediction: Enköpings SK – Karlberg

    Predicted score matrix

    Karlberg →
    Enköpings SK →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–03.7%
    0–15.5%
    0–24.8%
    0–32.7%
    0–4+1.6%
    1
    1–05.6%
    1–110.1%
    1–28.2%
    1–34.6%
    1–4+2.8%
    2
    2–05.0%
    2–18.3%
    2–26.9%
    2–33.9%
    2–4+2.3%
    3
    3–02.8%
    3–14.7%
    3–23.9%
    3–32.2%
    3–4+1.3%
    4+
    4+–01.7%
    4+–12.9%
    4+–22.4%
    4+–31.3%
    4+–4+0.8%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-110%
    2. 2.2-18%
    3. 3.1-28%
    4. 4.2-27%
    5. 5.1-06%
    Expected goals
    1,69–1,67
    Both teams to score
    66%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,4
    Under 2,535%
    –
    Over 2,565%
    –

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Analysis: Enköpings SK – Karlberg

    Marcus Johansson · · How the predictions work

    Six point advantage in the league table for Enköpings SK FK might suggest they hold the upper hand, but Karlbergs BK's recent form tells a different story. With three consecutive victories, the momentum is undeniably with Karlbergs, but the history between these two sides since 2023 can't be ignored: Enköpings have never lost, with two wins and a draw in their previous meetings. The tension of past results and current form sets the stage for an intriguing contest.

    Enköpings SK FK, with their possession-based approach, will look to control the tempo, but Karlbergs' physicality and balanced style could disrupt their rhythm. Expected goals are nearly neck and neck—1.69 for Enköpings to 1.67 for Karlbergs—suggesting a shootout rather than a shutout. The high probability of both teams scoring, pegged at 66%, aligns with the expectation of a close affair.

    Karlbergs BK have the xG edge at 1.7 per match compared to Enköpings' 1.4, yet they've conceded less per game as well, with an xGA of 1.2 against Enköpings' 1.5. These stats paint Karlbergs as the side more likely to capitalize on scoring opportunities, despite Enköpings' higher league position.

    Karlbergs' recent run and superior expected points (24.9 to Enköpings' 18.5) make them a tempting pick, but the model still slightly favours Enköpings at 40% to 37%. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 at 10% nudges towards a draw, but don't discount the potential for a 2-1 victory on either side, both at 8%.

    Over 2.5 goals looms large at 65%, and bookmakers may offer value here. With the rain adding a slippery layer to the pitch, expect mistakes and goals. Look to Bet365, where odds on over 2.5 goals might just present an enticing EV+ opportunity.

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    3 matches
    Enköpings SK 2Draw 1Karlberg 0
    Goals: 8–4 (⌀ 4)

    Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.

    Key facts

    • Karlbergs BK come into this round on 3 straight wins.
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Enköpings SK
    Karlberg
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Enköpings SK (24–23)
    Karlberg (25–23)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Enköpings SK
    Filiph Ededal: 338 passningar, xT 0.44EdedalMohammed Belouchi: 266 passningar, xT 0.42BelouchiHadi Noori: 248 passningar, xT -0.09NooriMattias Özgün: 204 passningar, xT 0.37ÖzgünAlexander Hughes: 159 passningar, xT 1.5HughesAxel Sveijer: 148 passningar, xT 0.33SveijerWilliam Björk: 138 passningar, xT 0.18BjörkOscar Kihlgren: 124 passningar, xT 0.13KihlgrenIsak Bråholm: 98 passningar, xT 0.58BråholmVictor Astor: 95 passningar, xT 0.1AstorAndres Odhiambo Omondi: 82 passningar, xT 0Omondi
    Karlberg
    Robin Sundgren: 223 passningar, xT 0.3SundgrenFilip Nieminen Eriksson: 185 passningar, xT 0.38ErikssonViktor Steen: 185 passningar, xT 0.19SteenNoah Tesfai Negash: 167 passningar, xT 1.18NegashLukas Sietsema: 146 passningar, xT 0.17SietsemaNino Geiger: 144 passningar, xT 0.11GeigerHugo Åslund: 105 passningar, xT 0.29ÅslundAyo Rupia-Ellis: 87 passningar, xT 0.02Rupia-EllisHugo Fernández: 86 passningar, xT 1.26FernándezMattias Mitku: 86 passningar, xT 0.44MitkuEdrisa Bojang: 53 passningar, xT 0.12Bojang
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Enköpings SK
    Filiph Ededal: 338 passningar, xT 0.44EdedalMohammed Belouchi: 266 passningar, xT 0.42BelouchiHadi Noori: 248 passningar, xT -0.09NooriMattias Özgün: 204 passningar, xT 0.37ÖzgünAlexander Hughes: 159 passningar, xT 1.5HughesAxel Sveijer: 148 passningar, xT 0.33SveijerWilliam Björk: 138 passningar, xT 0.18BjörkOscar Kihlgren: 124 passningar, xT 0.13KihlgrenIsak Bråholm: 98 passningar, xT 0.58BråholmVictor Astor: 95 passningar, xT 0.1AstorAndres Odhiambo Omondi: 82 passningar, xT 0Omondi
    Karlberg
    Robin Sundgren: 223 passningar, xT 0.3SundgrenFilip Nieminen Eriksson: 185 passningar, xT 0.38ErikssonViktor Steen: 185 passningar, xT 0.19SteenNoah Tesfai Negash: 167 passningar, xT 1.18NegashLukas Sietsema: 146 passningar, xT 0.17SietsemaNino Geiger: 144 passningar, xT 0.11GeigerHugo Åslund: 105 passningar, xT 0.29ÅslundAyo Rupia-Ellis: 87 passningar, xT 0.02Rupia-EllisHugo Fernández: 86 passningar, xT 1.26FernándezMattias Mitku: 86 passningar, xT 0.44MitkuEdrisa Bojang: 53 passningar, xT 0.12Bojang

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceEnköpings SKKarlberg
    Points2521
    xPoints18.524.9
    xG per match1.41.7
    xGA per match1.51.2
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.360.28
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.320.4
    Playing styleEnköpings SKKarlberg
    Build-up efficiency0.350.35
    Field tilt0.540.49
    xT per match11.5
    xTA per match1.51.4
    Won balls, offensive half2429
    Pressing intensity0.490.5
    Pressing efficiency0.260.25
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.250.25
    Entries into the box per match1213
    Entries into the box against1413
    Pass completion %0.850.81
    Pass completion % under pressure0.790.77
    Passes per match450358
    Passes against per match321376
    Switches of play per match17.112.9
    Long balls per match3526
    Set piecesEnköpings SKKarlberg
    xG from free kicks0.130.24
    Corners per match4.14.5
    Corners against per match4.24.4
    xG per corner0.020.04
    xGA per corner against0.030.01
    First touch, offensive corners %0.380.47
    First touch, defensive corners %0.60.68
    OtherEnköpings SKKarlberg
    Throw-in control0.650.6
    The goalkeepersVictor Astor (Enköpings SK)Argyrios Gkoulios (Karlberg)
    Saves4132
    Save %75%70%
    xG prevented40%53%
    Claims56 (97%)51 (94%)

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Enköpings SK vs Karlberg according to our model?

    The model gives Enköpings SK a 40% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Enköpings SK 40%, draw 23%, Karlberg 37%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 65% and under at 35%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 66% according to the model.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.