Swedish Ettan16°0,6 mm12 km/hUpdated

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    FC TrollhättanFC TrollhättanPossession control
    vs
    The model's lean: 1 · FC Trollhättan (48%)
    LaholmLaholmPossession control

    FC Trollhättan – Laholm · Swedish Ettan

    1 · FC Trollhättan 48%X 23%29% Laholm · 2
    FC TrollhättanFC Trollhättan
    Form LDLDW
    League ranking xG #25xGA #20xT #12xP/match #28Points #23
    Key players
    • Hugo TillyFxG 0.47 · xT 0.02
    • Melwin BergRWxG 0.18 · xT 0.24
    • William JensenCMxG 0.05 · xT 0.37
    LaholmLaholm
    Form LLWWL
    League ranking xG #19xGA #24xT #25xP/match #23Points #29
    Key players
    • Måns AnderssonFxG 0.18 · xT 0.11
    • Philip ComnellFxG 0.27 · xT 0.11
    • Olle JohanssonCMxG 0.04 · xT 0.1

    Match prediction: FC Trollhättan – Laholm

    Predicted score matrix

    Laholm →
    FC Trollhättan →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–03.5%
    0–14.5%
    0–23.5%
    0–31.7%
    0–4+0.9%
    1
    1–06.1%
    1–19.6%
    1–26.8%
    1–33.4%
    1–4+1.7%
    2
    2–06.2%
    2–19.1%
    2–26.7%
    2–33.3%
    2–4+1.7%
    3
    3–04.1%
    3–16.0%
    3–24.4%
    3–32.2%
    3–4+1.1%
    4+
    4+–03.1%
    4+–14.6%
    4+–23.4%
    4+–31.7%
    4+–4+0.9%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-110%
    2. 2.2-19%
    3. 3.1-27%
    4. 4.2-27%
    5. 5.2-06%
    Expected goals
    1,96–1,47
    Both teams to score
    67%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,4
    Under 2,533%
    –
    Over 2,567%
    –

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Analysis: FC Trollhättan – Laholm

    Marcus Johansson · · How the predictions work

    Sixty-seven percent: that’s the probability we’re looking at for over 2.5 goals in the clash between FC Trollhättan and Laholms FK. It's a figure that stands out, particularly when both teams are defined by their possession-oriented styles. FC Trollhättan, with a model probability of 48% to take three points, has shown a slight historical edge, having won their only meeting since 2023. Yet, Laholms FK isn't far behind with a 29% chance of victory, which could spell trouble for the home side if they're not at their best.

    FC Trollhättan opens as favorites with bookies like Bet365 offering odds at 2.00 for a home win—there's potential value here given their head-to-head success and current league standing. With 16 points compared to Laholms FK's 13, FC Trollhättan certainly has the edge on paper. But delve deeper into xG metrics, and you'll find Laholms FK holds a slight advantage in expected goals per match (1.4 vs. 1.2). This suggests that while FC Trollhättan is favored, Laholms FK has a knack for creating opportunities that shouldn’t be underestimated.

    Laholms FK knows how to create chances, reflected in their superior xPoints (18.5) compared to their hosts (16.5). Despite this, their xGA per match is marginally worse, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities that FC Trollhättan might exploit. The model's most probable scoreline is 1-1, but the attacking potential on display points to a thrilling 2-1 outcome in favor of FC Trollhättan. With both teams scoring at a 67% probability, the over 2.5 goals bet seems particularly compelling.

    The betting angle that sharpens the focus is the over 2.5 goals market, currently priced at around evens with several bookmakers. Given the attacking tendencies and defensive lapses of both teams, this bet aligns well with the numbers and the narrative of the matchup. Consider this the sharper play over the outright win market, especially if FC Trollhättan's winning odds don't offer enough juice.

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    1 matches
    FC Trollhättan 1Draw 0Laholm 0
    Goals: 1–0 (⌀ 1)

    Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.

