Hässleholms IF vs Laholm: Prediction & Odds (24 Aug 2026)

Swedish Ettan24 August 2026 19:00 CEST14°0,6 mm10 km/h

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Hässleholms IFCounter-attacks & crosses

LaholmPossession control

The model's lean: 1 · Hässleholms IF (51%)Best value by the model: X · Draw @ 4.05 (+9 %)

1 · Hässleholms IF 51%X 27%22% Laholm · 2

51%

27%

22%

Analysis: Hässleholms IF – Laholm

Oscar Nilsson · 17 August 2026 · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work

Four wins on the trot, Hässleholms IF strut into their next fixture against Laholms FK with an air of invincibility. The home side's recent form is a testament to their evolving prowess, and the model agrees, giving Hässleholms IF a 51% chance of taking three points. The numbers paint a picture of a team that is not only in form but also statistically superior to their visitors. Hässleholms IF's expected goals (xG) tally of 1.81 suggests they should find the net comfortably against Laholms FK, who lag behind with an xG of 1.13.

Hässleholms IF boast a formidable record at home, winning 57% of their matches, albeit from only 23 encounters. While the head-to-head count since 2023 is small—just one match, which ended in favor of Hässleholms IF—it's the current form and the numbers that weigh heavier in this analysis. Their tactical focus on counterattacks and crosses could pierce through Laholms FK's possession-oriented strategy, especially given the visitors’ defensive vulnerability, leaking 1.5 expected goals against per match.

With a 56% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams finding the net, the promise of goals is high. But the potential of weather conditions isn't mentioned, so one assumes a clear sky won't stymie the attacking flair on display. For Laholms FK, with only a 22% chance of victory, the mountain seems steep. Their 17-point tally lags far behind Hässleholms IF’s 30, reflecting a season where they've struggled to turn possession into points.

The sharpest betting angle, however, is not just the likely Hässleholms IF win. Look to the scoreline probabilities: the 2-1 result at 10% offers an intriguing prospect. If you're searching for value, the over 2.5 goals market, priced around evens or slightly above, could be worth the gamble, especially when considering Hässleholms IF’s current scoring form and Laholms FK’s defensive frailties.

Hässleholms IF

Form DWWWW

League ranking xG #11xGA #8xT #20xP/match #2Points #5

Key players

Albin AhlstrandFxG 0.22 · xT 0.11
Alex HallFxG 0.42 · xT 0.12
Johan Persson ÅhstedtLWxG 0.05 · xT 0.17

Laholm

Form WWLWD

League ranking xG #23xGA #24xT #28xP/match #23Points #24

Key players

Måns AnderssonFxG 0.17 · xT 0.11
Philip ComnellFxG 0.27 · xT 0.09
Elis WijkFxG 0.51 · xT -0.01

Match prediction: Hässleholms IF – Laholm

Predicted score matrix

Laholm →

Hässleholms IF →

0–05.6%

0–15.7%

0–23.4%

0–31.3%

0–4+0.5%

1–09.3%

1–111.1%

1–26.1%

1–32.3%

1–4+0.8%

2–08.7%

2–19.8%

2–25.5%

2–32.1%

2–4+0.7%

3–05.2%

3–15.9%

3–23.3%

3–31.2%

3–4+0.4%

4+–03.6%

4+–14.0%

4+–22.3%

4+–30.9%

4+–4+0.3%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.2-110%
3.1-09%
4.2-09%
5.1-26%

Expected goals

1,81–1,13

Both teams to score

57%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,9

115%

223%

322%

416%

5+17%

Under 2,544%

@2.30EV+1%

Over 2,556%

@1.55

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Hässleholms IF to win51%
Over 1.5 goals79%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Hässleholms IF to win51%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Ännäss Al Hamlawi to score30%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score57%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Ännäss Al Hamlawi to score30%
Olle Johansson to be booked22%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

X · Draw27% probability@4.05BetsafeEV+9%reference odds
X · Draw27% probability@4.05BetssonEV+9%reference odds
X · Draw27% probability@4.05NordicbetEV+9%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Hässleholms IF	X	2 · Laholm
Betsafe	1.58	EV+ 9% 4.05	4.50
Betsson	1.58	EV+ 9% 4.05	4.50
Nordicbet	1.58	EV+ 9% 4.05	4.50

Odds updated 18 Aug, 18:37

Statistics

Head-to-head

1 matches

Hässleholms IF 1Draw 0Laholm 0

Goals: 2–1 (⌀ 3)

Head-to-head based on Ettan data since 2023.

Key facts

Hässleholms IF come into this round on 4 straight wins.
Hässleholms IF win 57% of their home matches all-time (23 played).

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Hässleholms IF

Laholm

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Hässleholms IF (34–22)

Laholm (22–30)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Hässleholms IF

Laholm

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Hässleholms IF

Laholm

The teams in numbers

Performance	Hässleholms IF	Laholm
Points	30	17
xPoints	28.6	21.2
xG per match	1.5	1.3
xGA per match	1.1	1.5
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.37	0.26
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.29	0.46

Playing style	Hässleholms IF	Laholm
Build-up efficiency	0.33	0.37
Field tilt	0.37	0.39
xT per match	1.4	1.2
xTA per match	1.6	1.4
Won balls, offensive half	28	25
Pressing intensity	0.42	0.45
Pressing efficiency	0.3	0.26
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.3	0.26
Entries into the box per match	10	11
Entries into the box against	15	13
Pass completion %	0.73	0.77
Pass completion % under pressure	0.65	0.69
Passes per match	263	344
Passes against per match	382	394
Switches of play per match	15	16.4
Long balls per match	23	30

Set pieces	Hässleholms IF	Laholm
xG from free kicks	0.23	0.09
Corners per match	3.2	4
Corners against per match	6.6	4.9
xG per corner	0.02	0.03
xGA per corner against	0.01	0.05
First touch, offensive corners %	0.28	0.33
First touch, defensive corners %	0.64	0.56

Other	Hässleholms IF	Laholm
Throw-in control	0.48	0.51

The goalkeepers	Liam Bengtsson (Hässleholms IF)	Max Johnsson (Laholm)
Saves	39	48
Save %	64%	62%
xG prevented	45%	39%
Claims	97 (96%)	120 (92%)

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Hässleholms IF vs Laholm according to our model?

The model gives Hässleholms IF a 51% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Hässleholms IF 51%, draw 27%, Laholm 22%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 56% and under at 44%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.