    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    FC Trollhättan
    Laholm
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    FC Trollhättan (19–26)
    Laholm (21–30)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    FC Trollhättan
    Nils Svensson: 344 passningar, xT 0.46SvenssonEmil Fasth: 323 passningar, xT 0.38FasthFilip Sterner: 274 passningar, xT 0.66SternerWilliam Jensen: 273 passningar, xT 1.79JensenCaspar Ekdahl Filipsson: 145 passningar, xT 0.03FilipssonNikola Mitrovic: 139 passningar, xT 0.16MitrovicAlbin Gashi: 122 passningar, xT 0.31GashiMelwin Berg: 104 passningar, xT 0.49BergVilmer Johansson: 102 passningar, xT 0.66JohanssonAbdirsak Hassan: 87 passningar, xT 0.76HassanJimmy Henriksson: 84 passningar, xT 0.08Henriksson
    Laholm
    Jonatan Falk: 259 passningar, xT 0.1FalkGentrit Ibishi: 216 passningar, xT 0.32IbishiNils Hedström: 185 passningar, xT 1.02HedströmSamuel Svensson: 178 passningar, xT 0.3SvenssonLucas Ragnarsson: 176 passningar, xT 0.01RagnarssonFilip Andersson: 157 passningar, xT 0.5AnderssonEdmond Berisha: 129 passningar, xT 0.29BerishaMax Johnsson: 116 passningar, xT 0.35JohnssonMåns Andersson: 107 passningar, xT 0.59AnderssonAdam Vernersson: 93 passningar, xT 1.1VernerssonPhilip Comnell: 69 passningar, xT 0.4Comnell
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    FC Trollhättan
    Nils Svensson: 344 passningar, xT 0.46SvenssonEmil Fasth: 323 passningar, xT 0.38FasthFilip Sterner: 274 passningar, xT 0.66SternerWilliam Jensen: 273 passningar, xT 1.79JensenCaspar Ekdahl Filipsson: 145 passningar, xT 0.03FilipssonNikola Mitrovic: 139 passningar, xT 0.16MitrovicAlbin Gashi: 122 passningar, xT 0.31GashiMelwin Berg: 104 passningar, xT 0.49BergVilmer Johansson: 102 passningar, xT 0.66JohanssonAbdirsak Hassan: 87 passningar, xT 0.76HassanJimmy Henriksson: 84 passningar, xT 0.08Henriksson
    Laholm
    Jonatan Falk: 259 passningar, xT 0.1FalkGentrit Ibishi: 216 passningar, xT 0.32IbishiNils Hedström: 185 passningar, xT 1.02HedströmSamuel Svensson: 178 passningar, xT 0.3SvenssonLucas Ragnarsson: 176 passningar, xT 0.01RagnarssonFilip Andersson: 157 passningar, xT 0.5AnderssonEdmond Berisha: 129 passningar, xT 0.29BerishaMax Johnsson: 116 passningar, xT 0.35JohnssonMåns Andersson: 107 passningar, xT 0.59AnderssonAdam Vernersson: 93 passningar, xT 1.1VernerssonPhilip Comnell: 69 passningar, xT 0.4Comnell

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceFC TrollhättanLaholm
    Points1613
    xPoints16.518.5
    xG per match1.21.4
    xGA per match1.51.6
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.230.26
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.240.51
    Playing styleFC TrollhättanLaholm
    Build-up efficiency0.360.38
    Field tilt0.540.41
    xT per match1.41.3
    xTA per match1.51.4
    Won balls, offensive half3025
    Pressing intensity0.580.46
    Pressing efficiency0.30.26
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.280.26
    Entries into the box per match1412
    Entries into the box against1413
    Pass completion %0.810.78
    Pass completion % under pressure0.770.71
    Passes per match481354
    Passes against per match313384
    Switches of play per match13.716.4
    Long balls per match2430
    Set piecesFC TrollhättanLaholm
    xG from free kicks0.110.1
    Corners per match4.64.1
    Corners against per match4.45
    xG per corner0.010.03
    xGA per corner against0.030.04
    First touch, offensive corners %0.310.35
    First touch, defensive corners %0.580.55
    OtherFC TrollhättanLaholm
    Throw-in control0.580.52
    The goalkeepersJimmy Henriksson (FC Trollhättan)Max Johnsson (Laholm)
    Saves2841
    Save %78%58%
    xG prevented52%36%
    Claims50 (93%)104 (92%)

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins FC Trollhättan vs Laholm according to our model?

    The model gives FC Trollhättan a 48% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: FC Trollhättan 48%, draw 23%, Laholm 29%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 67% and under at 33%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 67% according to the model.

    More matches in the league

    TvååkerTvååker
    2–2
    UtsiktenUtsikten
    1 52%X 23%2 25%
    The model missed the outcome
    PiteåPiteå
    0–2
    GefleGefle
    1 28%X 21%2 51%
    The model called the outcome
    LaholmLaholm
    0–1
    FC TrollhättanFC Trollhättan
    1 35%X 26%2 39%
    The model called the outcome

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.